Exercise 12. Switched-Conditionals Fallacy. If it bleeds, it leads: Nearly 60% of violent crime stories carried in the media show a green fanged alien being handcuffed and escorted into a police car. Assume that (i) 57% of violent criminals are green-fanged aliens (so the media coverage is unbiased); (ii) green-fanged aliens make up only 18.7% of the population; and (ii) 0.16% of the population are violent criminals. A green-fanged alien is seen on the way to the grocery store. What are the chances this alien is a violent criminal?

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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Exercise 12. Switched-Conditionals Fallacy. If it bleeds, it leads: Nearly 60% of violent crime stories carried in the
media show a green fanged alien being handcuffed and escorted into a police car. Assume that (i) 57% of violent
criminals are green-fanged aliens (so the media coverage is unbiased); (ii) green-fanged aliens make up only
18.7% of the population; and (iii) 0.16% of the population are violent criminals. A green-fanged alien is seen on
the way to the grocery store. What are the chances this alien is a violent criminal?
Transcribed Image Text:Exercise 12. Switched-Conditionals Fallacy. If it bleeds, it leads: Nearly 60% of violent crime stories carried in the media show a green fanged alien being handcuffed and escorted into a police car. Assume that (i) 57% of violent criminals are green-fanged aliens (so the media coverage is unbiased); (ii) green-fanged aliens make up only 18.7% of the population; and (iii) 0.16% of the population are violent criminals. A green-fanged alien is seen on the way to the grocery store. What are the chances this alien is a violent criminal?
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