Explain the relationship that economic variables can have with businesscycles. These have both direction and timing. Give an example economicvariable of each combination of direction timing. Of these two attributes, ifyou had exclusive access to a reliable variable, which relationships wouldyou want this variable to have for forecasting purposes

Explain the relationship that economic variables can have with businesscycles. These have both direction and timing. Give an example economicvariable of each combination of direction timing. Of these two attributes, ifyou had exclusive access to a reliable variable, which relationships wouldyou want this variable to have for forecasting purposes

Managerial Economics: Applications, Strategies and Tactics (MindTap Course List)

14th Edition

ISBN:9781305506381

Author:James R. McGuigan, R. Charles Moyer, Frederick H.deB. Harris

Publisher:James R. McGuigan, R. Charles Moyer, Frederick H.deB. Harris

Chapter5: Business And Economic Forecasting

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 5E: A firm experienced the demand shown in the following table. *Unkown future value to be forecast Fill...

See similar textbooks

Similar questions

Actual sales of TV's for the first six month in 2021 were as follows:January 60 February 80 March 42April 68 May 44 June 72 Use this information and determine in whole numbers: 1 The average actual monthly sales for that period 2 Trends: Reduce this average by 6% per month for the next three months 3 Simple Moving Average (SMA): make a forecast for July using a three months simple movingaverage. 4 Weighted Moving Average (WMA): make forecast for July, using a three months weightedmoving average where the weights are 0.5; 0.3 and 0.2 respectively.
Consider the following actual and forecast demandlevels for Big Mac hamburgers at a local McDonald’s restaurant:DAY ACTUAL DEMAND FORECAST DEMANDMonday 88 88Tuesday 72 88Wednesday 68 84Thursday 48 80FridayThe forecast for Monday was derived by observing Monday’sdemand level and setting Monday’s forecast level equal to this demand level. Subsequent forecasts were derived by using expo-nential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.25. Using this exponential smoothing method, what is the forecast for Big Macdemand for Friday?
T. Haavelmo devised a model of the US economy for the years 1929–1941 based on the followingequations:(i) c = 0.712y + 95.05 (ii) s = 0.158(c + x) − 34.30(iii) y = c + x − s (iv) x = 93.53Here x denotes total investment, y is disposable income, s is the total saving by firms, and c istotal consumption. Write the system of equations in the form (1) when the variables appear inthe order x, y, s, and c. Then find the solution of the system.
An American retailer purchased 100 pairs of shoes from a company in Mexico in the second quarter of 2016 but does not sell them to a consumer until the third quarter of 2016. In which quarter(s) does(do) the value of the shoes add to U.S. GDP? O the third but not the second quarter O the second quarter but not the third quarter O the second and third quarters O neither the second nor the third quarter Note:- Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer. Take care of plagiarism. Answer completely. You will get up vote for sure.
Suppose an economy produces only 2 products that will also be used for directconsumption, as per the article at the end of the exam: chicken wings and donuts. Inthe second quarter of 2021 (the base period), 180,000 pounds of chicken wings wereproduced, at a value of $3.50 per pound, while in the second quarter of 2022,production of chicken wings increased to 200,000 pounds, at a value of $3.75 perpound. In the second quarter of 2021 (the base period), 85,000 donuts were producedat a value of $0.85 per donut, while in the second quarter of 2022, donut productionincreased to 100,000 donuts, each at a value of $0.95 per donut. The population inthis economy is 1000 individuals in 2022, while the number of hours worked in 2022is 5000. Also, the quantities that were produced in 2021 represent the quantities thatwere purchased by the typical household, meaning that everything that was producedwas sold.d. Solve for the amount of labor productivity in the second quarter of 2022.e. Solve for the…
Metropolitan Hospital has estimated its average monthly bed needs as N=1,000+9X where X=timeperiod(months);January2002=0 N=monthlybedneeds Assume that no new hospital additions are expected in the area in the foreseeable future. The following monthly seasonal adjustment factors have been estimated, using data from the past five years: Forecast Metropolitans bed demand for January, April, July, November, and December 2007. If the following actual and forecast values for June bed demands have been recorded, what seasonal adjustment factor would you recommend be used in making future June forecasts?
Suppose, as an economist, you are asked to analyze an issue unlike anything you have ever done before. Also, suppose you do not have a specific model for analyzing that issue. What should you do? Hint: What would a carpenter do in a similar situation?
II. Consider the following IS-LM model:? = 200 + 0.25??? = 150 + 0.25? − 1,000?? = 250? = 200(?/?)? = 2? − 8,000??/? = 1,600a. Derive the IS relation. (Hint: You want an equation with ? on the left side and everythingelse on the right.)b. Derive the LM relation. (Hint: It will be convenient for later use to rewrite this equationwith ? on the left side and everything else on the right.)c. Solve for equilibrium real output. (Hint: Substitute the expression for the interest rategiven by the LM equation into the IS equation and solve for output.)d. Solve for the equilibrium interest rate. (Hint: Substitute the value you obtained for ? inpart (c) into either the IS or LM equation and solve for ?.)e. Solve for the equilibrium values of ? and ? and verify the value you obtained for ? byadding ?, ?, and ?.f. Now suppose that the money supply increases to ?/? = 1,840. Solve for ?, ?, ?, and ?,and describe in words the effects of an expansionary monetary policy.g. Set ?/? equal to its initial…
Consider the following panel model to examine the effect of retirement on consumption expenditure, consit, of individual i over years t=1,…,3: (B1) log⁡(consit) = β0 + β1retiredit + β2ageit + β3marriedit + β4healthit + δ1Yr2t + δ2Yr3t + ai + uit Where: retiredit is a dummy variable equal to 1 if individual i is retired on year t and 0 otherwise ageit is the individual's age in years marriedit is an indicator variable for whether the individual is married (1) or not (0) in year t healthit is an indicator variable equal to 1 if the individual is in 'good health' and 0 otherwise Yr2 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in year t=2 and 0 otherwise Yr3 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in year t=3 and 0 otherwise We obtain the following results when we estimate Model (B1) using RE and FE methods: Variable Random Effects Fixed Effects retired -0.072*** (0.024) -0.054** (0.025) age -0.008*** (0.003) - married 0.031*** (0.010) 0.028 (0.022) health 0.050*** (0.021) 0.052***…
Explain the use of econometrics in context with forecasting and policymaking by using some suitable hypothetical example. How SRF and PRF lead to the difference between error and residual? Elaborate with appropriate graphical representation.
Assume that the average or mean monthly household consumption expenditure for Malaysia rose from RM3,578 in 2018 to RM4,033 in 2020, growing 6% per annum at nominal value, according to the statistics department. However, in terms of real value — which refers to the constant price using the Consumer Price Index with the base year 2014 as the deflator — annual growth rate is 3.9% for the same period, mentioned on its Household Expenditure Survey Report 2020. a) Suppose that consumer spending initially rises by RM5 billion for every 1 percent rise in household wealth and that investment spending initially rises by RM20 billion for every 1 percentage point fall in the real interest rate. Also, assume that the economy’s multiplier is 4. i. If household wealth falls by 5 percent because of declining house values, and the real interest rate falls by two percentage points, in what direction and by how much will the aggregate demand curve initially shift at each price level? ii. In what…
How is interest rate calculated when using intertemporal consumption between two periods. Can a formula be provided, please? Subject area intertemporal consumption (microeconomics) For reference : Income 1 Income 2 Consumption 1 Consumption 2 (How is the interest rate calculated if given the figures for Income 1, Income 2, Consumption 1 and Consunpmtion 2 . Please explain