Following Hotelling, we might expect the real price of nonrenewable resources to increase continually over time, as resource stocks are depleted. But empirical evidence for a number of nonrenewable (mineral) resources indicates that their prices over the past century have not been increasing monotonically. Instead the price paths for a number of nonrenewable resources have been “U-shaped”. Provide an explanation for what’s going on. i.e. resolve this apparent anomaly between theory and observation- why would the price of these resources be driven down instead of increasing as the theory predicts?

Microeconomic Theory
12th Edition
ISBN:9781337517942
Author:NICHOLSON
Publisher:NICHOLSON
Chapter12: The Partial Equilibrium Competitive Model
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 12.14P
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Following Hotelling, we might expect the real price of nonrenewable resources to increase continually over time, as resource stocks are depleted. But empirical evidence for a number of nonrenewable (mineral) resources indicates that their prices over the past century have not been increasing monotonically. Instead the price paths for a number of nonrenewable resources have been “U-shaped”. Provide an explanation for what’s going on. i.e. resolve this apparent anomaly between theory and observation- why would the price of these resources be driven down instead of increasing as the theory predicts?
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