Gulzar Ahmed (GA) is a mid-size company involved in textile business. The firm has been successful and has enjoyed a positive growth trend. Now the firm is planning to gopublic with an issue of common stock, and it faces the problem of setting an appropriate price for the stock. The company and its investment banks believe that the properprocedure is to conduct a valuation and select several similar firms with publicly traded common stock and to make relevant comparisons. Several textile manufacturers are reasonably similar to Gulzar Ahmed with respect toproduct mix, asset composition, and debt/equity proportions. Of these companies,Appolo Textiles and Hunter Fashions are most similar. When analyzing the followingdata, assume that the most recent year has been reasonably “normal” in the sense that itwas neither especially good nor especially bad in terms of sales, earnings, and free cashflows.COMPANY DATA APOLLO HUNTER GULZARSHARES OUTSTANDING5,000,00010,000,000500,000MKT. PRICE PER SHARE $36.00 $46.00 Not AvailEARNINGS PER SHARE $2.20 $3.13 $2.60FREE CASH FLOW PERSHARE $1.63 $2.54 $2.00BOOK VALUE PER SHARE $16.00 $20.00 $18.00TOTAL ASSETS (in millions) $115.00 $250.00 $11.00TOTAL DEBT (in millions) $35.00 $50.00 $2.00Required:I. Gulzar Ahmed is a closely held corporation with 500,000 shares outstanding. Freecash flows have been low and in some years negative due to its recent high salesgrowth rates, but as its expansion phase comes to an end, the firm’s free cashflows should increase. The company anticipates the following free cash flows overthe next 5 years:Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5FCF $1,000,000 $1,050,000 $1,208,000 $1,329,000 $1,462,000After Year 5, free cash flow growth will be stable at 7% per year. Currently, thecompany has no non-operating assets, and its WACC is 12%. Using the free cashflow valuation model, estimate the firm’s intrinsic value of equity and intrinsic per share price. II. Calculate debt to total assets, P/E, market to book, P/FCF, and ROE for ApolloTextile and Hunter Fashions. For calculations that require a price for Gulzar Ahmed, use the per share price you obtained with the corporate valuation modelin Part-I above. III. Using Apollo’s and Hunter’s P/E, Market/Book, and Price/FCF ratios, calculate the range of prices for Gulzar Ahmed’s stock that would be consistent with theseratios. IV. What range of prices do you get? How does this compare with the price youget using the corporate valuation model?
Dividend Valuation
Dividend refers to a reward or cash that a company gives to its shareholders out of the profits. Dividends can be issued in various forms such as cash payment, stocks, or in any other form as per the company norms. It is usually a part of the profit that the company shares with its shareholders.
Dividend Discount Model
Dividend payments are generally paid to investors or shareholders of a company when the company earns profit for the year, thus representing growth. The dividend discount model is an important method used to forecast the price of a company’s stock. It is based on the computation methodology that the present value of all its future dividends is equivalent to the value of the company.
Capital Gains Yield
It may be referred to as the earnings generated on an investment over a particular period of time. It is generally expressed as a percentage and includes some dividends or interest earned by holding a particular security. Cases, where it is higher normally, indicate the higher income and lower risk. It is mostly computed on an annual basis and is different from the total return on investment. In case it becomes too high, indicates that either the stock prices are going down or the company is paying higher dividends.
Stock Valuation
In simple words, stock valuation is a tool to calculate the current price, or value, of a company. It is used to not only calculate the value of the company but help an investor decide if they want to buy, sell or hold a company's stocks.
Gulzar Ahmed (GA) is a mid-size company involved in textile business. The firm has been successful and has enjoyed a positive growth trend. Now the firm is planning to go
public with an issue of common stock, and it faces the problem of setting an appropriate price for the stock. The company and its investment banks believe that the proper
procedure is to conduct a valuation and select several similar firms with publicly traded common stock and to make relevant comparisons. Several textile manufacturers are reasonably similar to Gulzar Ahmed with respect to
product mix, asset composition, and debt/equity proportions. Of these companies,
Appolo Textiles and Hunter Fashions are most similar. When analyzing the following
data, assume that the most recent year has been reasonably “normal” in the sense that it
was neither especially good nor especially bad in terms of sales, earnings, and free cash
flows.
COMPANY DATA APOLLO HUNTER GULZAR
SHARES OUTSTANDING
5,000,000
10,000,000
500,000
MKT. PRICE PER SHARE $36.00 $46.00 Not Avail
EARNINGS PER SHARE $2.20 $3.13 $2.60
SHARE $1.63 $2.54 $2.00
BOOK VALUE PER SHARE $16.00 $20.00 $18.00
TOTAL ASSETS (in millions) $115.00 $250.00 $11.00
TOTAL DEBT (in millions) $35.00 $50.00 $2.00
Required:
I. Gulzar Ahmed is a closely held corporation with 500,000 shares outstanding. Free
cash flows have been low and in some years negative due to its recent high sales
growth rates, but as its expansion phase comes to an end, the firm’s free cash
flows should increase. The company anticipates the following free cash flows over
the next 5 years:
Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5
FCF $1,000,000 $1,050,000 $1,208,000 $1,329,000 $1,462,000
After Year 5, free cash flow growth will be stable at 7% per year. Currently, the
company has no non-operating assets, and its WACC is 12%. Using the free cash
flow valuation model, estimate the firm’s intrinsic value of equity and intrinsic per share price.
II. Calculate debt to total assets, P/E, market to book, P/FCF, and
Textile and Hunter Fashions. For calculations that require a price for Gulzar Ahmed, use the per share price you obtained with the corporate valuation model
in Part-I above.
III. Using Apollo’s and Hunter’s P/E, Market/Book, and Price/FCF ratios, calculate the range of prices for Gulzar Ahmed’s stock that would be consistent with these
ratios.
IV. What range of prices do you get? How does this compare with the price you
get using the corporate valuation model?
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