Heywood Diagnostic Enterprises is evaluating a project with the following net cash flows and probabilities (Prob): Year Prob=0.2 Prob=0.6 Prob=0.2 ($100,000) ($100,000) ($100,000) $40,000 $40,000 $40,000 $40,000 $50,000 $30,000 $20,000 $20,000 $20,000 1 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $40,000 2 3 $20,000 $30,000 4 The year 5 values include salvage value. Heywood's corporate cost of capital is 10%. (a) What are the project's most likely, worst-case, and best-case NPVS? (b) What is the project's expected NPV on the basis of scenario analysis?

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Chapter11: Cash Flow Estimation And Risk Analysis
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Heywood Diagnostic Enterprises is evaluating a project with the following net cash flows and probabilities (Prob):
Year
Prob=0.2
Prob=0.6
Prob=0.2
($100,000) ($100,000) ($100,000)
$30,000
$30,000
$30,000
$30,000
$40,000
$20,000
$20,000
$20,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$40,000
$40,000
$40,000
$50,000
1
2
3
4
5
The year 5 values include salvage value. Heywood's corporate cost of capital is 10%.
(a) What are the project's most likely, worst-case, and best-case NPVS?
(b) What is the project's expected NPV on the basis of scenario analysis?
(c) What is the project's standard deviation of NPV?
(d) Assume that Heywood's managers judge the project to have lower-than-average risk. Furthermore, the company's policy is to adjust the
corporate cost of capital up or down by 3 percentage points to account for differential risk. Is the project financially attractive?
Transcribed Image Text:Heywood Diagnostic Enterprises is evaluating a project with the following net cash flows and probabilities (Prob): Year Prob=0.2 Prob=0.6 Prob=0.2 ($100,000) ($100,000) ($100,000) $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $40,000 $20,000 $20,000 $20,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $40,000 $40,000 $40,000 $50,000 1 2 3 4 5 The year 5 values include salvage value. Heywood's corporate cost of capital is 10%. (a) What are the project's most likely, worst-case, and best-case NPVS? (b) What is the project's expected NPV on the basis of scenario analysis? (c) What is the project's standard deviation of NPV? (d) Assume that Heywood's managers judge the project to have lower-than-average risk. Furthermore, the company's policy is to adjust the corporate cost of capital up or down by 3 percentage points to account for differential risk. Is the project financially attractive?
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