how to write research problem on supply chain
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Subject: Quantitative Research method.
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- Subject: Quantative Research Method Need to write research problem on supply chain?QUESTION 1 Calculate weighted moving averages Compare error measure using MAD WEEK SALES 1 39 44 3 40 4 45 5 38 43 7 39 8 a) Forecast sales using 4-week weighted moving averages with weights 0.4,0.3,0.2 and 0.1 b) Forecast sales using 2-week weighted moving averages with weights 3 and 2 c) Compare forecast errorsTopic: The study of customers’ behavior towards online shopping as opposed to in-store in the Caribbean. What can be the Significance of Research, Research Question/s, and definition of key terms based on the topic above?In a qualitative method approach.
- Question 1. The table below shows the sales figure for a brand of shoe over the last 12 months. Months Sales January 69 February 75 March 86 April 92 May 95 June 100 July 108 August 115 September 125 October 131 November 140 December 150 a. Using the following, forecast the sales for the months up to january the following year:- i. A simple three month moving average ii. A three period weighted moving average using weights of 1, 2, and 3. Assign the highest weight to the most recent data iii. Exponential smothing when α = .6 and the forecast for march is 350 vi. Detemine which of the three forecasting technique is the most accurate using MAD N.B. Only answer IVQuestion 1. The table below shows the sales figure for a brand of shoe over the last 12 months. Months Sales January 69 February 75 March 86 April 92 May 95 June 100 July 108 August 115 September 125 October 131 November 140 December 150 a. Using the following, forecast the sales for the months up to january the following year:- i. A simple three month moving average ii. A three period weighted moving average using weights of 1, 2, and 3. Assign the highest weight to the most recent data iii. Exponential smothing when α = .6 and the forecast for march is 350QUESTION 3 Academic research involves a thorough investigation into what is known about a given topic and is focused on making new discoveries for the scientific community. Appraise the importance of academic research and writing and further report on the ways academic research is used in practice.
- Q.1: How forecasting helps in different disciplines of management science? Make a comparison between quantitative forecasting versus qualitative forecastingQUESTION 1 The table below shows the sales figures for a brand of shoe over the last 12 months. Months January February March April May June July Sales 69 75 86 92 95 100 108 115 125 131 140 150 August September October November December a. Using the following, forecast the sales for the months up to January the following year:- i. A simple three month moving average. ii. A three period weighted moving average using weights of 1, 2 and 3. Assign the highest weight to the most recent data. iii. Exponential Smoothing when a= .6 and the forecast for March is 350. iv. Determine which of the three forecasting technique is the most accurate using MAD.QUESTION 1 The table below shows the sales figures for a brand of shoe over the last 12 months. Months Sales January 69 February 75 March 86 April 92 May 95 June 100 July 108 August 115 September 125 October 131 November 140 December 150 a. Using the following, forecast the sales for the months up to January the following year:- i. A simple three month moving average. [2 marks] ii. A three period weighted moving average using weights of 1, 2 and 3. Assign the highest weight to the most recent data. [3 marks] iii. Exponential Smoothing when α= .6 and the forecast for March is 350. [5 marks] iv. Determine which of the three forecasting technique is the most accurate using MAD. [4 marks]
- Question 2 i. Differentiate between independent and dependent variable in forecasting. ii. The last seven weeks of sales at KC car dealership can be seen in Table 2 below. Table 2 Week Sales 1 25 2 30 3 27 4 31 5 27 6 29 7 30 8 a. Use a three-period weighted-moving average forecast to determine a forecast for the 8th week using weights of 3, 2, and 1 (where the most recent week receives the highest weight). (Round all forecasts to the nearest whole unit.) b. Calculate the MAD for this forecast. c. What does the MAD indicate?QUESTION 1 Sales of Fat Lips Burgers for 2012 are shown in the table below. 1. Do the 2 month SMA forecast 2. Do 2 month WMA forecast using the information below WMA – 2: last month, 1 – last 2 months 3. For the month of January 2012, the forecast was 438. Do the EMA forecast with the smoothing constant = 0.3. What is the forecast for Jan 2013? 4. Compare the forecasts above using MAD, MSE and MAPE. Which forecast method gives the least errors? Month Actual Sales Forecast Jan 2012 438 Feb 420 March 414 Apr 318 May 306 June 240 July 240 Aug 216 Sep 198 Oct 225 Nov 270 Dec 315 Jan 2013 - QUESTION 2Dayang sells 5 kg bags of fertilizer to local farmers in Tg Karang. The sales data for the past 11 months is shown below. Month Demand (10s of bags) 1 4 2 6 3 4 4 5 5 10 6 8 7 7 8 9 9 12 10 14 11 15 1. Find the forecast for the month 12 using the methods below: a. Simple 4 month moving average (SMA) b.…Question 1 Forecasting calculation X Month Sales (y)(000 units) 1 Feb. 19 2 Mar. 18 3 Apr. 15 4 May 20 5 Jun. 18 6 Jul. 22 7 Aug. 20 8 Sep a. Using a 5-month moving average, calculate September sales b. Calculate September sales Using a 3-month weighted moving average (weights are 0.60, 0.30. 0.10). c. Calculatate Exponential Smoothing (assume February sale is 19) sales in September (alpha 0.2, that means 1-0.2 = 0.8) d. Using regression analysis, what is Y (September sales) if X is 8? (use data> data analysis button> regression)