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You currently own 600 shares of JKL, Inc. JKL is an all-equity firm that has 75,000 shares of stock outstanding at a market price of $40 a share. The company’s earnings before interest and taxes are $140,000. JKL has decided to issue $1 million of debt at 8 percent interest. This debt will be used to repurchase shares of stock.
If the
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- In the financial world, there are many types of complex instruments called derivatives that derive their value from the value of an underlying asset. Consider the following simple derivative. A stocks current price is 80 per share. You purchase a derivative whose value to you becomes known a month from now. Specifically, let P be the price of the stock in a month. If P is between 75 and 85, the derivative is worth nothing to you. If P is less than 75, the derivative results in a loss of 100(75-P) dollars to you. (The factor of 100 is because many derivatives involve 100 shares.) If P is greater than 85, the derivative results in a gain of 100(P-85) dollars to you. Assume that the distribution of the change in the stock price from now to a month from now is normally distributed with mean 1 and standard deviation 8. Let EMV be the expected gain/loss from this derivative. It is a weighted average of all the possible losses and gains, weighted by their likelihoods. (Of course, any loss should be expressed as a negative number. For example, a loss of 1500 should be expressed as -1500.) Unfortunately, this is a difficult probability calculation, but EMV can be estimated by an @RISK simulation. Perform this simulation with at least 1000 iterations. What is your best estimate of EMV?A European put option allows an investor to sell a share of stock at the exercise price on the exercise data. For example, if the exercise price is 48, and the stock price is 45 on the exercise date, the investor can sell the stock for 48 and then immediately buy it back (that is, cover his position) for 45, making 3 profit. But if the stock price on the exercise date is greater than the exercise price, the option is worthless at that date. So for a put, the investor is hoping that the price of the stock decreases. Using the same parameters as in Example 11.7, find a fair price for a European put option. (Note: As discussed in the text, an actual put option is usually for 100 shares.)Suppose you begin year 1 with 5000. At the beginning of each year, you put half of your money under a mattress and invest the other half in Whitewater stock. During each year, there is a 40% chance that the Whitewater stock will double, and there is a 60% chance that you will lose half of your investment. To illustrate, if the stock doubles during the first year, you will have 3750 under the mattress and 3750 invested in Whitewater during year 2. You want to estimate your annual return over a 30-year period. If you end with F dollars, your annual return is (F/5000)1/30 1. For example, if you end with 100,000, your annual return is 201/30 1 = 0.105, or 10.5%. Run 1000 replications of an appropriate simulation. Based on the results, you can be 95% certain that your annual return will be between which two values?
- You are considering a 10-year investment project. At present, the expected cash flow each year is 10,000. Suppose, however, that each years cash flow is normally distributed with mean equal to last years actual cash flow and standard deviation 1000. For example, suppose that the actual cash flow in year 1 is 12,000. Then year 2 cash flow is normal with mean 12,000 and standard deviation 1000. Also, at the end of year 1, your best guess is that each later years expected cash flow will be 12,000. a. Estimate the mean and standard deviation of the NPV of this project. Assume that cash flows are discounted at a rate of 10% per year. b. Now assume that the project has an abandonment option. At the end of each year you can abandon the project for the value given in the file P11_60.xlsx. For example, suppose that year 1 cash flow is 4000. Then at the end of year 1, you expect cash flow for each remaining year to be 4000. This has an NPV of less than 62,000, so you should abandon the project and collect 62,000 at the end of year 1. Estimate the mean and standard deviation of the project with the abandonment option. How much would you pay for the abandonment option? (Hint: You can abandon a project at most once. So in year 5, for example, you abandon only if the sum of future expected NPVs is less than the year 5 abandonment value and the project has not yet been abandoned. Also, once you abandon the project, the actual cash flows for future years are zero. So in this case the future cash flows after abandonment should be zero in your model.)The IRR is the discount rate r that makes a project have an NPV of 0. You can find IRR in Excel with the built-in IRR function, using the syntax =IRR(range of cash flows). However, it can be tricky. In fact, if the IRR is not near 10%, this function might not find an answer, and you would get an error message. Then you must try the syntax =IRR(range of cash flows, guess), where guess" is your best guess for the IRR. It is best to try a range of guesses (say, 90% to 100%). Find the IRR of the project described in Problem 34. 34. Consider a project with the following cash flows: year 1, 400; year 2, 200; year 3, 600; year 4, 900; year 5, 1000; year 6, 250; year 7, 230. Assume a discount rate of 15% per year. a. Find the projects NPV if cash flows occur at the ends of the respective years. b. Find the projects NPV if cash flows occur at the beginnings of the respective years. c. Find the projects NPV if cash flows occur at the middles of the respective years.Referring to the retirement example in Example 11.6, rerun the model for a planning horizon of 10 years; 15 years; 25 years. For each, which set of investment weights maximizes the VAR 5% (the 5th percentile) of final cash in todays dollars? Does it appear that a portfolio heavy in stocks is better for long horizons but not for shorter horizons?
- A local finance company quotes a 16 percent interest rate onone-year loans. So, if you borrow $26,000, the interest for the year will be $4,160. Because you must repay a total of $30,160 in one year, the finance company requiresyou to pay $30,160y12, or $2,513.33, per month over the next 12 months. Is this a15 percent loan? What rate would legally have to be quoted? What is the effectiveannual rate?A few years ago, Michael purchased a home for $394,000. Today, the home is worth $520,000. His remaining mortgage balance is $166,000. Assuming Michael can borrow up to 80 percent of the market value of his home, what is the maximum amount he can borrow?Based on current dividend yields and expected capital gains, the expected rates of return on portfolios A and B are 11 % and 14 %, respectively. The beta of A is 0.8 % while that of B is 1.5. The T-bill is currently 6 %, while the expected rate of return of the S&P 500 index is 12 %. The standard deviation of portfolio A is 10 % annually, while that of B is 31 % , and that of the index is 20 %: If you currently hold a market index portfolio, would you choose to add either of these portfolios to your holdings? Explain. If instead you could invest only in bills and one of these portfolios, which would you choose, and why? Investor Y, who put K1 in large stocks (the S & P 500 portfolio) on December 31, 1925, and re-invested all dividends in that portfolio, would have ended on December 31, 2003, with K1992.80.
- You have recently won the super jackpot in the WashingtonState Lottery. On reading the fine print, you discover that you have the following twooptions:a. You will receive 31 annual payments of $250,000, with the first payment beingdelivered today. The income will be taxed at a rate of 28 percent. Taxes will bewithheld when the checks are issued.b. You will receive $530,000 now, and you will not have to pay taxes on this amount.In addition, beginning one year from today, you will receive $200,000 each yearfor 30 years. The cash flows from this annuity will be taxed at 28 percent.Using a discount rate of 7 percent, which option should you select?Oxicon Inc. manufactures several different types of candy for various retail stores. The accountingmanager has requested that you determine the sales dollars required to break even for next quarter based on past financial data. Your research tells you that the total variable costs will be $500,000,total sales will be $750,000, and fixed costs will be $75,000. What is the breakeven point in salesdollars?Company Y acquired The Seoul Post in February 2021 for $315 million. Suppose the yearly margin per Seoul Post reader is $1 per year (coming from advertising), and the yearly retention rate is 70%, and assume a yearly discount rate of 10%. (b) How many new readers should the Seoul Post acquire to close that gap, assuming an acquisition cost of $0.50 per reader? That is, how many new readers should it acquire to raise the CLV of its readers to $315 million, where the CLV of new readers is reduced by the acquisition cost?Company Y recently acquired the startup Gravity for $83 million, in order to improve their customization of content online. Gravity will optimize the articles recommended to the readers of the Seoul Post on the site, and the display ads served to these readers. Such analytics tool has the potential to improve both retention rate (more relevant content means more loyal readers) and advertising revenue (more time spent on the site and more relevant ads both mean more…