If the slope of the nominal yield curve is steeper that the slope of the real yield curve, market predicts that boom is coming and inflation rate will go down in the future. recession is coming and inflation rate will go down in the future. boom is coming and inflation rate will go up in the future. recession is coming and inflation rate will go up in the future.
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- Suppose that an economy has a constant nominal money supply, a constant level of real output Y = 1500, and a constant real interest rate r = 0.05, and it’s expected rate of inflation is 2%, i.e, πe = .02. Suppose that the income elasticity of money demand is ηY = 0.5 and the interest elasticity of demand ηi = –0.2. (a) Suppose that Y decreases to 1425, r remains constant at 0.05 and there is no change in the expected rate of inflation. What is the percentage change in the equilibrium price level? (b) Suppose that r increases to 0.06 and Y remains at 1500. Assuming that expected inflation remains at πe = .02, what is the percentage change in the equilibrium price level? (c) Suppose that r increases to 0.06. Assuming that πe = .02, what would real output have to be for the equilibrium price level to remain at its initial value?Explore the assertion regarding the state ofFinancial Markets, both globally and within the Caribbean region, evaluating whether they arecharacterized by market perfection or imperfection. Argue in favorthat markets are perfect , allowing for a comprehensive examination ofthe topic. To enhance the analysis of key points in the subject argument, it is imperative to employrelevant finance theories or concepts which either validate or refute the EMH. These concepts serveas a robust framework for understanding financial phenomena. By leveraging established concepts,one can systematically evaluate the evidence presented, thereby bolstering the argument'scredibility and depth.If yield curves, on average, were flat, what would thissay about the liquidity (term) premiums in the termstructure? Would you be more or less willing to acceptthe expectations theory?
- The demand D (in billions of £) for a bond with coupon rate 5% and face value FV = 1000, andtwo years to maturity as a function of its price P is D = 4000 − 2P. The supply in (billions of£) as a function of the price of the bond is S = 2P + 400. b) Suppose that the yield to maturity of the bond is i = 0.05. What is the quantitydemanded/supplied at this interest rate? What happens to the demand/supply of the bond asthe interest rate increases? Explain why. c) What is the equilibrium interest rate?The demand D (in billions of £) for a bond with coupon rate 5% and face value FV = 1000, andtwo years to maturity as a function of its price P is D = 4000 − 2P. The supply in (billions of£) as a function of the price of the bond is S = 2P + 400. b) Suppose that the yield to maturity of the bond is i = 0.05. What is the quantitydemanded/supplied at this interest rate? What happens to the demand/supply of the bond asthe interest rate increases? Explain why. c) What is the equilibrium interest rate? d) Suppose that the bond trades at premium. Is there excess demand or supply? Explain.e) There is a business cycle expansion, so both supply and demand shifts. After the shift, thenew demand curve is given by: D = 4000 + X − 2P, whereas the new supply curve is S =2P + 200. For which values of X will the interest increase/decrease? Which values of X arein line with empirical data?Suppose a given country experienced low and stableinflation rates for quite some time, but then inflation picked up and over the past decade had beenrelatively high and quite unpredictable. Explain howthis new inflationary environment would affect thedemand for money according to portfolio theories ofmoney demand. What would happen if the governmentdecided to issue inflation-protected securities?
- Assume that it is January 1, 2003. The rate of inflation is expected to be 4 percent thought 2003. However, increased government deficits and renewed vigor in the economy are then expected to push information rates higher. Investors expect the inflation rate to be 5 percent in 2004, 6 per percent cent in 2005, and 7 percent in 2006. The real risk-free rate, k*, is expected to remain at 2 percent over the next 5years. Assume that on maturity risk premiums are required on bonds with 5 years of less to maturity. The current interest rate on 5 year T-bonds is 8 Percent. What is the average expected inflation rate over the next 4 year? What should be the prevailing interest rate on 4-year T-bond? What is the implied expected inflation rate in 2007, or Year 5, give that Treasury bonds which mature in the year yield 8 percent?A9. Assuming that the expectations theory is the correct theory of the term structure, calculate the interest rates in the term structure for maturities of one to five years, and plot the resulting yield curves for the following paths of one- year interest rates over the next five years: a. 5%, 6%, 7%, 6%, 5% b. 5%, 4%, 3%, 4%, 5%. c. How would your yield curves change if people preferred shorter-term bonds over longer- term bonds?The demand curve and supply curve for one-year discount bonds with a face value of $1,050 are representedby the following equations:Bd: Price = -0.8 * Quantity + 1160Bs: Price = Quantity + 720Suppose that, as a result of monetary policy actions, theFederal Reserve sells 90 bonds that it holds. Assume thatbond demand and money demand are held constant.a. How does the Federal Reserve policy affect the bondsupply equation?b. Calculate the effect on the equilibrium interest rate in this market, as a result of the FederalReserve action.
- 7. The Federal Reserve has raised the Federal Funds rate by 3.75 percent within the past year. Ifa bank had capital of 10 percent when the Fed began raising rates and has no loans at risk ofdefault, under what circumstances will its capital position be compromised? Please be specific.8. How do rising interest rates affect the size of real estate loans that lenders will advance?Again, be specific.9. Mortgage rates have risen by about 4 percent over the past year. Does that mean that theacceptable minimum appreciation rate for looking at owner housing relative to renting hasrisen by 4 percent? Why or why not? (Hint: think about our analysis of the buy-rent decision).10. You are evaluating a CMBS. Beyond the standard metrics (i.e., LTV, DCI, etc.), name twothings to consider in evaluating the security.Suppose that, holding yield constant, investors are indifferent as to whether they hold bonds issued by the federal govemment or bonds issued by state and local governments (that is, they consider the bonds the same with respect to default risk, information costs, and liquidity) Suppose that state governments have issued perpetuities (or consoles) with $78 coupons and that the federal govemment has also issued perpetuities with $78 coupons. If the state and federal perpetuites both have after-tax yields of 8%, what are their pre-tax yields? (Assume that the relevant federal income tax rate is 31.13%) * The pre-tax yield on the state perpetuity will be______________% * The pre-tax yield on the federal perpetuity will be_______________%Please pleaseee do this Question : For this question assume that the real money demand function is L(R, Y) = kY - hR where k > 0 represents the sensitivity of the money demand to income and h > 0 represents the sensitivity of the money demand to the interest rate. Suppose that these sensitivity parameters are not known for the economy of Macroland and there are two possibilities: it is either i) high k and low h, or ii) low k and high h. To understand which one of these two scenarios is correct you analyze a given policy change: an increase in the overall level of taxes. Using the AA-DD model, compare and contrast the short run effects of this policy change in Macroland under these two scenarios. Explain your results intuitively.