Assume that it is January 1, 2003. The rate of inflation is expected to be       4 percent thought 2003. However, increased government deficits and renewed vigor in the economy are then expected to push information rates higher. Investors expect the inflation rate to be   5 percent in 2004, 6 per percent cent in 2005, and 7 percent in 2006. The real risk-free rate, k*, is expected to remain at 2 percent over the next 5years. Assume that on maturity risk premiums are required on bonds with 5 years of less to maturity. The current interest rate on 5 year T-bonds is 8 Percent. What is the average expected inflation rate over the next 4 year? What should be the prevailing interest rate on 4-year T-bond? What is the implied expected inflation rate in 2007, or Year 5, give that Treasury bonds which mature in the year yield 8 percent?

Economics: Private and Public Choice (MindTap Course List)
16th Edition
ISBN:9781305506725
Author:James D. Gwartney, Richard L. Stroup, Russell S. Sobel, David A. Macpherson
Publisher:James D. Gwartney, Richard L. Stroup, Russell S. Sobel, David A. Macpherson
Chapter27: Investment, The Capital Market, And The Wealth Of Nations
Section: Chapter Questions
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Assume that it is January 1, 2003. The rate of inflation is expected to be       4 percent thought 2003. However, increased government deficits and renewed vigor in the economy are then expected to push information rates higher. Investors expect the inflation rate to be   5 percent in 2004, 6 per percent cent in 2005, and 7 percent in 2006. The real risk-free rate, k*, is expected to remain at 2 percent over the next 5years. Assume that on maturity risk premiums are required on bonds with 5 years of less to maturity. The current interest rate on 5 year T-bonds is 8 Percent.

  1. What is the average expected inflation rate over the next 4 year?
  2. What should be the prevailing interest rate on 4-year T-bond?
  3. What is the implied expected inflation rate in 2007, or Year 5, give that Treasury bonds which mature in the year yield 8 percent?
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