Investors can choose one of the two independent investment assets, A an B. The payoff per unit invested in each asset is uniformly distributed wit parameters as given below. A U(1, 1.1) B U(0.9, 1.2) Suppose that an investor with initial wealth of 1 chooses one of these assets based on the utility function u(x) = - exp(-3x). Calculate the expected utilities of investing in A and B.
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Expected utility in portfolio theory
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- Find the Pratt - Arrow risk - aversion function for a utility function U(W) = log(0.5-W + 500), where W is the amount of wealth in €. Suppose that an investor's wealth is subject to outcomes -800 €, 500 €, 500 € and 1, 000 € which affect the initial amount of 2,500 € with probabilities of their occurrence 40%, 15%, 15% and 30%, respectively. a) Using the Taylor approximation to certainty equivalent, calculate an approximate expected utility value. b) Calculate the certain equivalent of the investor's uncertain wealth. Interpret.An investor with capital x can invest any amount between0 and x; if y is invested then y is eitherwon or lost, with respectiveprobabilities p and 1− p. If p > 1/2, how much should be invested byan investor having a exponential utility function u(x) = 1 − e −bx ,b > 0.You are a risk-averse investor with a CRRA utility function. You are faced with the decision to invest your total wealth W of £1,000,000 into a riskless asset which generates a return of 5% or into a risky asset which either generates a return of 20% or a loss of −4% with equal probability. Find the optimal investment allocation with a coefficient of relative risk aversion η=2, and comment on your results.
- You plan to invest $1,000 in a corporate bond fund or in a common stock fund. The following table represents the annual return (per $1,000) of each of these investments under various economic conditions and the probability that each of those economic conditions will occur. Compute the expected return for the corporate bond and for the common stock fund. Show your calculations on excel for expected returns. Compute the standard deviation for the corporate bond fund and for the common stock fund. Would you invest in the corporate bond fund or the common stock fund? Explain. If choose to invest in the common stock fund and in (c), what do you think about the possibility of losing $999 of every $1,000 invested if there is depression. Explain.You are considering a $500,000 investment in the fast-food industry and have narrowed your choice to either a McDonald’s or a Penn Station East Coast Subs franchise. McDonald’s indicates that, based on the location where you are proposing to open a new restaurant, there is a 25 percent probability that aggregate 10-year profits (net of the initial investment) will be $16 million, a 50 percent probability that profits will be $8 million, and a 25 percent probability that profits will be −$1.6 million. The aggregate 10-year profit projections (net of the initial investment) for a Penn Station East Coast Subs franchise is $48 million with a 2.5 percent probability, $8 million with a 95 percent probability, and −$48 million with a 2.5 percent probability. Considering both the risk and expected profitability of these two investment opportunities, which is the better investment? Explain carefully.Exercise 3: Risky Investment Charlie has von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function u(x) = ln x and has wealth W = 250, 000. She is offered the opportunity to purchase a risky project for price P = 160, 000. 1 1 With probability p = 2 the project will be a success and return V > 160, 000. With probability 1 −p = 2 the project will fail and be worthless (i.e. it returns 0). For simplicity assume there is no interest between the time of the investment and the time of its return, that is r = 0 . How large must V be in order for Charlie to want to purchase the risky project? [Hint: What is Charlie’s expected utility is she does not purchase the project? What is Charlie’s expected utility is she purchases the project?]
- Let U(x)= x^(beta/2) denote an agent's utility function, where Beta > 0 is a parameter that defines the agent's attitude towards risk. Consider a gamble that pays a prize X = 10 with probability 0.2, a price X = 50 with probability 0.4 and a price X = 100 with probability 0.4. Compute the agentís expected utility for such gamble and find the value of Beta such that the agentis risk neutral? Suppose B= 1, what is the certainty equivalent of the gamble described above? What is the Arrow-Pratt measure of absolute risk aversion?Suppose you’re evaluating a new project costing 125 and yielding an expected payoff of 75 for the two subsequent years. You know that the market(portfolio) rate is 0,10 that the covariance of the new investment’s payoff with the market portfolio is 0,2 and that the variance of the market payoff is 0,1. You also know that the risk-free rate is 0,05. Would you accept the project if you do not account for the risk embodied in the new project? Why? What if you probably accounted for risk, by using CAPM?A drug company is considering investing $100 million today to bring a weight loss pill to the market. At the end of one year, the firm will know the payoff; there is a 0.50 probability that the pill will sell at a high price and generate $37 million per year of profit forever and a 0.50 probability that the pill will sell at a low price and generate $I million per year of profit forever. The interest rate is 10%. Suppose the firm decides to wait one year to determine whether the pill will sell at a high or low price. The firm will not invest if it learns that the pill will sell at a low price. What is the net present value of waiting one year to make the investment?O $88 millionO$122.72 millionO $201.22 millionO $64.5 million
- QUESTION 1 Elizabeth has decided to form a portfolio by putting 30% of her money into stock 1 and 70% into stock 2. She assumes that the expected returns will be 10% and 18%, respectively, and that the standard deviations will be 15% and 24%, respectively. Compute the standard deviation of the returns on the portfolio assuming that the two stocks' returns are uncorrelated. 17.4%. 27.4%. 7.4%. 11.4%. QUESTION 2 Elizabeth has decided to form a portfolio by putting 30% of her money into stock 1 and 70% into stock 2. She assumes that the expected returns will be 10% and 18%, respectively, and that the standard deviations will be 15% and 24%, respectively. Describe what happens to the standard deviation of the portfolio returns when the coefficient of correlation ρ decreases. The standard deviation of the portfolio returns decreases as the coefficient of correlation decreases. The standard deviation of the portfolio returns increases as the coefficient…Suppose Alex’s utility function is u ($x) = √x. Assume her initial wealth is 0. Is it possible that Alex’s expected utility from the prospect equals $5, why? What is the possible range of Alex’s expected utility?A woman with current wealth X has the opportunity to bet an amount on the occurrence of an event that she knows will occur with probability P. If she wagers W, she will received 2W, if the event occur and if it does not. Assume that the Bernoulli utility function takes the form u(x) = with r > 0. How much should she wager? Does her utility function exhibit CARA, DARA, IARA? Alex plays football for a local club in Kumasi. If he does not suffer any injury by the end of the season, he will get a professional contract with Kotoko, which is worth $10,000. If he is injured though, he will get a contract as a fitness coach worth $100. The probability of the injury is 10%. Describe the lottery What is the expected value of this lottery? What is the expected utility of this lottery if u(x) = Assume he could buy insurance at price P that could pay $9,900 in case of injury. What is the highest value of P that makes it worthwhile for Alex to purchase insurance? What is the certainty…