James, whose Bernoulli utility function is given by u(w) = w0.5, participates in a lottery which pays him $4 with probability 0.3, $21 with probability 0.4, and $37 otherwise. What is his certainty equivalent?
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James, whose Bernoulli utility function is given by u(w) = w0.5, participates in a lottery which pays him $4 with probability 0.3, $21 with probability 0.4, and $37 otherwise.
What is his certainty equivalent?
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- Consider an individual who maximizes his expected utility with the following utility function: U(x) = logX He is faced with the lottery with the following probabilities and payoffs Probability Money 0.4 30 0.5 100 0.1 50 a. Find his expected utility b. Calculate the Certainty Equivalent c. Find the amount that the individual will be willing to pay in order to avoid the lottery (That is, the risk premium)Calculate the risk premium of John when he faces the risky prospect X = {1, 4, 9, 16; 0.2, 0.4, 0.4, 0.0} . His utility function is u ( x ) = x , where x is wealth. (Use two decimals)Gary likes to gamble. Donna offers to bet him $31 on the outcome of a boat race. If Gary’s boat wins, Donna would give him $31. If Gary’s boat does not win, Gary would give her $31. Gary’s utility function is p1x^21+p2x^22, where p1 and p2 are the probabilities of events 1 and 2 and where x1 and x2 are his wealth if events 1 and 2 occur respectively. Gary’s total wealth is currently only $80 and he believes that the probability that he will win the race is 0.3. Which of the following is correct? (please submit the number corresponding to the correct answer). Taking the bet would reduce his expected utility. Taking the bet would leave his expected utility unchanged. Taking the bet would increase his expected utility. There is not enough information to determine whether taking the bet would increase or decrease his expected utility. The information given in the problem is self-contradictory.
- . Priyanka has an income of £90,000 and is a von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility maximiser with von Neumann-Morgenstern utility index u(x) √x . There is a 1 % probability that there is flooding damage at her house. The repair of the damage would cost £80,000 which would reduce the income to £10,000. a) Would Priyanka be willing to spend £500 to purchase an insurance policy that would fully insure her against this loss? Explain.Leo owns one share of Anteras, a semiconductor chip company which may have to recall millions of chips. The stock currently trades at $100/share. Leo believes the probability that they have to recall the chips is 50%. If the chips have to be recalled, the stock price will be cut in half, but otherwise it will remain $100. The expected value of Leo's share is ______ Assume Leo has the utility function, U(X)=√X. The minimum price Leo would accept to sell his share is _______ Leo's risk premium is ________Consider the following claim: “If a decision maker prefers one given lottery that yields $x with probability 1 over another given lottery whose expected return is $x, then we can fully characterize the agent's risk attitude. That is, this information comparing two given lotteries is enough to determine if the decision maker is risk averse, risk loving or risk neutral.” If this claim is TRUE, then provide a proof. If it is FALSE, then prove your argument by providing an explanation.
- Priyanka has an income of £90,000 and is a von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility maximiser with von Neumann-Morgenstern utility index u(x) = square root x . There is a 1 % probability that there is flooding damage at her house. The repair of the damage would cost £80,000 which would reduce the income to £10,000. a) Would Priyanka be willing to spend £500 to purchase an insurance policy that would fully insure her against this loss? ExplainBurger Prince Restaurant is considering the purchase of a $100,000 fire insurance policy. The fire statistics indicate that in a given year the probability of property damage in a fire is as follows: Fire Damage $100,000 $75,000 $50,000 $25,000 $10,000 $0 Probability .006 .002 .004 .003 .005 .980 If Burger Prince was risk neutral, how much would they be willing to pay for fire insurance? If Burger Prince has the utility values given below, approximately how much would they be willing to pay for fire insurance? Loss $100,000 $75,000 $50,000 $25,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 Utility 0 30 60 85 95 99 100For each of the following scenarios, determine whether the decision maker is risk neutral, risk averse, or risk loving.a) A manager prefers a 10 percent chance of receiving $1,000 and a 90 percent chance of receiving $100 to receiving $190 for sure.b) A shareholder prefers receiving $775 with certainty to a 75 percent chance of receiving $1,000 and a 25 percent chance of receiving $100.c) A consumer is indifferent between receiving $550 for sure and a lottery that pays $1,000 half of the time and $100 half of the time.
- Solve the following problem using an excel spreadsheet. A tobacco company isinterested in hiring a salesperson to promote smoking cigarettes in nightclubs. The position pays a flat salary of $50,000, regardless of sales levels. The firm has two applicants, Predictable Patty and Risky Ricky. Predictable Patty can produce with 100% certainty $100,000 a year in sales. Risky Ricky, on the other hand, can produce $300,000 with probability of 50%. But if he turns out to spend his time drinking and dancing in the nightclubs instead of making sales, he could actually cost the firm -$100,000 per year.a) During their first year on the job, what are the expected sales of Patty and Ricky? What are the firm’s expected profits on each worker?b) Now assume both workers are currently 25, and they will work until the retirement age of 65. The firm has the option to fire its new employee after one year based on sales, but can only hire one employee. Assume that it takes only one year to discover whether…Dr. Gambles has a utility function given as U(w)=In(w). Due to the pandemic affecting his consulting business, Dr Gambles faces the prospect of having his wealth reduced to £2 or £75,000 or £100,000 with probabilities of 0.15, 0.25, and 0.60, respectively. Suppose insurance is available that will protect his wealth from this risk. How much would he be willing to pay for such insurance?For each of the following scenarios, determine whether the decision maker is risk neutral, risk averse, or risk loving. a. A manager prefers a 20 percent chance of receiving $1,400 and an 80 percent chance of receiving $500 to receiving $680 for sure. b. A shareholder prefers receiving $920 with certainty to an 80 percent chance of receiving $1,100 and a 20 percent chance of receiving $200. c. A consumer is indifferent between receiving $1,360 for sure and a lottery that pays $2,000 with a 60 percent probability and $400 with a 40 percent probability.