145) help with this please!! Mark Price, the new productions manager for Speakers and Company, needs to find out which variable most affects the demand fortheir line of company speakers. He is uncertain whether the unit price of the product or the effects of increased marketing are themain drivers in sales and wants to use regression analysis to figure out which factor drives more demand for its particular market.Pertinent information was collected by an extensive marketing project that lasted over the past 12 years and was reduced to the datathat follow:HEERLESENEYEAR129101112UNIT SALES(THOUSANDS)3976978971,2801,1541,1878971,117990y bar:1,333925819PRICE $/UNIT281220207211220208217205Forecasted sales219207220237+ADVERTISING($000)575828a. Perform a regression analysis based on these data using Excel.Note: Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 4 decimal places.1,1171,4121,2151,2809061,117707906707684Price+c. Predict average yearly speaker sales for Speakers and Company based on the regression results if the price was $297 per unit andthe amount spent on advertising (in thousands) was $896.Note: Enter your answer in thousands. Round your intermediate calculations and final answer to 2 decimal places.thousand unitsadvertising

Regression Analysis is a statistical method where individuals and corporations can study the…

Mark Price, the new productions manager for Speakers and Company, needs to find out which variable most affects the demand for their line of company speakers. He is uncertain whether the unit price of the product or the effects of increased marketing are the main drivers in sales and wants to use regression analysis to figure out which factor drives more demand for its particular market. Pertinent information was collected by an extensive marketing project that lasted over the past 12 years and was reduced to the data that follow: YEAR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 UNIT SALES (THOUSANDS) 397 697 897 1,280 1,154 1,187 897 PRICE $/UNIT 281 220 207 211 220 208 217 ADVERTISING ($000) 575 828 1,117 1,412 1,215 1,280 906

Mark Price, the new productions manager for Speakers and Company, needs to find out which variable most affects the demand for their line of company speakers. He is uncertain whether the unit price of the product or the effects of increased marketing are the main drivers in sales and wants to use regression analysis to figure out which factor drives more demand for its particular market. Pertinent information was collected by an extensive marketing project that lasted over the past 12 years and was reduced to the data that follow: YEAR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 UNIT SALES (THOUSANDS) 397 697 897 1,280 1,154 1,187 897 PRICE $/UNIT 281 220 207 211 220 208 217 ADVERTISING ($000) 575 828 1,117 1,412 1,215 1,280 906

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 34P: A small computer chip manufacturer wants to forecast monthly ozperating costs as a function of the...

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The Baker Company wants to develop a budget to predict how overhead costs vary with activity levels. Management is trying to decide whether direct labor hours (DLH) or units produced is the better measure of activity for the firm. Monthly data for the preceding 24 months appear in the file P13_40.xlsx. Use regression analysis to determine which measure, DLH or Units (or both), should be used for the budget. How would the regression equation be used to obtain the budget for the firms overhead costs?
A small computer chip manufacturer wants to forecast monthly ozperating costs as a function of the number of units produced during a month. The company has collected the 16 months of data in the file P13_34.xlsx. a. Determine an equation that can be used to predict monthly production costs from units produced. Are there any outliers? b. How could the regression line obtained in part a be used to determine whether the company was efficient or inefficient during any particular month?
Do the sales prices of houses in a given community vary systematically with their sizes (as measured in square feet)? Answer this question by estimating a simple regression equation where the sales price of the house is the dependent variable, and the size of the house is the explanatory variable. Use the sample data given in P13_06.xlsx. Interpret your estimated equation, the associated R-square value, and the associated standard error of estimate.
Stock market analysts are continually looking for reliable predictors of stock prices. Consider the problem of modeling the price per share of electric utility stocks (Y). Two variables thought to influence this stock price are return on average equity (X1) and annual dividend rate (X2). The stock price, returns on equity, and dividend rates on a randomly selected day for 16 electric utility stocks are provided in the file P13_15.xlsx. Estimate a multiple regression equation using the given data. Interpret each of the estimated regression coefficients. Also, interpret the standard error of estimate and the R-square value for these data.
Suppose that a regional express delivery service company wants to estimate the cost of shipping a package (Y) as a function of cargo type, where cargo type includes the following possibilities: fragile, semifragile, and durable. Costs for 15 randomly chosen packages of approximately the same weight and same distance shipped, but of different cargo types, are provided in the file P13_16.xlsx. a. Estimate a regression equation using the given sample data, and interpret the estimated regression coefficients. b. According to the estimated regression equation, which cargo type is the most costly to ship? Which cargo type is the least costly to ship? c. How well does the estimated equation fit the given sample data? How might the fit be improved? d. Given the estimated regression equation, predict the cost of shipping a package with semifragile cargo.
The management of a technology company is trying to determine the variable that best explains the variation of employee salaries using a sample of 52 full-time employees; see the file P13_08.xlsx. Estimate simple linear regression equations to identify which of the following has the strongest linear relationship with annual salary: the employees gender, age, number of years of relevant work experience prior to employment at the company, number of years of employment at the company, or number of years of post secondary education. Provide support for your conclusion.
The file P13_42.xlsx contains monthly data on consumer revolving credit (in millions of dollars) through credit unions. a. Use these data to forecast consumer revolving credit through credit unions for the next 12 months. Do it in two ways. First, fit an exponential trend to the series. Second, use Holts method with optimized smoothing constants. b. Which of these two methods appears to provide the best forecasts? Answer by comparing their MAPE values.
The file P13_29.xlsx contains monthly time series data for total U.S. retail sales of building materials (which includes retail sales of building materials, hardware and garden supply stores, and mobile home dealers). a. Is seasonality present in these data? If so, characterize the seasonality pattern. b. Use Winters method to forecast this series with smoothing constants = = 0.1 and = 0.3. Does the forecast series seem to track the seasonal pattern well? What are your forecasts for the next 12 months?
The file P13_02.xlsx contains five years of monthly data on sales (number of units sold) for a particular company. The company suspects that except for random noise, its sales are growing by a constant percentage each month and will continue to do so for at least the near future. a. Explain briefly whether the plot of the series visually supports the companys suspicion. b. By what percentage are sales increasing each month? c. What is the MAPE for the forecast model in part b? In words, what does it measure? Considering its magnitude, does the model seem to be doing a good job? d. In words, how does the model make forecasts for future months? Specifically, given the forecast value for the last month in the data set, what simple arithmetic could you use to obtain forecasts for the next few months?
Management of a home appliance store would like to understand the growth pattern of the monthly sales of Blu-ray disc players over the past two years. Managers have recorded the relevant data in the file P13_33.xlsx. a. Create a scatterplot for these data. Comment on the observed behavior of monthly sales at this store over time. b. Estimate an appropriate regression equation to explain the variation of monthly sales over the given time period. Interpret the estimated regression coefficients. c. Analyze the estimated equations residuals. Do they suggest that the regression equation is adequate? If not, return to part b and revise your equation. Continue to revise the equation until the results are satisfactory.
The file P13_26.xlsx contains the monthly number of airline tickets sold by the CareFree Travel Agency. a. Create a time series chart of the data. Based on what you see, which of the exponential smoothing models do you think will provide the best forecasting model? Why? b. Use simple exponential smoothing to forecast these data, using a smoothing constant of 0.1. c. Repeat part b, but search for the smoothing constant that makes RMSE as small as possible. Does it make much of an improvement over the model in part b?
Management of a home appliance store wants to understand the growth pattern of the monthly sales of a new technology device over the past two years. The managers have recorded the relevant data in the file P13_05.xlsx. Have the sales of this device been growing linearly over the past 24 months? By examining the results of a linear trend line, explain why or why not.