Mr. Gotcha administers a "lie detection" test to a population of job applicants. He correctly states that, on average, his test is correct 80% of the time. The table below has to do with his study. ACTUAL Liar Truth teller Liar 160 TEST RESULT Truth teller 640 200 800 1,000 What is the base rate of lying in the population he is studying? 40/1000 = 4% 160/1000 = 16%

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Mr. Gotcha administers a "lie detection" test to a population of job applicants. He correctly states that, on average, his test is correct
80% of the time. The table below has to do with his study.
АCTUAL
Liar
Truth teller
Liar
160
TEST RESULT
640
Truth teller
200
800
1,000
What is the base rate of lying in the population he is studying?
40/1000 = 4%
160/1000 = 16%
%3D
200/1000 = 20%
%3D
160/320 = 50%
%3D
640/1000 = 64%
Transcribed Image Text:Mr. Gotcha administers a "lie detection" test to a population of job applicants. He correctly states that, on average, his test is correct 80% of the time. The table below has to do with his study. АCTUAL Liar Truth teller Liar 160 TEST RESULT 640 Truth teller 200 800 1,000 What is the base rate of lying in the population he is studying? 40/1000 = 4% 160/1000 = 16% %3D 200/1000 = 20% %3D 160/320 = 50% %3D 640/1000 = 64%
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