Phillip​ Witt, president of Witt Input​ Devices, wishes to create a portfolio of local suppliers for his new line of keyboards. Suppose that Phillip is willing to use one local supplier and up to two more located in other territories within the country. This would reduce the probability of a​ "super-event" that might shut down all suppliers at the same time at least 2 weeks to 0.5​%, but due to increased distance the annual costs for managing each of the distant suppliers would be ​$25,000 ​(still ​$15 comma 000 for the local​ supplier). A total shutdown would cost the company approximately ​$400,000. He estimates the​ "unique-event" risk for any of the suppliers to be 5​%. Assuming that the local supplier would be the first one​ chosen, how many suppliers should Witt Input Devices​ use? Find the EMV for alternatives using​ 1, 2, or 3 suppliers. ​EMV(1)equals=​$ ​(Enter your response rounded to the nearest whole​number.) ​EMV(2)equals=​$ ​(Enter your response rounded to the nearest whole​number.) ​EMV(3)equals=​$ ​(Enter your response rounded to the nearest whole​number.) Based on the EMV​ value, the best choice is to use ▼ three suppliers one supplier two suppliers

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 46P
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Phillip​ Witt, president of Witt Input​ Devices, wishes to create a portfolio of local suppliers for his new line of keyboards. Suppose that Phillip is willing to use one local supplier and up to two more located in other territories within the country. This would reduce the probability of a​ "super-event" that might shut down all suppliers at the same time at least 2 weeks to 0.5​%, but due to increased distance the annual costs for managing each of the distant suppliers would be ​$25,000 ​(still ​$15 comma 000 for the local​ supplier). A total shutdown would cost the company approximately ​$400,000. He estimates the​ "unique-event" risk for any of the suppliers to be 5​%. Assuming that the local supplier would be the first one​ chosen, how many suppliers should Witt Input Devices​ use? Find the EMV for alternatives using​ 1, 2, or 3 suppliers. ​EMV(1)equals=​$ ​(Enter your response rounded to the nearest whole​number.) ​EMV(2)equals=​$ ​(Enter your response rounded to the nearest whole​number.) ​EMV(3)equals=​$ ​(Enter your response rounded to the nearest whole​number.) Based on the EMV​ value, the best choice is to use ▼ three suppliers one supplier two suppliers

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