Please complete all work in excel.  Use excel to make the calculations (cells can be clicked on to view any formulas used) and be sure to identify your answer, including units.  You must have an excel file with formulas within the cell. An operations manager must purchase new equipment has developed a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (equipment options) and states of nature (demand market conditions).   states of nature   (market conditions) Alternatives Good Average Poor X800 $38,000 $21,000 -$18,000 Y900 $33,000 $16,000 -$12,000 Z1000 $29,000 $19,000 $6,000 If the probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.40 for a good market, 0.40 for an average market, and 0.20 for a poor market, determine: 1. the alternative that provides the greatest expected monetary value (EMV)

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section9.5: Multistage Decision Problems
Problem 17P
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Please complete all work in excel.  Use excel to make the calculations (cells can be clicked on to view any formulas used) and be sure to identify your answer, including units.  You must have an excel file with formulas within the cell.

  • An operations manager must purchase new equipment has developed a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (equipment options) and states of nature (demand market conditions).
 

states of nature

 

(market conditions)

Alternatives

Good

Average

Poor

X800

$38,000

$21,000

-$18,000

Y900

$33,000

$16,000

-$12,000

Z1000

$29,000

$19,000

$6,000

If the probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.40 for a good market, 0.40 for an average market, and 0.20 for a poor market, determine:

1. the alternative that provides the greatest expected monetary value (EMV)

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