Problem 11-6 Calculating Expected Return [LO 1] Consider the following information: Rate of STP Probability of State Return State of if State Economy Recession of Economy .19 Occurs -10 Normal .46 .12 Вoom .35 .31 Calculate the expected return. (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) Expected return %

Problem 11-6 Calculating Expected Return [LO 1] Consider the following information: Rate of STP Probability of State Return State of if State Economy Recession of Economy .19 Occurs -10 Normal .46 .12 Вoom .35 .31 Calculate the expected return. (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) Expected return %

Financial Reporting, Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation

8th Edition

ISBN:9781285190907

Author:James M. Wahlen, Stephen P. Baginski, Mark Bradshaw

Publisher:James M. Wahlen, Stephen P. Baginski, Mark Bradshaw

Chapter14: Valuation: Market-based Approach

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 18PC

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11.6 Calculating Returns and Standard Deviations Based on the following information, calculate the expected return and standard deviation: State of Economy Probability of SE Rate of Return If State Occurs Depression .15 -.148 Recession .30 .031 Normal .45 .162 Boom .10 .348
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Problem 10.16 projected financial statements for Walmart for Years +1 through +5. The following data for Walmart include the actual amounts for 2012 and the projected amounts for Years +1 through +5 for comprehensive income and common shareholders equity, assuming it will use implied dividends as the financial flexible account to balance the balance sheet (amounts in millions). Assume that the market equity beta for Walmart at the end of 2012 was 1.00. Assume that the risk-free interest rate was 3.0% and the market risk premium was 6.0%. Also assume that Walmart had 3,314 million shares outstanding at the end of 2012, and share price was 69.09. REQUIRED a. Use the CAPM to compute the required rate of return on common equity capital for Walmart. b. Compute the weighted-average cost of capital for Walmart as of the start of Year +1. At the end of 2012, Walmart had 48,222 million in outstanding interest-bearing debt on the balance sheet and no preferred stock. Assume that the balance sheet value of Walmarts debt is approximately equal to the market value of the debt. Assume that at the start of Year +1, it will incur interest expense of 4.2% on debt capital and that its average tax rate will be 32.0%. Walmart also had 5,395 million in equity capital from noncontrolling interests. Assume that this equity capital carries a 15.0% required rate of return. (For our forecasts, we assume noncontrolling interests are similar to preferred shares and receive dividends equal to the required rate of return each year.) c. Use the clean surplus accounting approach to derive the projected dividends for common shareholders for Years +1 through +5 based on the projected comprehensive income and shareholders equity amounts. (Throughout this problem, you can ignore dividends to noncontrolling interests.) d. Use the clean surplus accounting approach to project the continuing dividend to common shareholders in Year +6. Assume that the steady-state long-run growth rate will be 3% in Years +6 and beyond. e. Using the required rate of return on common equity from Requirement a as a discount rate, compute the sum of the present value of dividends to common shareholders for Walmart for Years +1 through +5. f. Using the required rate of return on common equity from Requirement a as a discount rate and the long-run growth rate from Requirement d, compute the continuing value of Walmart as of the beginning of Year +6 based on its continuing dividends in Years +6 and beyond. After computing continuing value, bring continuing value back to present value at the start of Year +1. g. Compute the value of a share of Walmart common stock, as follows: (1) Compute the sum of the present value of dividends including the present value of continuing value. (2) Adjust the sum of the present value using the midyear discounting adjustment factor. (3) Compute the per-share value estimate. h. Using the same set of forecast assumptions as before, recompute the value of Walmart shares under two alternative scenarios. To quantify the sensitivity of your share value estimate for Walmart to these variations in growth and discount rates, compare (in percentage terms) your value estimates under these two scenarios with your value estimate from Requirement g. Scenario 1: Assume that Walmarts long-run growth will be 2%, not 3% as before, and assume that its required rate of return on equity is 1 percentage point higher than the rate you computed using the CAPM in Requirement a. Scenario 2: Assume that Walmarts long-run growth will be 4%, not 3% as before, and assume that its required rate of return on equity is 1 percentage point lower than the rate you computed using the CAPM in Requirement a. i. What reasonable range of share values would you expect for Walmart common stock? Where is the current price for Walmart shares relative to this range? What do you recommend?
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