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- Question 2An investor is to purchase one of three types of real estate, as illustrated inFigure below. The investor must decide among an apartment building, anoffice building, and a warehouse. The future states of nature that willdetermine how much profit the investor will make are good economicconditions and poor economic conditions. The profits that will result fromeach decision in the event of each state of nature are shown in Table below: Assume that it is now possible to estimate a probability of 0.60 that goodeconomic conditions will exist and a probability of .40 that poor economicconditions will exist. a) Determine the best decision by using expected opportunity loss. b) Develop a decision tree, with expected values at the probability nodes. c) Compute the expected value of perfect information.53. The annual demand for Prizdol, a prescription drugmanufactured and marketed by the NuFeel Company,is normally distributed with mean 50,000 and standarddeviation 12,000. Assume that demand during each ofthe next 10 years is an independent random numberfrom this distribution. NuFeel needs to determine howlarge a Prizdol plant to build to maximize its expectedprofit over the next 10 years. If the company builds aplant that can produce x units of Prizdol per year, it willcost $16 for each of these x units. NuFeel will produceonly the amount demanded each year, and each unit ofPrizdol produced will sell for $3.70. Each unit of Prizdol produced incurs a variable production cost of $0.20.It costs $0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity.a. Among the capacity levels of 30,000, 35,000,40,000, 45,000, 50,000, 55,000, and 60,000 unitsper year, which level maximizes expected profit?Use simulation to answer this question.b. Using the capacity from your answer to part a,NuFeel can be 95%…P06_35.xlsx Shoe demand distribution Demand (100s of pairs) Probability 1 0.025 2 0.050 3 0.075 4 0.100 5 0.150 6 0.200 7 0.175 8 0.100 9 0.075 10 0.050 A buyer for a large department store chain must place orders with an athletic shoe manufacturer six months prior to the time the shoes will be sold in the department stores. The buyer must decide on November 1 how many pairs of the manufacturer’s newest model of tennis shoes to order for sale during the coming summer season. Assume that each pair of this new brand of tennis shoes costs the department store chain $65 per pair. Furthermore, assume that each pair of these shoes can then be sold to the chain’s customers for $90 per pair. Any pairs of these shoes remaining unsold at the end of the summer season will be sold in a closeout sale next fall for $20 each. The probability distribution of consumer demand for these tennis shoes during the coming…
- Suppose that there are two types of workers: high and low. Employers cannot distinguish between different types during an interview. Employers value high type at $200,000 and low type at $100,000. Employers are in a competitive market (i.e. zero profit applies). High type workers have a reservation wage of 140,000 and low type workers have a reservation wage of 80,000. Suppose that 50% of all workers are high type. The productivities, reservation wages, and the probabilities are common knowledge). What wage would the employers offer? Please explain the solution!Suppose XYZ Corporation's stock price rises or falls with equal probability by $25 each month, starting where it ended the previous month. What is the value of a three month at the-money European call option on XYZ's stock if the stock is priced at $100 when the option is purchased?$______I am in possession of two coins. One is fair so that it lands heads (H) and tails (T)with equal probability while the other coin is weighted so that it always lands H. Bothcoins are magical: if either is flipped and lands H then a $1 bill appears in your wallet,but when it lands T nothing happens. You may only flip a coin once per period. Theinterest rate is i per period. You are risk-neutral and thus only concern yourself withexpected values (and not variance). For simplicity, in the questions below assumeyou will live forever.1. How much are you willing to pay for such a coin that you know is fair? 2. How much are you willing to pay for such a coin that you know is weighted? 3. I currently own the coins and know which is fair and which is weighted, but youcannot tell which is which. You may make an offer to purchase a coin of yourchoosing, which I am free to accept or reject. What is the most you are willingto offer? Explain how you arrived at this answer.
- The owner of a ski resort is considering installing a new ski lift that will cost $900,000. Expenses for operating andmaintaining the lift are estimated to be $1,500 per day when operating. The U.S. Weather Service estimates thatthere is a 60% probability of 80 days of skiing weather per year, a 30% probability of 100 days per year, and a 10% probability of 120 days per year. The operators of the resort estimate that during the first 80 days of adequate snow in a season, an average of 500 people will use the lift each day, at a fee of $10 each. If 20 additional days are available, the lift will be used by only 400 people per day during the extra period; and if 20 more days of skiing are available, only 300 people per day will use the lift during those days. The owners wish to recover any invested capital within five years and want at least a 25% per year rate of return before taxes. Based on a before-tax analysis, should the lift be installed?Please no written by hand solution Kate recently invested in real estate with the intention of selling the property one year from today. She has modeled the returns on that investment based on three economic scenarios. She believes that if the economy stays healthy, then her investment will generate a 30 percent return. However, if the economy softens, as predicted, the return will be 10 percent, while the return will be -25 percent if the economy slips into a recession. If the probabilities of the healthy, soft, and recessionary states are 0.6, 0.2, and 0.2, respectively, then what are the expected return and the standard deviation of the return on Kate❝s investment? Calculate the coefficient of variation for this investment. (Round expected return to 3 decimal places, e.g. 0.125 and round intermediate calculations and standard deviation to 5 decimal places, e.g. 0.07680.)The data from 200 machined parts are summarizedas follows:y yesdepth of boreE, noabovebelowedge conditioncoarsetarget15target10moderatesmooth25205080(a) What is the probability that a part selected has a moderateedge condition and a below-target bore depth?(b) What is the probability that a part selected has a moderateedge condition or a below-target bore depth?(c) What is the probability that a part selected does not have amoderate edge condition or does not have a below-targetbore depth?(d) Construct a Venn diagram representation of the events inthis sample space.
- A property owner is faced with a choice of: A large-scale investment to improve her flats. This could produce a substantial pay-off in terms of increased revenue net of costs but will require an investment of 1.4 million pesos. After extensive market research it is considered that there is a 40% chance that a pay-off of 2.5million will be obtained, but there is a 60% chance that it will be only 800,000 pesos. A smaller scale project to re-decorate her premises. At 500,000 pesos this is less costly but will produce a lower pay-off. Research data suggests a 30% chance of a gain of one million pesos but a 70% chance of being only 500,000 pesos. Continuing the present operation without change. It will cost nothing but neither will it produce any pay-off. Clients will be unhappy and it will become harder to rent the flats out when they become free. What is the best alternative? Use decision tree analysis.Pls do fast and i will rate instantly for sure Solution must be in typed form Calculate the covariance for the returns of stock 1 and stock 2 given the six years of historical returns presented below: Given that the standard deviation of stock 1 and stock 2 in the table above is 0.2236 and 0.3225, respectively, use your answer in (A) to calculate and interpret the correlation between the 2 assets. Based on the characteristics of NSC and JSE above you are considering forming a portfolio comprising the two stocks such that you invest the following amounts: i. $40000 and $60000 in company NSC and JSE respectively in the first instance, and alternatively ii. $70000 and $30000 in company NSC and JSE respectively. C. What is the expected return and standard deviation of the portfolio in the two instances above? What is the expected return and standard deviation of the portfolio in the two instances above?You have drawn a painting that you want to sell to an anonymous buyer, but you do not know exactly how much they are willing to pay. Based on past experiences, you estimate that the buyer will be willing to pay in monetary units where a random variable is evenly distributed continuously over the interval [200, 500]. Let's assume that your assessment regarding the random variable is correct, i.e., that it is indeed evenly distributed continuously over the interval [200, 500]. What price �p will you choose if you want to maximize your expected profit? What will be your expected profit?