Suppose that there is a risky bet that promises a 50-50 chance of winning of losing $3500 for someone with a starting income of $66000. The certainty equivalence of this risky bet refers to the certain income that provides the same utility as does this risky bet (in expectation). Calculate the certainty equivalence of this risky bet respectively for the following utility functions: a. U (I)= √I 1 b. U (I)=- I in
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- Microeconomics Wilfred’s expected utility function is px1^0.5+(1−p)x2^0.5, where p is the probability that he consumes x1 and 1 - p is the probability that he consumes x2. Wilfred is offered a choice between getting a sure payment of $Z or a lottery in which he receives $2500 with probability p = 0.4 and $3700 with probability 1 - p. Wilfred will choose the sure payment if Z > CE and the lottery if Z < CE, where the value of CE is equal to ___ (please round your final answer to two decimal places if necessary)Q1. A farmer believes there is a 50-50 chance that the next growing season will be abnormally rainy. His expected utility function has the form Expected utility = 0.5lnYNR + 0.5lnYR Where and represent the farmers income in the state of ‘normal rain’ and ‘rainy’ respectively. Suppose the farmer must choose between two crops that promise the following income prospects Crop YNR YR Wheat $83,000 $10,000 Maize $83,000 $15000 What mix of wheat and maize would provide maximum expected utility to this farmer?Prospect Y = ($6, 0.25 ; $15, 0.75) If Will's utility of wealth function is given by u(x)=x0.25, what is the value of CE(Y) for Will? (In other words, what is Will's certainty equivalent for prospect Y?) (The certainty equivalent represents the maximum amount a person would be willing to pay to acquire a risky prospect, and equivalently, the lowest price for which they would be willing to sell a risky prospect if they already owned it) (Note: The answer may not be a whole number; please round to the nearest hundredth) (Note: The numbers may change between questions, so read carefully)
- Seung's utility function is given by U - C^(1/2), where C is consumption and C^(1/2) is the square root of consumption. She makes $50,625 per year and enjoys jumping out of airplanes. There's a 5% chance that in the next year, she will break both legs, incur medical costs of $30,000, and lose an additional $5,000 from missing work. a. What is Seung's expected utility without insurance? b. Suppose Seung can buy insurance that will cover the medical expenses but not the forgone part of her salary. How much would an actuarially fair policy cost, and what is the expected utility if she buys it? Policy cost: $___ Expected utility: ___ c. Suppose Seung can buy insurance that will cover her medical expenses and foregone salary. How much would such a policy cost if it's actuarially fair, and what is her expected utility if she buys it? Policy cost: $___ Expected Utility: ___Suppose that the consumer is asked to contemplate a gamble with a probability of 60% of winning Birr 10,000 with a utility of 10 utils, and a 40% probability of winning Birr 15,000 with a utility of 12 utils. A. What will be the expected income and expected utility of the consumer? B. If the utility of this consumer from a risk free alternative which gives him an income equal to the expected income of the risky alternative given above is equal to 11 utils, is this consumer risk lover or risk averse? Why? Illustrate your answer with the help of a diagramGivenu(x)=x0.5 Lottery A Probability 0.50 0.25 0.25 Outcome 64 16 0 For automatic grading, give all numerical answers to exactly two decimal places. Do not include currency signs 1) What is the expected value? (Give the answer as 36.00, not 36) 2) What is the expected utility? 3) What is the certainty equivalent? (Number only) 4) What is the risk premium? 5) Would this person rather receive 20 for sure than play Lottery A? (Answer should be Y or N for auto-grading to work) 6) (Harder) In many applications of expected utility, it is possible to lose money. The usual way of handling this is to interpret utility in terms of final wealth. Suppose it costs money to play this lottery. If starting wealth is 100, calculate the expected utility of playing lottery A if the price of playing is 15. Your answer should be to two decimal places. (Note: calculating the certainty equivalent of the lottery would be a little different than we've done in class. Squaring your EU result would give…
- Millicent’s utility function is U(w) = W0.5 , where W is her wealth. She owns a “pure water” producing firm that will be worth GH100 or 0 Ghana cedis next year with equal probability. a. Suppose her firm is the only asset she has. What is the lowest price at which she will agree to sell her pure water? (Hint: price=amount that will give her the same expected utility) b. Assume that she has GH200 safely stored under her mattress, find the new lowest price at which she will agree to sell her “pure water” producing firm c. From your answers in parts (a) and (b), what is the relationship between her wealth and her degree of risk aversion?. If you examine the decision tree in Figure 9.12 (orany other decision trees from PrecisionTree), you willsee two numbers (in blue font) to the right of each endnode. The bottom number is the combined monetaryvalue from following the corresponding path throughthe tree. The top number is the probability that thispath will be followed, given that the best strategy isused. With this in mind, explain (1) how the positiveprobabilities following the end nodes are calculated,(2) why some of the probabilities following the endnodes are 0, and (3) why the sum of the probabilitiesfollowing the end nodes is necessarily 1.Suppose Grace and Lisa are to go to dinner. Lisa is visiting Grace from outof town, and they are to meet at a local restaurant. When Lisa lived in town,they had two favorite restaurants: Bel Loc Diner and the Corner Stable. Ofcourse, Lisa’s information is out of date, but Grace knows which is betterthese days. Assume that the probability that the Bel Loc Diner is better isp > 1/2 and the probability that the Corner Stable is better is 1 - p. Naturedetermines which restaurant Grace thinks is better. Grace then sends amessage to Lisa, either “Let’s go to the Bel Loc Diner,” “Let’s go to theCorner Stable,” or “I don’t know [which is better].” Lisa receives the message, and then Grace and Lisa simultaneously decide which restaurant to go to. Payoffs are such that Grace and Lisa want to go to the same restaurant, but they prefer it to be the one that Grace thinks is better. More specifically, if, in fact, the Bel Loc Diner is better, then the payoffs from theiractions are as shown in the…
- Suppose Caroline is choosing how to allocate her portfolio between two asset classes: risk-free government bonds and a risky group of diversified stocks. The following table shows the risk and return associated with different combinations of stocks and bonds.CombinationFraction of Portfolio in Diversified StocksAverage Annual ReturnStandard Deviation of Portfolio Return (Risk)(Percent)(Percent)(Percent)A 0 1.50 0B 25 3.00 5C 50 4.50 10D 75 6.00 15E 100 7.50 20There is a relationship between the risk of Caroline's portfolio and its average annual return.Suppose Caroline currently allocates 75% of her portfolio to a diversified group of stocks and 25% of her portfolio to risk-free bonds; that is, she chooses combination D. She wants to reduce the level of risk associated with her portfolio from a standard deviation of 15 to a standard deviation of 5. In order to do so, she must do which of the following? Check all that apply. Sell some of her stocks and use the proceeds to purchase…Prospect Y = ($4, 0.25 ; $16, 0.75) If Will's utility of wealth function is given by u(x)=x0.25, what is the value of U(EV(Y)) for Will? (In other words, how much utility would Will get were he to receive the expected value of Y?) (Note: The answer may not be a whole number; please round to the nearest hundredth) (Note: The numbers may change between questions, so read carefully)Prospect Y = ($10, 0.25 ; $13, 0.75) If Will's utility of wealth function is given by u(x)=x0.25, what is the value of EU(Y) for Will? (In other words, what Expected Utility does Will receive from prospect Y?) (Note: The answer may not be a whole number; please round to the nearest hundredth) (Note: The numbers may change between questions, so read carefully)