Suppose that you have molecular type with unknown atomic mass 0. You have an atomic scale with normally-distributed error of mean 0 and variance 0.5. (a) Suppose your prior on the atomic mass is N(80, 4). If the scale reads 85, what is your posterior pdf for the atomic mass? (b) With the same prior as in part (a), compute the smallest number of measurements needed so that the posterior variance is less than 0.01.

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Suppose that you have molecular type with unknown atomic mass 0.
You have an atomic scale with normally-distributed error of mean 0 and variance 0.5.
(a) Suppose your prior on the atomic mass is N(80, 4). If the scale reads 85, what is your
posterior pdf for the atomic mass?
(b) With the same prior as in part (a), compute the smallest number of measurements
needed so that the posterior variance is less than 0.01.
Transcribed Image Text:Suppose that you have molecular type with unknown atomic mass 0. You have an atomic scale with normally-distributed error of mean 0 and variance 0.5. (a) Suppose your prior on the atomic mass is N(80, 4). If the scale reads 85, what is your posterior pdf for the atomic mass? (b) With the same prior as in part (a), compute the smallest number of measurements needed so that the posterior variance is less than 0.01.
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