Suppose X is a Poisson random variable with rate parameter A, where A is a random variable itself following a gamma prior distribution with known parameters a and ß. (a) Show that the posterior distribution of A given X = z is also a gamma distribu- tion, but with paramaters a +z and 3+1 [Note: we have now shown that the gamma distribution is the conjugate prior for the Poisson distribution.]

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2. Suppose X is a Poisson random variable with rate parameter A, where A is a random
variable itself following a gamma prior distribution with known parameters a and ß.
(a) Show that the posterior distribution of A given X = 1 is also a gamma distribu-
tion, but with paramaters a + z and
B+1'
[Note: we have now shown that the gamma distribution is the conjugate prior for
the Poisson distribution.]
(b) Show that the Bayesian estimator, given by the mean of the posterior distribution
for A, is
 = B(a + 1)
B+1
Transcribed Image Text:2. Suppose X is a Poisson random variable with rate parameter A, where A is a random variable itself following a gamma prior distribution with known parameters a and ß. (a) Show that the posterior distribution of A given X = 1 is also a gamma distribu- tion, but with paramaters a + z and B+1' [Note: we have now shown that the gamma distribution is the conjugate prior for the Poisson distribution.] (b) Show that the Bayesian estimator, given by the mean of the posterior distribution for A, is  = B(a + 1) B+1
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