The BB Roadwatch service predict delays on a particular route with probability 2/5. However, their computer model is not completely accurate: when a delay is predicted, one actually occurs with probability 3/4; when a delay is not predicted, one occurs with probability 1/4. Given that you are delayed on this route, what is the probability it was predicted?

College Algebra
10th Edition
ISBN:9781337282291
Author:Ron Larson
Publisher:Ron Larson
Chapter8: Sequences, Series,and Probability
Section8.7: Probability
Problem 11ECP: A manufacturer has determined that a machine averages one faulty unit for every 500 it produces....
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The BB Roadwatch service predict delays on a particular route with probability 2/5. However, their computer model is not completely
accurate: when a delay is predicted, one actually occurs with probability 3/4; when a delay is not predicted, one occurs with probability 1/4.
Given that you are delayed on this route, what is the probability it was predicted?
Transcribed Image Text:The BB Roadwatch service predict delays on a particular route with probability 2/5. However, their computer model is not completely accurate: when a delay is predicted, one actually occurs with probability 3/4; when a delay is not predicted, one occurs with probability 1/4. Given that you are delayed on this route, what is the probability it was predicted?
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