The Department of Transportation wishes to choose between two alternative accident prevention programs. It has identified three benefits to be gained from such programs: 1. Reduced property damage, both to the vehicles involved in an accident and to other property (e.g., real estate that may be damaged at the scene of an accident) 2. Reduced injuries 3. Reduced fatalities The department’s experts are willing to provide dollar estimates of property damage savings that are expected to accrue from any program, but they will estimate only the number of injuries and fatalities that may be averted. The first program is relatively moderate in its costs and will be concentrated in a large city. It involves upgrading traffic signals, improving road markers, and repaving some potholed streets. Because of the concentration and value of property in the city, savings from reduced property damage are expected to be substantial. Likewise, a moderate number of traffic-related deaths and injuries could be avoided. The second program is more ambitious. It involves straightening long sections of dangerous rural roads and installing improved guardrails. Although the property damage savings are expected to be small in relation to total cost, the reduction in traffic-related deaths and injuries should be substantial. The following table summarizes the expected costs and payoffs of the two programs: Year 1 2 3 4 Total Alternative #1 Cost ($000) 200 200 100 50 550 Reduced property damage ($000) 50 100 250 100 500 Lives saved 60 40 35 25 160 Injuries prevented 500 425 300 150 1,375 Alternative #2 Cost ($000) 700 1,800 1,100 700 4,300 Reduced property damage ($000) 150 225 475 300 1,150 Lives saved 50 75 100 125 350 Injuries prevented 800 850 900 900 3,450 Assume that a 10 percent discount rate is appropriate for evaluating government programs. The net present cost of Alternative 1 is and the net present cost of Alternative 2 is . Based on the benefit-cost ratios, which alternative is more efficient in reducing property damage?
The Department of Transportation wishes to choose between two alternative accident prevention programs. It has identified three benefits to be gained from such programs: 1. Reduced property damage, both to the vehicles involved in an accident and to other property (e.g., real estate that may be damaged at the scene of an accident) 2. Reduced injuries 3. Reduced fatalities The department’s experts are willing to provide dollar estimates of property damage savings that are expected to accrue from any program, but they will estimate only the number of injuries and fatalities that may be averted. The first program is relatively moderate in its costs and will be concentrated in a large city. It involves upgrading traffic signals, improving road markers, and repaving some potholed streets. Because of the concentration and value of property in the city, savings from reduced property damage are expected to be substantial. Likewise, a moderate number of traffic-related deaths and injuries could be avoided. The second program is more ambitious. It involves straightening long sections of dangerous rural roads and installing improved guardrails. Although the property damage savings are expected to be small in relation to total cost, the reduction in traffic-related deaths and injuries should be substantial. The following table summarizes the expected costs and payoffs of the two programs: Year 1 2 3 4 Total Alternative #1 Cost ($000) 200 200 100 50 550 Reduced property damage ($000) 50 100 250 100 500 Lives saved 60 40 35 25 160 Injuries prevented 500 425 300 150 1,375 Alternative #2 Cost ($000) 700 1,800 1,100 700 4,300 Reduced property damage ($000) 150 225 475 300 1,150 Lives saved 50 75 100 125 350 Injuries prevented 800 850 900 900 3,450 Assume that a 10 percent discount rate is appropriate for evaluating government programs. The net present cost of Alternative 1 is and the net present cost of Alternative 2 is . Based on the benefit-cost ratios, which alternative is more efficient in reducing property damage?
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The Department of Transportation wishes to choose between two alternative accident prevention programs. It has identified three benefits to be gained from such programs:
1. | Reduced property damage, both to the vehicles involved in an accident and to other property (e.g., real estate that may be damaged at the scene of an accident) |
2. | Reduced injuries |
3. | Reduced fatalities |
The department’s experts are willing to provide dollar estimates of property damage savings that are expected to accrue from any program, but they will estimate only the number of injuries and fatalities that may be averted.
The first program is relatively moderate in its costs and will be concentrated in a large city. It involves upgrading traffic signals, improving road markers, and repaving some potholed streets. Because of the concentration and value of property in the city, savings from reduced property damage are expected to be substantial. Likewise, a moderate number of traffic-related deaths and injuries could be avoided.
The second program is more ambitious. It involves straightening long sections of dangerous rural roads and installing improved guardrails. Although the property damage savings are expected to be small in relation to total cost, the reduction in traffic-related deaths and injuries should be substantial.
The following table summarizes the expected costs and payoffs of the two programs:
Year
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
Total
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alternative #1 | |||||
Cost ($000) | 200 | 200 | 100 | 50 | 550 |
Reduced property damage ($000) | 50 | 100 | 250 | 100 | 500 |
Lives saved | 60 | 40 | 35 | 25 | 160 |
Injuries prevented | 500 | 425 | 300 | 150 | 1,375 |
Alternative #2 | |||||
Cost ($000) | 700 | 1,800 | 1,100 | 700 | 4,300 |
Reduced property damage ($000) | 150 | 225 | 475 | 300 | 1,150 |
Lives saved | 50 | 75 | 100 | 125 | 350 |
Injuries prevented | 800 | 850 | 900 | 900 | 3,450 |
Assume that a 10 percent discount rate is appropriate for evaluating government programs.
The net present cost of Alternative 1 is and the net present cost of Alternative 2 is .
Based on the benefit-cost ratios, which alternative is more efficient in reducing property damage?
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