The lease of Theme Park, Ic., is about to expire. Management must decide whether to renew the lease for another 10 years or to relocate near the site of a proposed motel. The town planning board is currently debating the merits of granting approval to the motel. A consultant has estimated the net present value of Theme Park's two alternatives under each state of nature as shown below. Suppose that the management of Theme Park, Ic., has decided that there is a 0.40 probability that the motel's application will be approved. Motel Approved $ 600,000 2,500,000 Motel Options Renew Rejected $4,500,000 300,000 Relocate a-1. If management uses maximum expected monetary value as the decision criterion, calculate expected monetary value for the alternatives "Renew" and "Relocate".
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The amount that a person would be ready to pay to obtain perfect information is known as the expected value of perfect information in decision theory. It is the variation between expected payout under certainty and expected financial value. Expected opportunity loss is also equivalent to the EVPI.
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- Betty, the chief of nursing executive, need to make a decision about buying 340 new hospital beds for patient rooms. After she interviewed nurse managers at the units where the beds were going to be placed, Betty compiled her findings and decided to contact a well-known equipment company to obtain prices and a bid. No bids from other companies were obtained. The equipment company’s executive salesperson, Jim, discussed options at length with her and invited her and her significant other to an upcoming all-expense-paid, lavish junket at a five-star hotel in Hawaii to see demonstrations of the beds and experience a comprehensive sales program. Betty thought, “We badly need some relaxations and stress relief. Hawaii would be so much fun. Would it be wrong for us to go? If you were Betty, what would you do? Justify your answer with ethical framework: theory, approach or principle. Discuss the ethical principles at stake. What breaches are possible? Do you consider this situation a conflict…To protect themselves, restaurant owners should make their lease contingent on obtaining the necessary? a SBA approval b loans c licenses and permits d partnersAn investor has patented a new device, and a bank is willing to lend the money to manufacture the device. Preliminary investigation establishes a suitable planning period of 5 years for the comparison of payoffs from this invention. According to the investor’s analysis, profit of $800,000 can be anticipated over the next 5 years if sales are strong; if sales are average, the investor can expect to make $200,000; and if sales are week, the investor expects to loss $50,000. Nationwide Enterprises, Inc. has offered to purchase the patent rights. Based on royalty arrangement, the inventor estimates that selling the patent rights may well bring a net profit of $400,000 if sales are strong, $70,000 if sales are average and $10,000 if sales are week. On the basis of extensive investigation of past experience with similar devices, the investor assigns the probabilities for strong, average, and week sales to be 0.2, 0.5, and 0.3 respectively. 1. Setup the payoff table for the inventor’s…
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