The recidivism rate for convicted sex offenders is 16%.  A warden suspects that this percent is higher if the sex offender is also a drug addict. Of the 318 convicted sex offenders who were also drug addicts, 54 of them became repeat offenders. What can be concluded at the αα = 0.05 level of significance? For this study, we should use Select an answer z-test for a population proportion t-test for a population mean  The null and alternative hypotheses would be:      Ho: ? μ p  Select an answer ≠ = > <   (please enter a decimal)     H1: ? μ p  Select an answer ≠ < = >   (Please enter a decimal) The test statistic ? z t  =  (please show your answer to 3 decimal places.)

Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897, 0079039898, 2018
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ISBN:9780079039897
Author:Carter
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Chapter10: Statistics
Section10.1: Measures Of Center
Problem 9PPS
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The recidivism rate for convicted sex offenders is 16%.  A warden suspects that this percent is higher if the sex offender is also a drug addict. Of the 318 convicted sex offenders who were also drug addicts, 54 of them became repeat offenders. What can be concluded at the αα = 0.05 level of significance?

  1. For this study, we should use Select an answer z-test for a population proportion t-test for a population mean 
  2. The null and alternative hypotheses would be:    
     Ho: ? μ p  Select an answer ≠ = > <   (please enter a decimal)   
     H1: ? μ p  Select an answer ≠ < = >   (Please enter a decimal)
  1. The test statistic ? z t  =  (please show your answer to 3 decimal places.)
  2. The p-value =  (Please show your answer to 4 decimal places.)
  3. The p-value is ? > ≤  αα
  4. Based on this, we should Select an answer reject fail to reject accept  the null hypothesis.
  5. Thus, the final conclusion is that ...
    • The data suggest the populaton proportion is significantly higher than 16% at αα = 0.05, so there is statistically significant evidence to conclude that the population proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is higher than 16%.
    • The data suggest the population proportion is not significantly higher than 16% at αα = 0.05, so there is statistically significant evidence to conclude that the population proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is equal to 16%.
    • The data suggest the population proportion is not significantly higher than 16% at αα = 0.05, so there is statistically insignificant evidence to conclude that the population proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is higher than 16%.
  6. Interpret the p-value in the context of the study.
    • If the population proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is 16% and if another 318 convicted sex offender drug addicts are surveyed then there would be a 31.66% chance that more than 17% of the 318 convicted sex offender drug addicts in the study will become repeat offenders.
    • There is a 31.66% chance that more than 16% of all convicted sex offender drug addicts become repeat offenders.
    •  There is a 31.66% chance of a Type I error.
    • If the sample proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is 17% and if another 318 convicted sex offender drug addicts are observed then there would be a 31.66% chance of concluding that more than 16% of all convicted sex offender drug addicts become repeat offenders.
  7. Interpret the level of significance in the context of the study.
    • If the population proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is higher than 16% and if another 318 convicted sex offender drug addicts are observed then there would be a 5% chance that we would end up falsely concluding that the proportion of all convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is equal to 16%.
    • There is a 5% chance that Lizard People aka "Reptilians" are running the world.
    • If the population proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is 16% and if another 318 convicted sex offender drug addicts are observed, then there would be a 5% chance that we would end up falsely concluding that the proportion of all convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is higher than 16%.
    • There is a 5% chance that the proportion of all convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is higher than 16%.
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