There are four axioms that underpin Expected Utility Theory. Match the names of these axioms to the four descriptions below. Prompts If lottery A is preferred to lottery B; and lottery B is preferred to lottery C; then lottery A must be preferred to lottery C. For every pair of possible lotteries, A and B; either A is preferred to B, B is preferred to A, or A is valued indifferently to B. There is nothing so good (or so bad) that it does not become insignificant if it occurs with small enough probability. Submitted Answers Choose a match Choose a match Choose a match
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- Betty is looking for a job. She considers job opportunities intwo cities. Bettyís utility is given by y- x, where y is the lifetime income andx is the amount spent on buying a house. The income from City 1 fluctuatesalthough the house price is stable. On the contrary, the income from City2 is stable while the house price fluctuates. If she moves to City 1, Bettycan earn a lifetime income y1 with probability alpha and 1 + y1 with probability1-alpha . The house price in City 1 is x1. Moving to City 2 means that Bettycan earn an income of y2. However, the house price is x2 with probabilitygamma and 1 + x2 with probability 1-gamma . Do the following: (a) Write down theexpected utilities associated with living in the two respective cities, i.e., V1and V2. (b) Derive the condition under which Betty chooses City 1.A woman with current wealth X has the opportunity to bet an amount on the occurrence of an event that she knows will occur with probability P. If she wagers W, she will received 2W, if the event occur and if it does not. Assume that the Bernoulli utility function takes the form u(x) = with r > 0. How much should she wager? Does her utility function exhibit CARA, DARA, IARA? Alex plays football for a local club in Kumasi. If he does not suffer any injury by the end of the season, he will get a professional contract with Kotoko, which is worth $10,000. If he is injured though, he will get a contract as a fitness coach worth $100. The probability of the injury is 10%. Describe the lottery What is the expected value of this lottery? What is the expected utility of this lottery if u(x) = Assume he could buy insurance at price P that could pay $9,900 in case of injury. What is the highest value of P that makes it worthwhile for Alex to purchase insurance? What is the certainty…Present the classical model of choice under uncertainty. What are the five assump- tions which characterize the Von-Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility repre- sentation?
- Y5 Alfred is a risk-averse person with $100 in monetary wealth and owns a house worth $300, for total wealth of $400. The probability that his house is destroyed by fire (equivalent to a loss of $300) is pne = 0.5. If he exerts an effort level e = 0.3 to keep his house safe, the probability falls to pe = 0.2. His utility function is: U = w0.5 – e where e is effort level exerted (zero in the case of no effort and 0.3 in the case of effort).a. In the absence of insurance, does Alfred exert effort to lower the probability of fire?HINT: Calculate and compare the expected utility i) with effort, and ii) without effort. If effort is exerted, then the effort cost is paid regardless of whether or not a fire occurs.b. Alfred is considering buying fire insurance. The insurance agent explains that a home owner’s insurance policy would require paying a premium α and would repay the value of the house in the event of fire, minus a deductible “D”. [A deductible is an amount of money that the…Consider an individual for whom utility is U = ln(I) There are two states of the world (G,B): Outcome G = 2000 with probability .4 Outcome B = 1000 with probability .6 W1 = 2000 L = 1000 π = .6 Option = invest $50 to lower π to .2 An insurance company is willing to offer a contract in which the individual pays a premium and gets full compensation for the loss (1000) in the bad state. a) With no insurance but the option of investing the $50, what is the utility of the individual? b) What is the first-best outcome for utility of the individual, insurance premium, and profits of the insurance company?ASAP Consider an individual for whom utility is U = ln(I) There are two states of the world (G,B): Outcome G = 2000 with probability .4 Outcome B = 1000 with probability .6 W1 = 2000 L = 1000 π = .6 Option = invest $50 to lower π to .2 An insurance company is willing to offer a contract in which the individual pays a premium and gets full compensation for the loss (1000) in the bad state. a) With no insurance but the option of investing the $50, what is the utility of the individual? b) What is the first-best outcome for utility of the individual, insurance premium, and profits of the insurance company?
- An individual is oered a choice of either $50 or a lottery which may result in $0and $100, each with equal probability 1/2 . If the individual has a utility function u(w) = 5 + 2w, which one would they choose? If the individual has a utility function u(w) =w1/2 + 1?Seung’s utility function is given by U = ln(C), where C is consumption. She makes $30,000 per year and enjoy jumping out of airplanes. There's a 5% chance that in the next year, she will break both legs, incur medical costs of $15,000, and lose an additional $5,000 from missing work. (a) What is Seung’s expected utility without insurance? (b) Suppose Seung can buy insurance that will cover the medical expenses but not the forgone part of her salary. How much would an actuarially fair policy cost, and what is her expected utility if she buys it? (c) Suppose Seung can buy insurance that will cover her medical expenses and forgone salary. How much would such a policy cost if it's actuarially fair, and what is her expected utility if she buys it?Seung's utility function is given by U - C^(1/2), where C is consumption and C^(1/2) is the square root of consumption. She makes $50,625 per year and enjoys jumping out of airplanes. There's a 5% chance that in the next year, she will break both legs, incur medical costs of $30,000, and lose an additional $5,000 from missing work. a. What is Seung's expected utility without insurance? b. Suppose Seung can buy insurance that will cover the medical expenses but not the forgone part of her salary. How much would an actuarially fair policy cost, and what is the expected utility if she buys it? Policy cost: $___ Expected utility: ___ c. Suppose Seung can buy insurance that will cover her medical expenses and foregone salary. How much would such a policy cost if it's actuarially fair, and what is her expected utility if she buys it? Policy cost: $___ Expected Utility: ___
- Are the following preferences consistent with von Neumann Morgenstern’s axioms to maximize expected utility? Explain. a. You would rather have a sure $200 to a gamble with p=0.7 chance of $200, p=0.1 chance of $50, p=0.2 chance of $300. b. You prefer the gamble of p=2/3 chance of $300 and p=1/3 chance of $50 than a sure $250 win.Donna just paid $800 for a new iPhone. Apple offers a two year extended warranty for $200 and Donna is considering purchasing it. She has utility given by U(X)=√X. Without the extended warranty, the iPhone becomes worthless if it breaks. What is the minimum probability, p, that the iPhone breaks in the next two years that will cause Donna to prefer to purchase the extended warranty? p=_____________ If the probability that her phone breaks is p=0.25, will Donna will prefer to buy or not buy the warranty?Kindly assist on the questions below 1) Dan is an expected utility maximizer with a utility function over wealth given by : u(w) = 2√w +10 Dan faces a gamble of where there are equal chances to win $9 or $16. The certainty equivalent of this gamble is a) 3.5 b) 17 c)2√13 +10 d) not enough information to compute e) 20 2) Consider a expected utility maximizing consumer with preferences represented by u(w)= w2 If they face a loss that occurs with a 15% probability (select all that applies) a) fair insurance will be priced at 15% per dollar b) fair insurance will leave them with wealth equal to their certainty equivalent c)they will choose to fully insure themselves with fair insurance d)they will always buy more insurance than a risk neutral person