Time Estimates (days) Activity START Optimistic Most Likely Pessimisitic Immediate Predecessor(s) 0 0 0 328 O ABCDEFGHIN 6 10 15 START 0 16 0 1 2 J 1 K 0 L 1 FINISH 0 12530222312O 3 32 6 5 AABD 14 C 3 D 4 G 2 CG 4 T 3 4 0 H J. K E, F, L

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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Consider the office renovation project data in the following table. A​ "zero" time estimate means that the activity could take a very small amount of time and should be treated as a numeric zero in the analysis.

a. Based on the critical​ path, find the probability of completing the office renovation project by 39 days. Refer to the
standard normal table ​(Make sure to round all intermediate calculations for te and variance to two decimal​ places.)
 
The probability is
Time Estimates (days)
Activity
START
Optimistic
Most Likely
Pessimisitic
Immediate Predecessor(s)
0
0
0
328 O
ABCDEFGHIN
6
10
15
START
0
16
0
1
2
J
1
K
0
L
1
FINISH
0
12530222312O
3
32
6
5
AABD
14
C
3
D
4
G
2
CG
4
T
3
4
0
H
J. K
E, F, L
Transcribed Image Text:Time Estimates (days) Activity START Optimistic Most Likely Pessimisitic Immediate Predecessor(s) 0 0 0 328 O ABCDEFGHIN 6 10 15 START 0 16 0 1 2 J 1 K 0 L 1 FINISH 0 12530222312O 3 32 6 5 AABD 14 C 3 D 4 G 2 CG 4 T 3 4 0 H J. K E, F, L
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