To win a game, Roger needs to score 2,000 points. So far, he has scored 837 points. How many more points does Roger need to score?
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- 1. Suppose you are going on a weekend trip to a city that is d miles away. Develop a model that determines your round-trip gasoline costs. What assumptions or approximations are necessary to treat this model as a deterministic model? Are these assumptions or approximations acceptable to you? 2. Suppose that a manager has a choice between the following two mathematical models of a given situation: (a)a relatively simple model that is a reasonable approximation of the real situation, and (b)a thorough and complex model that is the most accurate mathematical representation of the real situation possible. Why might the model described in part (a) be preferred by the manager?3. Using the following table, perform ALL FIVE of the techniques for Decision Making under Uncertainty: Maximax, Maximin, Hurwicz Realism (α = 0.4), LaPlace and Minimax Regret. Show the work on excel file. SIZE OF FIRST STATION GOOD MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET ($) ($) ($) Small 50,000 20,000 -10,000 Medium 80,000 30,000 -20,000 Large 100,000 30,000 -40,000 Very large 300,000 25,000 -160,000a. Maximize Z = 6X1 + 18X2+20X3 (Don't use excel shortcut solve manually by Simplex LPP method)Sub toX1 + X2 +X3 = 6010X1 +15X2 +20X3 = 9002X1 + 3X2 +3X3≤100And X1, X2, X3 >=0
- A company manufactures two products. If it charges aprice pi for product i, it can sell qi units of product i, whereq1 60 3p1 p2 and q2 80 2p2 p1. It costs $25to produce a unit of product 1 and $72 to produce a unit ofproduct 2. How many units of each product should beproduced to maximize profits?A company manufactures two products. If it chargesprice pi for product i, it can sell qi units of product i,where q1 = 60 - 3p1 + p2 and q2 = 80 - 2p2 + p1. Itcosts $5 to produce a unit of product 1 and $12 to produce a unit of product 2. How many units of eachproduct should the company produce, and what pricesshould it charge, to maximize its profit? Use spreadsheet modelling in ExcelIn Example 11.1, the possible profits vary from negative to positive for each of the 10 possible bids examined. a. For each of these, use @RISKs RISKTARGET function to find the probability that Millers profit is positive. Do you believe these results should have any bearing on Millers choice of bid? b. Use @RISKs RISKPERCENTILE function to find the 10th percentile for each of these bids. Can you explain why the percentiles have the values you obtain?
- Aa6. please solve with formulas not excellQ2. What is the optimal solution and what is the value of the objective function? Show the relevant portion of the Solver’s output. Fully interpret the results. Q3. What are the objective coefficient ranges for the four stocks? Show the relevant portion of the Solver’s output. Fully interpret these ranges. Q4. Suppose the investor decides that the annual rate of return no longer has to be at least 9% and agrees to at minimum level of 8%. What does the shadow price associated with this constraint indicate about a possible change in total risk that could occur from this lower rate of return? Show the relevant portion of the Solver’s output. Fully interpret the results.009. from: small and medium. There are two flavors to choose from: chocolate and strawberry. There are two toppings to choose from: cherries and nuts. The tree diagram below shows the possible outcomes. Use the diagram to answer the questions. Size small medium Flavor chocolate strawberry chocolate strawberry (a) How many outcomes are there? 8 outcome(s) Topping cherries nuts cherries nuts cherries nuts cherries nuts Outcome (small, chocolate, cherries) (small, chocolate, nuts) (small, strawberry, cherries) (small, strawberry, nuts) (medium, chocolate, cherries) (medium, chocolate, nuts) (medium, strawberry, cherries) (medium, strawberry, nuts) (b) How many outcomes do not have chocolate ice cream being chosen? outcome(s) (c) How many outcomes have both strawberry ice cream and cherries being chosen? outcome(s)
- #17FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEMARKET MARKETEQUIPMENT ( $) ($)Sub 100 300,000 –200,000Oiler J 250,000 –100,000Texan 75,000 –18,000For example, if Ken purchases a Sub 100 and ifthere is a favorable market, he will realize a profitof $300,000. On the other hand, if the market is unfavorable, Ken will suffer a loss of $200,000. ButKen has always been a very optimistic decisionmaker.(a) What type of decision is Ken facing?(b) What decision criterion should he use?(c) What alternative is best? #18Although Ken Brown (discussed in Problem 3-17) is the principal owner of Brown Oil, his brother Bob iscredited with making the company a financial success. Bob is vice president of finance. Bob attributeshis success to his pessimistic attitude about business and the oil industry. Given the information fromProblem 3-17, it is likely that Bob will arrive at a different decision. What decision criterion should Bobuse, and what alternative…2. Provident Capital Corp. specializes in investment portfolios designed to meet the specific risk tolerances of its clients. A client contacted Provident with P2,000,000 available to invest. Provident’s investment advisor recommends a portfolio consisting of two investment funds: the Dynamic fund and the Diversified fund. The Dynamic fund has a projected annual return of 10%, and the Diversified fund has a projected annual return of 8%. The investment advisor requires that at most P1,400,000 of the client’s funds should be invested in the Dynamic fund. Provident’s services include a risk rating for each investment alternative. The Dynamic fund, which is the more risky of the two investment alternatives, has a risk rating of 6 per P40,000 invested. The Diversified fund has a risk rating of 4 per P40,000 invested. For example, if P400,000 is invested in each of the two investment funds, Provident’s risk rating for the portfolio would be 6(10) + 4(10) = 100. Finally, Provident developed…2. Using the following table, perform ALL FIVE of the techniques for decision-making under Uncertainty: Maximax, Maximin, Hurwicz Realism (α = 0.7), LaPlace, and Minimax Regret. Show the work on an Excel File. PROFIT ($) STRONG MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET Large facility 550,000 110,000 -310,000 Medium-sized facility 300,000 129,000 -100,000 Small facility 200,000 100,000 -32,000 No facility 0 0 0