UPS currently believes that it achieves a 96 % on-time performance for its customers. A random sample of 200 customer shipment studies has shown that 188 of them have met the on-time delivery promise. What is the probability that a random sample of 200 customer shipments would contain 188 or fewer on-time deliveries if the true population of on-time deliveries is 96%? Would you be surprised if the random sample of 200 customer shipments had 197 on-times deliveries? Support your answer with a probability calculation. Suppose the random sample of 200 customer shipments revealed that 178 were on time. Would such a finding cause you to question UPS’s claim that its on-time performance is 96%? Support your answer with a probability calculation.

Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition 2012
1st Edition
ISBN:9780547587776
Author:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Chapter11: Data Analysis And Probability
Section11.8: Probabilities Of Disjoint And Overlapping Events
Problem 2C
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UPS currently believes that it achieves a 96 % on-time performance for its customers. A random sample of 200 customer shipment studies has shown that 188 of them have met the on-time delivery promise.

  1. What is the probability that a random sample of 200 customer shipments would contain 188 or fewer on-time deliveries if the true population of on-time deliveries is 96%?
  2. Would you be surprised if the random sample of 200 customer shipments had 197 on-times deliveries? Support your answer with a probability calculation.
  3. Suppose the random sample of 200 customer shipments revealed that 178 were on time. Would such a finding cause you to question UPS’s claim that its on-time performance is 96%? Support your answer with a probability calculation.
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