Use exponential smoothing with smoothing parameter a = 0.3 to co 13). Use exponential smoothing with smoothing parameter a = 0.5 to co

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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SOLVE MANUALLY Inspired by Dell Corporation, Dessa and Lourdes founded a start-up company that assembles customized
personal computers from generic parts. To save from material costs, they purchase the generic computer parts in bulk to avail the
quantity discount. Thus, an accurate demand forecast for their computers is needed as a basis for the purchasing of the said
different computer parts. The two (2) founders were able to compile the demand data from February 2020 to January 2021. Use the
demand for Period 1 as both demand and forecast for Period 1.
1. Use exponential smoothing with smoothing parameter a = 0.3 to compute the demand forecast for February 2021 (Period
13).
2. Use exponential smoothing with smoothing parameter a = 0.5 to compute the demand forecast for February 2021 (Period
13).
3. Dessa believes that there is an upward trend in the demand. Use trend-adjusted exponential smoothing with smoothing
parameter a = 0.5 and trend parameter B = 0.3 to compute the demand forecast for February 2021 (Period 13).
4. Compute the mean squared error for each of the methods used
Transcribed Image Text:SOLVE MANUALLY Inspired by Dell Corporation, Dessa and Lourdes founded a start-up company that assembles customized personal computers from generic parts. To save from material costs, they purchase the generic computer parts in bulk to avail the quantity discount. Thus, an accurate demand forecast for their computers is needed as a basis for the purchasing of the said different computer parts. The two (2) founders were able to compile the demand data from February 2020 to January 2021. Use the demand for Period 1 as both demand and forecast for Period 1. 1. Use exponential smoothing with smoothing parameter a = 0.3 to compute the demand forecast for February 2021 (Period 13). 2. Use exponential smoothing with smoothing parameter a = 0.5 to compute the demand forecast for February 2021 (Period 13). 3. Dessa believes that there is an upward trend in the demand. Use trend-adjusted exponential smoothing with smoothing parameter a = 0.5 and trend parameter B = 0.3 to compute the demand forecast for February 2021 (Period 13). 4. Compute the mean squared error for each of the methods used
Period
Month
Computer
Demand
Feb
37
2
Mar
40
3
Apr
41
4
May
37
5
Jun
45
Jul
50
7
Aug
43
8.
Sep
47
9
Oct
56
10
Nov
52
11
Dec
55
12
Jan
54
Transcribed Image Text:Period Month Computer Demand Feb 37 2 Mar 40 3 Apr 41 4 May 37 5 Jun 45 Jul 50 7 Aug 43 8. Sep 47 9 Oct 56 10 Nov 52 11 Dec 55 12 Jan 54
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