Use the data below to solve for the following: Naïve method Unweighted 3 month moving average Weighted Moving Average (3 months, with the following weights: 0.45, 0.35, 0.20) Simple Exponential Smoothing with the following parameters: Ft+1=32 and the α = .15 Time Series Regression Months 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Firm's Actual Market share 30 32 33 34 28 33 29 27 32 33 28 33 Which of the following forecasting method will you use? What are your basis in choosing for your forecasting techniques? Explain briefly.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
Problem 25P: The file P13_25.xlsx contains the quarterly numbers of applications for home mortgage loans at a...
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Use the data below to solve for the following:
Naïve method
Unweighted 3 month moving average
Weighted Moving Average (3 months, with the following weights: 0.45, 0.35, 0.20)
Simple Exponential Smoothing with the following parameters:
Ft+1=32 and the α = .15
Time Series Regression
Months
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Firm's Actual Market share
30
32
33
34
28
33
29
27
32
33
28
33
Which of the following forecasting method will you use?
What are your basis in choosing for your forecasting techniques? Explain briefly.
Transcribed Image Text:Use the data below to solve for the following: Naïve method Unweighted 3 month moving average Weighted Moving Average (3 months, with the following weights: 0.45, 0.35, 0.20) Simple Exponential Smoothing with the following parameters: Ft+1=32 and the α = .15 Time Series Regression Months 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Firm's Actual Market share 30 32 33 34 28 33 29 27 32 33 28 33 Which of the following forecasting method will you use? What are your basis in choosing for your forecasting techniques? Explain briefly.
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