What benefits does exponential smoothing have over moving averages as a forecasting tool?
Q: How do exponential smoothing advantages have over moving averages as a forecasting tool?
A: The advantages of exponential smoothing as a forecasting method over operating averages are as…
Q: Discuss when to use a time series forecasting techniques ?
A: Historical data, and hence projected variables, are subjected to statistical analysis. The…
Q: Explain the benefits does exponential smoothing have over moving avarages as a forecasting tool ?
A: While in Moving Averages the previous perceptions are weighted similarly, Exponential Smoothing…
Q: When to use of a time series forecasting technique, what assumptions are made?
A: The statistic techniques uses statistic on historical data and therefore the variables forecasted.…
Q: he formula of exponential smoothing method of forecastin
A: Exponential smoothing is a time series forecasting method for univariate data. Exponential smoothing…
Q: hat are the benefits of exponential smoothing as a forecasting method over running averages
A: The advantages of the exponential smoothing over moving averages with respect to the forecasting…
Q: Explain how do we measure accuracy of a forecasting model
A: We utilize the following criteria to determine a prediction model's efficiency:
Q: Explain what benefits as a forecasting tool does exponential smoothing have over moving averages?
A: In today's environment, when events change frequently, the exponential smoothing method is superior.…
Q: Explain when to use of a time series forecasting techniques and what assumption are made ?
A: The statistical procedures perform statistical analysis on historical data to forecast the…
Q: Contrast the reactive and proactive approaches to forecasting. Give several examples of types…
A: When one talks of proactive and reactive approaches to forecasting, it basically means that one has…
Q: State when is the time series forecasting is used ?
A: Forecasting is a process that utilizes historical information and reports to forecast future events.
Q: Explain the basic assumptions made when using time series forecasting techniques as opposed to…
A: The Time Series Initial Phase makes a variety of assumptions.
Q: Explain what are the use of a time series forecasting and discuss what assumption are made ?
A: Globalization is the process of bringing together individuals, businesses, and governments on a…
Q: e least-squares regression method, the trend equation for forecasting is
A: Least square regression equation helps to identify the value of depending variable based on the…
Q: What is a time series and the rationale for forecasting based on a time series analysis?
A: Forecasting refers to the prediction of the future based on some evidence or a strong base.…
Q: Do you think that hard rock cafe makes use of time horizons when forecasting?
A: The forecast horizon is that the duration of your time into the destiny that forecasts are to be…
Q: List the various type of analytical tools and methods used in forecasting?
A: Numerous statistical approaches are used to examine the data, which enables the data to be…
Q: Sunrise is planning its purchases of ingredients for bread production. If bread demand had been…
A: Exponential smoothing could be a statistic statement technique for univariate information that may…
Q: Explain how can does the number of periods in a moving average affect the responsiveness of the…
A: Moving Average (MA) forecasting calculates the average over a certain number of periods in order to…
Q: what are the benefits of exponential smoothing forecasting?
A: Forecasting is the process of prediction in which sales demand is estimated using historic…
Q: Give three examples of unethical conduct involving forecasting and the ethical principle each…
A: Forecasting is the planning process that helps to predict the future demand using present or past…
Q: Describe when to use of a time series forecasting techniques and what assumption are made?
A: Statistical approaches are used to forecast variables by analysing historical data. Forecasts are…
Q: What three methods are used to determine the accuracy of any given forecasting method? How would you…
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of future events based on past and present…
Q: Explain the Principles for the Forecasting Process?
A: There are many forecasting models and they differ in degree of complexity and amount of the data…
Q: Forecast is calculating estimates of future cycle/s based on data of past cycles -- there is no…
A: Forecasting is a prediction method that can use historical data and current market trends and…
Q: What effect does the number of cycles in a moving average have on the forecast's responsiveness?
A: In order to estimate potential demand, the Moving Average (MA) projection method uses the MA formula…
Q: Explain why is accurate forecasting so important to companies that use a continuous replenishment…
A: Forecasting is the practice of making future assumptions based on historical and current data, most…
Q: List the analytical tools and methods used in forecasting?
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of the future on the basis of past and present data…
Q: Define and explain the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explain…
A: Forecasting is the process of prediction in which sales demand is estimated using historic…
Q: How much does the forecasting process at Deckers correspond with the “typical forecasting process”…
A: Forecasting is the tool which uses the historical data as the inputs to make the informed estimates…
Q: From the choice of simple moving average, weighted moving average, exponential smoothing, and linear…
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of future events based on past and present…
Q: How do exponential smoothing have benefits over shifting.averages as a forecasting tool?
A: The benefits of exponential smoothing are as a prediction tool compared to moving averages.
Q: Forecasting is critical in modern times. Business organizations manifested more concern with…
A: It is at the national, industry, and firm levels that business forecasting takes place. Forecasts…
Q: What are the major consequences of accurate forecasting? explain
A: Forecasting is defined as a process of developing predictions based on the past and…
Q: Apply the following forecasting techniques of the data to estimate the demand in period 13: a.…
A: In the question, There are time-series data, actual demand data are given over the past 12 quarters.…
Q: Forecasting can be classified into which basic types?
A: Forecasting is the process of identifying the demand accurately for future production planning and…
Q: Explain when is time series forecasting used ?
A: Forecasting is the process of predicting future events based on previous data and information.
Q: Generate forecasts for data with diff erent patterns, such as level, trend, and seasonality and…
A: Solution Introduction with Generate Forecasting for data Forecasting is a logical extension of the…
Q: State and explain the weakness of standard forecasting technique in forecasting approaches
A: To be determined: the weakness of standard forecasting technique
Q: Explain the advantages of forecasting tool does exponential smoothing over moving avarages ?
A: The key benefits of exponential smoothing versus moving averages as a forecast.
Q: Explain why such forecasting devices as moving averages, weighted moving averages, and exponential…
A: Forecasting is the anticipating the future demand considering the historical data. Following are the…
Q: State examples of industries affected by seasonality and reasons to eliminate seasonality in their…
A: To be determined: examples of industries affected by seasonality and reasons to eliminate…
Q: Explain how the technology of forecasting can be improved
A: Forecasting is a long-term and short-term activity that the company engages in on a regular basis.…
Q: How can you evaluate the accuracy of a forecast model? explain in detail
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of the future on the basis of past and present data…
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- Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?
- The Baker Company wants to develop a budget to predict how overhead costs vary with activity levels. Management is trying to decide whether direct labor hours (DLH) or units produced is the better measure of activity for the firm. Monthly data for the preceding 24 months appear in the file P13_40.xlsx. Use regression analysis to determine which measure, DLH or Units (or both), should be used for the budget. How would the regression equation be used to obtain the budget for the firms overhead costs?The file P13_42.xlsx contains monthly data on consumer revolving credit (in millions of dollars) through credit unions. a. Use these data to forecast consumer revolving credit through credit unions for the next 12 months. Do it in two ways. First, fit an exponential trend to the series. Second, use Holts method with optimized smoothing constants. b. Which of these two methods appears to provide the best forecasts? Answer by comparing their MAPE values.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.
- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?The owner of a restaurant in Bloomington, Indiana, has recorded sales data for the past 19 years. He has also recorded data on potentially relevant variables. The data are listed in the file P13_17.xlsx. a. Estimate a simple regression equation involving annual sales (the dependent variable) and the size of the population residing within 10 miles of the restaurant (the explanatory variable). Interpret R-square for this regression. b. Add another explanatory variableannual advertising expendituresto the regression equation in part a. Estimate and interpret this expanded equation. How does the R-square value for this multiple regression equation compare to that of the simple regression equation estimated in part a? Explain any difference between the two R-square values. How can you use the adjusted R-squares for a comparison of the two equations? c. Add one more explanatory variable to the multiple regression equation estimated in part b. In particular, estimate and interpret the coefficients of a multiple regression equation that includes the previous years advertising expenditure. How does the inclusion of this third explanatory variable affect the R-square, compared to the corresponding values for the equation of part b? Explain any changes in this value. What does the adjusted R-square for the new equation tell you?