What is the best of the worst decision alternative? DİHL Co. is a Danao-based logistics company owned by Engr. Donald H. Lalican. Anticipating the growing demand for delivery services, he developed a strategic plan for the year 2022. The options are to hire additional delivery crews in their Mandaue facility, construct a new facility in Talisay City, or subcontract Ohlala Move, a small-time company. A study conducted by the marketing department forecasted the following payoff values, which are summarized in the table below. The values are expressed as gains and alpha = 0.6. States of Nature Decision Alternatives Failure Low Moderate High Hire additional Drivers in Mandaue -450,000 -250,000 250,000 500,000 Construct a facility in Talisay -800,000 -400,000 300,000 700,000 Subcontracting Ohlala Move -100,000 -10,000 150,000 300,000 O Hire Additional Drivers in Mandaue O Construct a Facility in Talisay O Subcontracting Ohlala Move Both Construct a Facility in Talisay and Subcontracting Ohlala Move O None of Them
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- An entrepreneurial resident of the Oklahoma City metropolitan area is interested in securing a new franchise for Mad Over Donuts. Ideally this franchise would be centrally located so delivery could be economically handled and all citizens could enjoy fresh, delicious donuts delivered to the doorstep. The main cities and anticipated demand (in thousands per day) are shown in Table 2. What is the appropriate (non-linear) objective function for this scenario (hint: distances are euclidean)? Zoey’s Catnip Toys faces the following relationship between price (p) and demand (v): v = 2000 − 200p. The fixed cost is $500 and variable cost is $1. Write an expression for the total profit. What price should Zoey charge to maximize profit in question b.?Method of Least Squares, Goodness of Fit Deepa Dalal opened a free-standing radiology clinic. She had anticipated that the costs for the radiological tests would be primarily fixed, but she found that costs increased with the number of tests performed. Costs for this service over the past nine months are as follows: Month Radiology Tests Total Cost January 2,800 $133,500 February 2,600 135,060 March 3,100 175,000 April 3,500 170,600 May 3,400 176,900 June 3,700 186,600 July 3,840 174,450 August 4,100 195,510 September 3,450 185,300 Required: 1. Compute the cost formula for radiology services using the method of least squares. If required, round your answers to two decimal places. Y = + X 2. Using the formula computed in Requirement 1, what is the predicted cost of radiology services for October for 3,500 appointments? (Round the answer to the nearest dollar.)George Zegoyan and Amir Gupta face a difficult decision. Their private auto parts manufacturing company has been a great success - too quickly. They cannon keep up with the demand for their product. They must expand their facilities, but have not had time to accumulate sufficient working capital, nor do they want to acquire long-term debt to finance the expansion. Discussions with there accountants, lawyers, and stockbrokers have confronted them with the necessity of going public to raise the required capital. Zegoyan and Gupta are concerned about maintaining control if they become a public company. They are also worried about loss of privacy because of the required reporting to various regulatory bodies and their their shareholders. Naturally, they are also pleased that the process will enable them to sell some of their shareholdings to the public and realize a faiir profit from their past and expected future successes. They will be able to sell 40 percent of the shares for…
- A well-known plastic mould and die manufacturer in Toronto intends to expand internationally in anticipation of strong demand and expansion in the plastic die manufacturing sector. use the table beneath. Using the Maximax, Maximin, and equally likely conditions, assist the business in making the best option in an unclear situation. 0.5 for a highly favourable condition, 0.2 for an average demand, and 0.3 for an unfavourable state are the probabilities linked with the states of nature.a) Choose the course of action that will give Andrew the highest predicted monetary value (EMV).b) Determine the anticipated value of perfect information (EVPI).The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives and various levels of demand. ALTERNATIVE DEMAND LOW MEDIUM HIGH Alternative 1 40 80 150 Alternative 2 80 120 130 Alternative 3 100 100 100 a. Which alternative should be chosen using the equally likely decision criterion? b. Set-up the opportunity loss table. c. Which alternative should be chosen using the minimax regret criterion?As purchasing agent for Eynan Enterprises in Richmond, Virginia, you ask your buyer to provide you with a ranking of "excellent" (worth 4 points), "good" (3 points), "fair" (2 points), or "poor" (1 point) for a variety of characteristics for two potential vendors, Donna Inc. (D) and Kay Corp. (K). You suggest that "Products" total be weighted 0.4, the "Company" total be weighted 0.2, and the "Service" and "Sales" totals each be weighted 0.2. The buyer has returned the following ranking. Which of the two vendors would you select? Click the icon to view the rankings. Part 2 You should choose vendor ▼ Donna Inc. Either Kay Corp. or Donna Inc. Kay Corp. , with a weighted score of ________. (Enter your response rounded to one decimal place.)
- In the environment of increased competition, a fitness club executive is considering the purchase of additional equipment. His alternatives, outcomes, and payoffs (profits) are shown in the following table: (a). If the executive is an optimistic decision maker, which alternative will he likely choose? (b). if the executive is a pessimistic decision maker, which alternative will he likely choose? (c). Market research suggests the chance of a favorable market for fitness clubs is 76%. If the executive uses this analysis, which alternative will he likely choose? I have provided the data table for the problem.As part of Amazon logistics analytics team, you are tasked with creating a new algorithm that optimizes package deliveries in NYC. Specifically, your goal is to predict how many Amazon's own delivery vehicles (i.e. not UPS/USPS/FedEx) Amazon will need to send to streets of NYC on any given day. Explain which factors you might consider including in your prediction model and why. Suggested options include shipping costs for customers (1day/2day/5day), number of warehouses in the area (affects distance driven by vehicles), pick-up options such as Amazon Lockers in Whole Foods stores, number of deliveries fulfilled by UPS (as opposed to Amazon's own fleet), all kinds of traffic fees (tolls/parking fees/etc.).A store is evaluating two options: expand to a new location stay and do nothing in current place for the next five years The decision process includes the following: Moving to the new site: would cost $500,000 annual returns with strong growth = $3 million; with weak growth = $2 million Doing nothing: annual returns with strong growth = $2 million; with weak growth = $1.5 million Strong growth has a 70% probability and operating costs for all other options are equal. Draw a decision tree of the problem and determine the best solution with highest expected value. You can draw the decision tree and solution in either a) Excel or b) by hand, and then upload the file for this assignment.
- Your company, Khumo Logistics, is determined to minimise their total cost of Logistics. They havedecided to start minimising costs associated with logistic activities. Identify the six logisticactivities and clearly explain with relevant examples, what Khumo Logistics will be doing tominimise their total logistics costs, without losing their market share or their customers.A television network earns an average of $1.6 million each season from a hit program and loses an averageof $400,000 each season on a program that turns out to be a flop, and of all programs picked up by thisnetwork in recent years, 25% turn out to be hits and 75% turn out to be flops. a) Construct a decision tree to help the television network identify the strategy that maximizes itsexpected profit in responding to a newly proposed television program. Make sure to label all decisionand chance nodes and include appropriate costs, payoffs and probabilities. b) What should the network do? What is their expected profit? c) The network can conduct market research to determine whether a program will be a hit or a flop. Ifthe market research report is perfectly reliable, what is the most the network should be willing to payfor it? Can you please include pictures of excel sheets. Having trouble determining what the excel sheet should look likeLindsey Brentwood is the manager of a fine dining restaurant chain that serves its guests a variety of traditional Southern dishes prepared with the very finest of ingredients. It is most famous for its upscale version of Chicken Fried Steak. At Lindsey's restaurant, this dish (beef steak, seasoned, breaded, and then pan fried) is prepared using USDA Prime rib-eye steak. As the price of rib-eye has increased, Lindsey’s food cost percentage on this item has risen dramatically. Currently, Lindsey is considering whether the selling price of this dish should be increased significantly or if she should take other steps to help reduce her overall product cost percentage. 1. What issues should Lindsey consider prior to making this decision? 2. What alternatives to raising prices do you think are available to Lindsey?