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- P06_35.xlsx Shoe demand distribution Demand (100s of pairs) Probability 1 0.025 2 0.050 3 0.075 4 0.100 5 0.150 6 0.200 7 0.175 8 0.100 9 0.075 10 0.050 A buyer for a large department store chain must place orders with an athletic shoe manufacturer six months prior to the time the shoes will be sold in the department stores. The buyer must decide on November 1 how many pairs of the manufacturer’s newest model of tennis shoes to order for sale during the coming summer season. Assume that each pair of this new brand of tennis shoes costs the department store chain $65 per pair. Furthermore, assume that each pair of these shoes can then be sold to the chain’s customers for $90 per pair. Any pairs of these shoes remaining unsold at the end of the summer season will be sold in a closeout sale next fall for $20 each. The probability distribution of consumer demand for these tennis shoes during the coming…If x~y: x is preferred strictly to y. Select one: True False1. Individual Problems 18-1 You hold an oral, or English, auction among three bidders. You estimate that each bidder has a value of either $88 or $110 for the item, and you attach probabilities to each value of 50%. The winning bidder must pay a price equal to the second highest bid. The following table lists the eight possible combinations for bidder values. Each combination is equally likely to occur. On the following table, indicate the price paid by the winning bidder. Combination Number Bidder 1 Value Bidder 2 Value Bidder 3 Value Probability Price ($) ($) ($) 1 $88 $88 $88 0.125 2 $88 $88 $110 0.125 3 $88 $110 $88 0.125 4 $88 $110 $110 0.125 5 $110 $88 $88 0.125 6 $110 $88 $110 0.125 7 $110 $110 $88 0.125 8 $110 $110 $110 0.125 The expected price paid is . Suppose that bidders 1 and 2 collude and would be willing to bid up to a maximum of their values, but the two bidders…
- The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): state of nature low demand medium demnad high demand Decision alternative s1 s2 s3 manufacture d1 -20 40 100 purchase d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. Use expected value to recommend a decision. b. Use EVPI to determine whether Gorman should attempt to obtain a better estimate of demand.The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): state of nature low demand medium demnad high demand Decision alternative s1 s2 s3 manufacture d1 -20 40 100 purchase d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favourable (F) or unfavourable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P(F|S1)=0.10 P (U|S1)=0.90 P(F|S2)=0.40 P (U|S2)=0.60 P(F|S3)=0.60 P (U|S3)=0.40 A.Compute the probabilities by completing the table Sate of…The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): state of nature low demand medium demnad high demand Decision alternative s1 s2 s3 manufacture d1 -20 40 100 purchase d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favourable (F) or unfavourable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P(F|S1)=0.10 P (U|S1)=0.90 P(F|S2)=0.40 P (U|S2)=0.60 P(F|S3)=0.60 P (U|S3)=0.40 What is the expected value of the market research information?…
- The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): state of nature low demand medium demnad high demand Decision alternative s1 s2 s3 manufacture d1 -20 40 100 purchase d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favourable (F) or unfavourable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P(F|S1)=0.10 P (U|S1)=0.90 P(F|S2)=0.40 P (U|S2)=0.60 P(F|S3)=0.60 P (U|S3)=0.40 A.Compute the probabilities by completing the table Sate of…Question Management of AG Travel and Tour has identified two groups of individuals thatwould be interested in the vacation package consisting of room and board and/orentertainment. The maximum amount that group 1 is willing to pay for room andboard is GHC 2500 and for entertainment is GHC 500. For group 2, the maximumamount they are willing to pay for room and board is GHC 1800 and forentertainment is GHC 750. Although AG Travel and Tour is not able to identifymembers of either group, it does know that each group values the components ofthe package differently. Assuming there are an equal number of members in eachgroup and that the total membership in each group is a single individual. If themarginal cost of providing the service (room and board and/or entertainment) toeach group is GHC 1000. i. How much will the hotel charge members of each group for the vacationpackage if it could identify the members in each group?ii. How much will the profit for AG Travel and Tour be? iii. Since AG…Question 13 Given your answers above for Questions 10-12 (especially Q12), should the shop hire that third mechanic? Group of answer choices Yes, the shop should hire the third mechanic. No, the shop should NOT hire the third mechanic.
- You are taking a multiple-choice test that awards you one point for a correct answer and penalizes you 0.25 points for an incorrect answer. If you have to make a random guess and there are five possible answers, what is the expected value of guessing? Group of answer choices -0.25. 0.25. 0.5. 1. 0.Solve this early all three subparts.A company is developing a new cell phone and has two models under consideration, Model 1 and Model 2. Market research indicates that 70% of the new phone have a high consumer demand and 30% have a 30% low consumer demand. Model 1 Model 2 Investment Required $ 200,000 $ 175,000 Revenue for High Demand $ 500,000 $ 160,000 Revenue for Low Demand $ 450,000 $ 160,000 Develop a decision tree to find the best model