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Whats the differnce between Expected Monetary Value (EMV) criterion and the Expected
Utility Value criterion to decision making
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- According to the text explain briefly what is the expected value of a decision alternative?Discuss how one is able to describe the riskiness of the decision-taker’s situation in ways which are intuitively appealing and analytically tractable.The application which provides a way of revising conditional probabilities by using available information and provisions for revising conditional probabilities with other information that is useful for management decision making is called? Select one: a. Bayes’ theorem. b. overinvolvement ratios. c. probability rules. d. empirical formula.
- We consider the following decision problem, with 4 decisions di,i∈{1,…,4}, and four possible outcomes ωi,i∈{1,…,4}, with the following table of profits: ω1 ω2 ω3 ω4 d1 30 30 0 30 d2 20 20 20 20 d3 0 50 10 40 d4 15 30 10 25 Which decision should be chosen for rewards depending on four different possible outcomes, according to the maximin rule, maximax rule, and optimism-pessimism rule with α<1/3?Which of the following is FALSE regarding scenario and sensitivity analysis? Scenario analysis considers a best case (within reason) and worst case (within reason) scenario, along with a base case. Scenario analysis focuses on stand-alone risk, since it doesnt;s consider the project as a part of the larger firm. Sensitivity analysis considers that the project is one part of a larger firm Sensitivity analysis shows how changes in a single variable affects NPV or IRR Scenario analysis assumes all variables take their worst (reasonable) values simultaneously, and best (reasonable) values simultaneously.Safety and risk are subjective concepts which depend on the followingfactors, except a. voluntary vs. involuntary risk b. occasional vs. frequent accidentsc. delayed vs. immediate risk d. expected probability What is the answer ?
- A large company in the communication and publishing industry has quantified the relationship between the price of one of its products and the demand for this product as Price = 150−0.01 × Demand for an annual printing of this particular product. The fixed costs per year (i.e., per printing) = $50,000 and the variable cost per unit=$40. What is the maximum profit that can be achieved if the maximum expected demand is 6,000 units per year? What is the unit price at this point of optimal demand?Suppose an investor is concerned about a business choice in which there are three projects, the probability and returns are given below. Probability Return 0.4 $100 0.4 40 The expected value of the uncertain investment is $ ----------- (round off to the nearest dollar.Eunice, the industry analyst of H&M, wants to determine the propensity of Major Clothingcompanies toward risk. She was able to determine the utility distribution of H&M, Uniqloand Dickies. For H&M, If the expected payoff of a venture is a loss of 125,000, the utilityvalue is 0.00, if a loss of 75,000, the utility value is .2, if breakeven, the utility value is .5,if gain of 75,000 .8 and if gain of 125,000 utility value is 1. For Uniqlo, if loss of 125,000utility value is 0, if loss of 75,000 utility value is .1, breakeven is .4, if a gain of 75,000,utility value is .7 and if gain of 125,000 utility value is 1. For Dickies, if loss of 125,000,utility value is 0, if loss of 75,000, utility value is .3 breakeven is .6, if gain of 75,000, utilityvalue is .9 and gain of 125,000, utility value is 1. What is the propensity to risk of the threeinternet companies? Explain your graph.
- You live in an area where there is a possibility of a massive earthquake, so consider purchasing earthquake insurance for your home at an annual cost of $180. The probability of an earthquake damaging your home in the course of a year is 0.001. If this occurs, you estimate that the cost of the damage (fully covered by insurance) will be $160,000. Your total assets (including the house) are worth $250,000. a) Apply the maximum expected value decision rule to determine the alternative (to buy insurance or not) that maximizes the value of your assets after one year. b) You developed a utility function that measures the value of your assets in x dollars (x ≥ 0). This utility function is U(x) = √x. Compare the utility of reducing the total of your assets for the next year by a value equal to the value of the insurance, with the expected utility next year of not purchasing tremor insurance. Should you purchase the insurance?The more risky future options or alternatives are a) the less rational people will necessarily be. b) the more future values must be discounted to obtain their present values. c) the greater their present values. d) the greater their net values in the future.PATTS is deciding which of the two investments to take. Option A, total costs = $75,000,000 and the expected benefits = $95,000,000. Option B, total costs = $36,000,000 and the expected benefits = $60,000,000. Which option PATTS should choose?