Would Ari make a profit by borrowing 1 million US dollar and investing in the money markets? If yes, how much profit would Ari realize in 90 days? If no, explain why.

Business Its Legal Ethical & Global Environment
10th Edition
ISBN:9781305224414
Author:JENNINGS
Publisher:JENNINGS
Chapter7: International Law
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 7QAP
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Statoil, the national company in Norway, is a large, sophisticated, and active participant in both the currency and petrochemical markets. Although it is a Norwegian company, because it operates within the global oil market, it considers the U.S. dollar ($), rather than the Norwegian krone (Nok), as its functional currency. Ari Karlsen is a currency trading strategist for Statoil.

In a daily meeting, the Chief Financial Officer (CFO) gave Ari the following table of market rates:

Spot exchange rate: Yen 106/$
U.S. dollar interest rate: per annum 10%
Japanese Yen interest rate: per annum 6%

and told Ari that the company’s financial analyst expected the Japanese Yen to depreciate against the U.S. dollar by 3.46% in 90 days. Assume there are 360 days in a year, and all interest rates are simple interest rates. If the financial analyst’s prediction about the US dollar and Japanese Yen turned out to be true:

Would Ari make a profit by borrowing 1 million US dollar and investing in the money markets?
If yes, how much profit would Ari realize in 90 days?
If no, explain why.

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