XYZ Corporation is deciding whether to develop a new product or not. The probability of successful development is 0.4 with a value of 400 and probability of failure is 60% with a value of -200. The not develop has a value of O. Suppose a survey is available from ABC Company that indicates whether the new product will be successful or a failure. The accuracy of this survey is P("Success" | Success) = 0.8 and P("Fail" | Fail) = 0.7. The following flipped probabilities were determined: P("Success") = 0.5, P(Success | "Success") = 0.64, and P(Failure | “Failure") = 0.84. Determine the value of imperfect information.

College Algebra
7th Edition
ISBN:9781305115545
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Chapter9: Counting And Probability
Section9.3: Binomial Probability
Problem 2E: If a binomial experiment has probability p success, then the probability of failure is...
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XYZ Corporation is deciding whether to
develop a new product or not. The probability
of successful development is 0.4 with a value
of 400 and probability of failure is 60% with a
value of -200. The not develop has a value of
O. Suppose a survey is available from ABC
Company that indicates whether the new
product will be successful or a failure. The
accuracy of this survey is P(“Success" |
Success) = 0.8 and P(*Fail" | Fail) = 0.7. The
following flipped probabilities were
determined: P("Success") = 0.5, P(Success |
"Success") = 0.64, and P(Failure | "Failure") =
0.84. Determine the value of imperfect
information.
%3D
%3D
Transcribed Image Text:XYZ Corporation is deciding whether to develop a new product or not. The probability of successful development is 0.4 with a value of 400 and probability of failure is 60% with a value of -200. The not develop has a value of O. Suppose a survey is available from ABC Company that indicates whether the new product will be successful or a failure. The accuracy of this survey is P(“Success" | Success) = 0.8 and P(*Fail" | Fail) = 0.7. The following flipped probabilities were determined: P("Success") = 0.5, P(Success | "Success") = 0.64, and P(Failure | "Failure") = 0.84. Determine the value of imperfect information. %3D %3D
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