You are considering an investment in a portfolio P with the following expected returns in three different states of nature:    Recession Steady Expansion Probability 0.20 0.65 0.15 Return on P -20%  18%  32%    The risk-free rate is currently 5%, and the market portfolio M has an expected return of 15% and standard deviation of 25%, and its correlation with P is .5.   What is the portfolio P’s beta?  Does portfolio P have a positive or negative alpha relative to its required return given its level of risk? Would you characterize P as a buy or sell, and why?

EBK CONTEMPORARY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
14th Edition
ISBN:9781337514835
Author:MOYER
Publisher:MOYER
Chapter8: Analysis Of Risk And Return
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 13P
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You are considering an investment in a portfolio P with the following expected returns in three different states of nature: 

 

Recession

Steady

Expansion

Probability

0.20

0.65

0.15

Return on P

-20% 

18% 

32% 

 

The risk-free rate is currently 5%, and the market portfolio M has an expected return of 15% and standard deviation of 25%, and its correlation with P is .5.  

              1. What is the portfolio P’s beta? 
              2. Does portfolio P have a positive or negative alpha relative to its required return given its level of risk? Would you characterize P as a buy or sell, and why? 
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