2012 Presidential Election Scenarios

The author, V. O. Key, states the results of a survey that shows that voters tend to vote for people who vote for candidates that will help them financially. He also states that people tend to vote for a certain party’s candidate because of their ties to the party. Key then declares that one can predict a person’s vote based on their personality and attributes. Key also shows that although these behaviors show strangeness, the voters have great importance to politics. Key says that the voters’ behavior has importance as it helps candidates discover the nature of the voters’ interests to try gain an advantage. Finally, Key states that voters behave as well as possible, considering the possibilities of other

Both Republicans and Democrats have unequivocal pockets of political support. When running for office, votes come from various sectors of

The current election between Barrack Obama and challenger Mitt Romney is about America's future based upon different visions. To fully understand these contrasting views requires examining the stance of each individual in areas such as: the candidate's vision of America, how they differ, the way they are similar and their beliefs on health care / job creation. Together, these elements will highlight the approach they will be utilizing to address a host of problems.

In a recent study held in January of 2016 data concludes that 29% of Americans identify as Democrats and 26% of Americans identify as Republicans excluding the 42% who identify as Independent. Bump, P. (2016 January). Have you ever wondered what makes the percentage of Democrats and Republicans so close? Have you ever wondered what sets apart a Democrat from a Republican? This following essay will compare and contrast Democrats and Republicans explaining the key similarities and differences.

Since the year 2001 the United States has been under the presidency of a republican, George W. Bush. His has a position in a number of issues including abortion, immigration, the Iraqi war, health care, and social security. On the abortion issue he believes that we should ban partial-birth abortion and reduce abortions altogether and he supports adult stem-cell research but not embryonic stem cell research. He believes that the government should have a responsibility over Medicare and Medicaid. On the topic of social security he suggests that younger workers should be able to put part of their payroll taxes into personal retirement accounts. With the war in Iraq, President Bush is guided on the principle of "return on success" and we

The voters that were targeted were low propensity Republican voters.. The way that these voters were identified was through voter history, technology that shows which elections you voted in and how often you voted. We know targeting these voters is an effective strategy to increase voter turnout on election day. Research conducted by Author Alan S. Gerber and Professor Donald P. Green show how crucial this face to face interaction could be to getting Republicans who normally don't vote to vote. In their article, The Effects of Canvassing, Telephone Calls, and Direct Mail on Voter Turnout: A Field Experiment they concluded that “Face to face interaction dramatically increases the chance that voters will go to the polls.”(Gerber and Green, 2010) Talking to these voters face to face in their community had a positive effect in which Republicans who were not going to vote, will now vote on election day. After compiling the data, walkbooks were created with these specific low propensity Republican households shown in the walkbook. About one hundred houses were comprised in one walkbook. All sixteen volunteers were given one walkbook to

Political scientists have observed that individuals and groups donating to campaigns choose from two basic strategies. The first is the electoral strategy. Donors that follow this strategy use their money to help elect candidates who support their views and to defeat those who do not. The goal is to increase the likelihood that Congress, their state legislature, or their city council will vote as the donor wishes it would vote.

From 1972 to 2004, Abramowitz points out that the correlation between ideology and party identification rose from .32 to .63 showing an increase over time from a more moderate stance to a more polarized one in the engaged electorate. In the 1984 to 2004 ANES, the least interested and least informed Americans were shown to be in the middle of the liberal-conservative spectrum, while the more informed and active constituents were more likely to be more polarized. From the 2006 Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES) data, Abramowitz states that even Independents leaned more liberal or conservative than weak Democrats or weak Republicans respectively. Again, nonvoters made up forty-one percent of the center of the distribution affirming that only the nonvoters are non-ideological and non-polarized. In regards to social groups, Abramowitz concluded that religious commitment mattered more than social status, but overall, voter’s ideological beliefs made a greater impact on party loyalty than being part of any social

Those aside from the Democrat and Republican groups, the other groups don’t fare well at all. Second being Republicans won in 2004 while Democrats won in 2012. There is also the percentage numbers are quite near the same between the two elections, but even seeing the same percentages the electoral votes are different between the two, showing us that numbers really don’t matter much when electoral votes are

The 2004 and 2012 Presidential Elections demonstrated the voter’s commitment to incumbent Presidents during tough times and major crises. In 2004, voters were interested in foreign policy, terrorism and the current wars. In 2012 the national focus was the economy, following the financial crisis that began in 2008. Consequently, the challenging nominees had backgrounds appropriate for the issues, but had the inability to stand out as a better option. Perhaps because, typically incumbents have the advantage of better name recognition, experience and their agenda has had longer time to be defined.

Table 4a explains this result clearly. For example, Clinton is a democrat, and when looking under the Presidential Approval column, the Democratic Party has a higher percentage of 0.62 when the Republican Party has a percentage of -0.04 (9). When looking under the Congressional Approval column, the Democratic Party has a lower percentage of 0.19 when the Republican Party has a percentage of 0.55 (9).

the connection from contact and voter turnout may be misleading. Also, the sample size was small for the study, leading to question the unreliability and perhaps overstating the outcome of the mobilization campaigns. This study did find that for competitive races the likelihood of voter turnout increased 5% and those voters were likely to contribute money. They also determined that those running the campaigns were most likely to target those who had resources, or were affiliated with parties, and had strong social networks. They concluded that those with certain associations were easier to be mobilized to vote.

Data used for this term paper was obtained from Houghton Mifflin Company through the 1996 Voter's Data Set found as part of the Crosstabs package. The dependent variable (rows) I chose to highlight the 1996 U.S. presidential election voting pattern was the Final Voting Choice. The independent variables (columns) I chose were personal traits such as education, income, age, religious affiliations, race, and gender. The data made available by the Crosstabs program was compiled in a statistically scientific way by a national survey of citizens before and after the 1996 election. The objective of this research is to determine which of the personal traits of the electorate has a positive, negative, or an indifferent impact on voter turnout. Therefore, I have made the following five assertions in the below listed hypotheses:

Democrat Ralph Northam's victory in the 2017 Virginia gubernatorial election means the newly elected governor will most likely continue to advocate for increased access to Medicaid, which will help ensure that the poor will have more health care coverage. Northam is also a doctor, and has used his experience in the medical industry to inform his political views on health care. He believes that increased coverage through government programs such as Medicaid can help ensure that people do not face economic disadvantages when they become ill. Without government assistance, many poor families cannot afford to get sick, due to the high costs of medical care.

The 2012 presidential election was fundamentally different than the presidential election of 2004. In 2004 George W Bush defeated John Kerry with 62,028,719 votes, which was about 50.8 percent of the ballots cast. In 2004 the issue that was of most concern for Americans was terrorism. The attacks on September 11th 2001 under George Bush's first year in office, seemed to bring the country together in a way not seen since the second world war. The polling data shows that 52 percent of the people believed that Bush would do a better job dealing with terrorism and homeland security, versus 29 percent for Kerry. Voters seemed to prefer Bush on Iraq, 50 to 37; on moral values, by 47 to 29. Kerry led 48 to 32 on jobs and unemployment and by