BREXIT AND ITS IMPACT
“The result of the referendum was not a decision to turn inward and retreat from the world.”
Extract from speech delivered by Theresa May, Lancaster House, 17 January 2017
Abstract
1. The UK joined the EU on January 1, 1973. During as a member of the EU, the UK does not adopt a common currency (Euro) which is referred to as the Eurozone and enforce Schengen visas.
2. The UK people decide to leave the EU (British exit, or Brexit) through a referendum on June 23, 2016. The stock market reacts negatively to the results of this Brexit referendum. The value of the pound immediately drops. The reasons behind this referendum are that during the EU membership, the citizens of the United Kingdom feel that the sovereignty of the state is not enforced, the issue of immigration and the amount of contribution to the EU budget which is not comparable to that returned by the British.
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The Impact of Brexit will depend on the outcome of negotiations with the other 27 EU member states. Brexit could create a condition of unwanted impact for the UK. The European Union (EU) not only loses a major paying state, it also has its effects in the field of economic, trade, immigration and
Considering that this is the first time anyone has left the EU since joining, even these experts can’t say for certain what will really happen in this period of uncertainty. If the EU wants to send a message to anyone else who is thinking about leaving, it’s going to come in the form of severe restrictions on the U.K. President of the the European Union Jean-Claude Juncker has already claimed “Britain will divide the European Union's 27 remaining members by making different promises to each country during its Brexit negotiations” (Eyesenck). If true, this could be disastrous for relations between countries in the EU and European countries in general. To combat this, plans to integrate the Eurozone, who are the countries that use the Euro as their form of currency, are underway as a way to unite that group of countries.
Since 1973 when the British first joined the European Union their membership has been a controversial issue. When conservatives in the United Kingdom won the general election in 2015, their election manifesto promised to hold a referendum on whether or not the United Kingdom should stay or leave the European Union. The referendum also referred to as “Brexit” is scheduled to take place by the end of 2017. The United Kingdom initially joined the union to be part of the common market for the purpose of trade and to develop international relationships. The main argument for those who are pro Brexit is that being part of the European Union is too costly for the United Kingdom, that the EU has grown to large, has interfered to far into
The public was bombarded with warnings about how they would be poorer if they voted to leave the EU but, in the end they weren’t convinced by what they were told and/or believed it was a risk worth taking . For the Confederation of British Industry, the International Monetary Fund, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, the Institute for Fiscal Studies, there was an alphabet soup of experts lined up to say economic growth would be hobbled, unemployment would go up, the pound would plummet and British business would be left in a no man’s land outside the EU . Overall, since UK left the EU they will be able to profit more and help their people to get out of unemployment and rebuild their country.
What kind of harm will Britain pulling out of the European Union cause to the equilibrium, even with them taking precautions?
Perhaps the greatest uncertainty associated with leaving the EU is that no country has ever done it before, so no one can predict the exact result. One of the biggest advantages of the EU is free trade between member nations, making it easier and cheaper for British companies to export their goods to Europe. However some economic researchers believe these savings outweigh the billions of pounds in membership fees Britain would save if it left the EU. The UK would also risk losing some of its negotiation power internationally by leaving the trading bloc, but it would be free to establish trade agreements with non-EU countries.
First, by leaving European Union, Britain’s trading with other EU countries will be negatively affected. Being a member of the EU helped Britain in the reduction of trade costs with European countries. Members of European Union agreed on having no tariff barriers within them, which resulted in the creation of a Single Market inside Europe. The Single Market allows the member countries to trade in services and goods for free and without tariffs, which can positively benefit the countries. As a result of Brexit, Britain would no longer be in the EU’s Single Market, but would have to pay taxes on their exports to other European countries and the exports would face additional costs. As a consequence of rise in the costs of trade with European countries, the British export businesses would likely become less competitive in the EU
Therefore, in conclusion, having weighed up both sides of the arguments of both staying as part of the EU and to leave the EU, I would be in favour of Britain remaining within the European Union. When looking at the benefits for each side, the UK would benefit most in terms of employment, immigration, taxes, trade, and economically by remaining as part of the EU. As discussed earlier, the EU is the UK’s biggest trading partner and the largest single consumer market in the world, leaving it would certainly involve a level of risk. However, although withdrawal from the European Union could cause some disruption to the economy, it is most unlikely that export sales to EU markets would cease completely, and monetary policy can be relaxed, and over time flexible wages and prices would help to recover employment rates.
I chose this topic as it is a matter that will directly affect my future, and I’m interested in finding more about what will happen if the UK decides to leave the EU.
The choice to leave the EU has pushed the UK into uncharted trading territory. The main alternative frequently supported by supporters of Brexit, is joining the European Economic Area (EEA) which was founded in 1994 to provide European nations that are not part of the EU an approach to become members of single market.
The leave EU campaigner’s side is telling people how much money UK could save when we leave, how UK could have the right to trade with other countries freely, and how the UK could have a more secure border. If the UK vote to get out of the EU, the truth is, no one really knows what will happen or what will not
A vote to leave the EU would start a long and complicated process that would result in a fundamental change in the UK's relationship with other members of the EU. There are pros and cons should BREXIT were to follow through.
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