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Bruce Bueno De Mesquita Expected Utility Model

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In “A Decision Making Model: Its Structure and Form,” Bruce Bueno de Mesquita discusses the expected utility model, which is designed to demonstrate how policy positions are affected by competition among actors over their respected interests (Bueno de Mesquita, 1997, p. 235). With the basis of the medium voter and monotonicity theorem, the model is portrayed as a game in which actors first pitch their respected preferences to other participants, attempting to influence them, and then form coalitions and adjust their own positions on the issue according to the response they receive from other actors, repeating these steps in order as needed (Bueno de Mesquita, 1997, p. 238). Each player in this game is aware of the “potential power” and stance of other actors on the policies in question, as well as the salience those actors associate with the issues explored (Bueno de Mesquita, 1997, …show more content…

The author establishes that the objective of the models is “to predict the process and outcome leading to the resolution of complex negotiations” and to ascertain the possible way negotiations may end (Bueno de Mesquita, 2011, p. 66). Before focusing on the model itself however, the article outlines changes the new model incorporates, including heuristic rules, which are “designed to govern some key computational choices” in order to ensure that the model can “provide guidance as to when the game is predicted to end . . . [and] how it is predicted to end” (Bueno de Mesquita, 2011, p. 67). While such changes to the model are necessary concessions, they should still be reevaluated in order to clarify how they may be improved and modified over time in order to ensure that such rules do not cause variance and affect model

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