Exotic Adventures Inc. The Amazon River Voyage
Executive Summary
Exotic Adventures Inc. is a company dedicated to provide customers with expedition style voyages. Their primary products are trips to the Polar Regions but because these are done just in the summer time, they also offer trips to the Amazon River during other times of the year. Voyages go from Brazil to Peru and are done during high water season. Suggestions from naturalists plus extensive research made them include trips to the Amazon during the low water season. Problems arouse when the company got informed by their Brazilian agents that the water level was too low to navigate while their Peruvian agents were stating everything was ok. At this point 52 passengers
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Run a sensitivity analysis if the trip is cancelled at October 8th, cancelled at Manaus, or turn back before Iquitos. Interpret the results for the sensitivity Graph and the Strategy Region.
If the trip is cancelled at Oct 8th
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Based on the sensitivity chart it can be concluded that if the costs of canceling the trip on Oct 8th increase it will not impact the final decision but if otherwise they decrease it will impact the final decision.
If the trip gets cancelled at Manaus
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Based on the sensitivity analysis made for option two which is cancelling the trip at Manaus it can be concluded that the final decision will be impacted just if the costs increase by more than 25% any change lower than 25% will
a. Assume normal, good weather capacity and a 70% passenger load factor. Using the attached Excel exercise, what are the pre plane delay times and operational and passenger delay costs associated with arrival rates of 50 planes per hour, for all three types of planes mentioned? At 55 planes per hour? At 59?
4) A sensitivity analysis could help Alltel pavilion assess potential risks/rewards associated with changes in costs or sales volume. A What-if analysis would be helpful to determine profits given variations in sales. If the pavilion had a strong inclination as to the draw of a particular artist, this would give them the
* With the event “March 20” – Dhawan will miss the original schedule. However, he still receive profit with 3 events analysed in Question 1: pay 50%, pay 30% and pay 20%. We will use the result of question 1 in the event “delay” – He will lose 225,528 INR .
Sensitivity analysis begins with the base case (or for this analysis, the “most likely case”) developed using expected values for all uncertain variables. The uncertain variables used in this analysis are procedures per day, average net revenue, and building/equipment salvage value.
2. Uncertainty/sensitivity analysis: The effects of uncertainty are considered in the profitability analyses. Examples include calculating or discussing the impact of various potential revenue levels on product line profit margins, and applying the probabilities of successfully negotiating postal outlet and lottery booth contracts.
Solely taking a look at the graph, to accommodate future demand for growth I would recommend ocean transportation to move our products from the new facility in China. As we expect demand to grow by 10 percent annually over the next five years, it will be most beneficial to utilize ocean transportation as projected total costs for air becomes higher than ocean above the trade off point of 1,904,761.9 POUNDS. For example, total projected costs were calculated to be at $587,156 for air versus $630,080 for ocean at the end of 5 years. Extrapolate the graph even further into the future, with the expectation of even more growth,
Are there other considerations or calculations that should be taken into account before a final decision is made?
A careful analysis on the sensitivity is necessary in order to make sound business decisions.
To calculate the total costs involved for each of the three options, I have considered only those factors that are not common in all. I have calculated only the excess of cost that might be required to deploy an option.
Financial Analysis The sensitivity analysis on IRR provided by the case in Exhibit 9 is demonstrated in Table 3 in Appendix. With reference to the calculated WACC, 11.22%, most of the circumstances considered in the sensitivity analysis suggest the acceptance of the 7E7 project. However, if the air travel demand worsened and sold only 1500 in the first 20 years, the project will be abandoned even if there is a 5% premium in price. If the unit volume sold is equal to
I went to Burger King with three friends. We walked a long way then I
These two decisions and the net pay off would be influenced by two key uncertainties viz. whether
made to the image of the clock, due to past wars, age and change in
We were all watching tv there was a football game on. My dad got up and asked Graham, Dallas and I to go in to Graham's room. He told us that us three we're going to colorado if we didn't have anything important going on. None of us thought we had anything but it turns out that Dallas, who's a sophomore in high school, had too many test going on so that meant Dallas wasn't going. We were all pretty bummed but not enough to not go. Graham started packing right away. I didn't pack till last minute, that may have been a mistake. When school ended Dallas picked us up and I raced up stairs packing as fast as I could. In about an hour we had everything in the car and ready to go. We were off to colorado.
When operating a business, it is more profitable to consider every aspect of the outcome of the decisions that we make. We need to be aware of the facts of the entire situation. Who will it impact most and to what degree? How do I feel about the decision I am going to make?