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Making Decisions Based on Demand and Forecasting

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Making Decisions Based on Demand and Forecasting Greg Wells Professor Dr. E.T. Faux Managerial Economics and Globalization October 20, 2012 1. Report the demographic and independent variables that are relevant to complete a demand analysis providing a rationale for the selection of the variables. The independent variables for this report will be population, average income per household, age of population, and the price of pizza. A key determinant of demand is the population of the area in question and as we will see in this report, growth will play a positive factor. The ultimate concern is can the city sustain another pizza delivery entity at its current population to restaurant ratio? …show more content…

Justify the assumptions made related to the forecast. Using the demand function I came up with the following four (4) year forecast for pizzas sold. |Year |Sold |Population |Median Household Income |Price | |2011 |$681,300.87 |61,240 |$29,135.00 |$10.00 | |2012 |$699,299.67 |62710 |$29,362.00 |$10.03 | |2013 |$717,875.11 |64215 |$29,591.00 |$10.06 | |2014 |$737,043.10 |65756 |$29,822.00 |$10.09 | I based the population growth assumption by taking the 2011 estimation from the Census Bureau, which was 2.4% increase from 2010, and applied to each year (Census Bureau, 2012). For the median household income, I applied .78% increase for each year based on the average growth from 2006 to 2010. For 2011, I left the price of pizza the same and increase by .3% thereafter. The price of pizza over the years has not grown in comparison to population and income, however; I felt that the price should increase given basic inflation. Based on the forecasting demand, determine whether Dominos should establish a

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