Reggie Koch
Professor Metcalf
English 100
11-14-2007
The Beginning of the End of Oil The end of oil can mean an end to a lot of things in an industrialized lifestyle that we live in today. With more than 60% of the world passed their peak, this puts United States at a great risk because the U.S. alone uses more than 25% of the world’s oil. According to Tom Whipple, “Americans have consumed an average of 9.3 million barrels of gasoline a day so far this year, an increase of 0.6 percent from last year” (Whipple). In 1956, a man by the name of Dr. Marion King Hubbert, who worked as a geologist for Shell, came up with “Hubbert’s Peak.” Hubbert’s Peak is Dr. Hubbert’s theory, which he accurately predicted, that U.S. domestic oil
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Most people that claim to have a prediction of the oil peak would take “barrels of reserves” and they would divide that by “barrels per year” which would provide them with and answer in years. This resulted in all the predictors in having all the same answer, which was clearly the wrong answer because they all come up with 10 years. The people that didn’t agree with Hubbert believed that he was also wrong with his predictions up until 1970, when his prediction were proven. Another reason why people rejected his theory was because at the time oil based companies were happy and making millions and they didn’t want this to affect them or their companies (Deffeyes 3-5). Today, there are still some people that believe that we have not yet reached peak oil. But for the most part, people have come to realize that peak oil has hit and obviously we can see the results and the damage its doing to us when we go to pump gas in our cars. Although the United States isn’t the most expensive place to buy gasoline, American’s feel that their paying too much. American’s use over “25.9%” of the oil used around the world and produce less than half of the amount American’s consume. American’s consume more oil than the whole European Union put together making it very reliant on oil (Wieczorek). Right now, the average price per gallon of gasoline in American is $3.061(November 8, 2007). A month ago we were paying around
America's dependency on foreign oil is slowly crippling the average citizen's hard-earned income with outrageous fluctuation in gas prices. The American government seriously needs to step it in gear and start taking action on possible supplemental energy sources to replace foreign oil and actually begin providing those sources to the public without overpricing. Today's foreign oil is polluting our air and crushing we as American's pockets. "Rising U.S. demand for imported oil accounts for more than a third of the U.S.
The two main points in Cavaney’s argument for global oil production peaking while still in high demand being a myth are, primarily, that there are still plenty of reserves and that technological advances will extend those reserves further and, secondarily, that society will advance beyond the need before the resource will run out. Cavaney points toward policies, such as price controls and synthetic fuel subsidies, put into place in the 1970s to avoid disaster from oil production losses as pricey government mistakes. The alarm was sounded, yet production continued. Funds were spent inefficiently. Replacements will develop over time and advances will keep the current supply flowing.
People in the U.S. use oil every day. Powering cars, heating homes, and providing electricity are just a few examples of how we use oil fuels in our daily life. Where would we be if we woke up tomorrow and couldn't fly because there was no fuel, or products containing plastic were taken off the market? "In fact, oil is a part of everyday items such as crayons, bubble gum, and deodorant (Mooney 19). Oil is the number one source of energy in the U.S. today. However, the U.S. imports 140 billion worth of its oil supply every day from unstable regions such as Canada and Mexico (news desk). This makes our addiction to oil an even more dangerous game. Dependence on foreign oil, also leaves the U.S. vulnerable to fluctuations in global supply and
The theory of ‘peak oil’ represents the inevitable peaking and consequent decrease in the amount of oil produced in nations. The phrase ‘peak oil’ means the time when the maximum rate of global petroleum extraction is reached after which a terminal decline in the rate of production occurs. Hubbert invented and first used the models behind peak oil to predict that United States oil production would peak between year 1965 and 1970. The Hubbert model and its variants have described with reasonable accuracy the peak and decline of production from oil wells, fields, regions, and countries, and have also proved useful in other limited-resource production-domains.
“Peak oil” refers to when the rate of production of oil will reach its highest rate and decline gradually. If our production declines after the peak of oil and demand continues to increase, scientists say we will fall into an oil shortage. Many experts think we are about to pass the production peak for oil since Hubert’s peak was proved to be accurate, every since 1970, U.S oil production peaked and has continued to decline ever since. Factors of this problem were the discoveries of new oil fields that peaked 30 years ago, but we still continue extract and consume more oil than we have been finding. In addition depending on year to year use for production, would make us unable to realize that we have pasted the peak of oil production until four years after, so we wouldn’t even known if we passed the peak or not. For example many oil companies and government are untrustworthy about the amount of oil reserves there are, and the estimated difference on how much we can extract based on how much oil there is. Also, a U.S geological survey report shows that there are about 2 trillion barrels of oil left in the world and not 1 trillion. Developed countries such as the U.S continue to use this limited supply of oil because their demand is increasing rather than a developing country where they are beginning to industrialize. One thing is
The predicament of peak oil does not just effect a fraction of the population, instead, it effects the whole world. In order to prepare for the occasion when we will no longer have conventional liquid energy the world will need to develop renewable energy sources that will be capable of sustaining the worlds energy requirements. If nothing is accomplished, we will face an intense catastrophe around the world that could theoretically end all of our lives. The peak oil crisis can be averted if we take the accurate steps in the direction of sustainable energy sources and lessen the quantity of energy wasted around the world.
As the inevitable end of conventional oil draws closer and closer to becoming a reality, there are many fears that the absence of such a relied on resource brings. Many of these fears are concerned with the possibility that the end of oil will cause immense negative impacts and cripple the current infrastructures that rely heavily on oil. Although this is a common fear, the negative effects that accompany oil in general significantly outweighs those that may arise as oil becomes more scarce. For years the extraction, processing, and consumption of petroleum products have caused an immense amount of damage to ecosystems and the environment as a whole. With the depletion of oil, the damages that are being done can begin to be reversed, and our planet will be able to replenish itself from the damage that has been caused. Furthermore, the need for an alternative fuel source for transportation and other various uses will drive engineers and scientists to discover and implement new technologies. This essay will touch briefly on just a few of the benefits that the end of conventional oil will have on our world.
The world as we know it is heavily dependent on oil as our primary energy source, even though we are in constant search of alternatives. After nearly 100 years of searching for something different, oil remains the most reliable. Oil is used for everything from technology to transportation to food and business, yet it is not in a never-ending supply. This is where the politics come into play. According to the International Energy Agency, oil comprises 31% of the total world energy supply, as of 2013. (Walker, Andrew.) So when the world needs oil as 31% of its energy needs, it is clear how powerful this non-renewable energy source truly is. (Center for Climate and Energy Solutions.) As J. Paul Getty stated, “Formula for success: rise early, work hard, strike oil.”
The day was Black Friday. Around the world people are purchasing goods and services that they may or may not need. Many of these goods created take crude oil to produce. The world needs to change its habits to sustain time in the creation of new alternatives to fossil fuels. In my research I found that crude oil or petroleum will only last approximately thirty to forty more years. That means that the clock is ticking and we must find a solution to this major question facing our world. How will the world function without crude oil? I believe our driving habits, consumption of goods, technological research and emphasis on conserving crude oil plus finding a substitute must be addressed now by the world.
Oil production did indeed peak a year later” (DeFotis). Hubbert’s idea of peak oil soon became a more excepted idea since he was indeed right about the whole concept, especially since he was only a year off.
This report focuses on the decline of the oil industry and how humanity has become so reliant on it. It discusses how we as a society have come this far to rely on oil, what our world will be after peak oil, and what we can to do prevent peak oil or reduce the impact of peak oil.
Ahmed (2012) argues that we have reached peak oil, and states that even BP’s data shows we reached a peak in 2004 followed by a few years of plateau and we are now in the beginning of a descent. Shafiee and Topal (2009) created a model for estimating the depletion of fossil fuels. With their model they have calculated that oil, coal, and gas reserves will be exhausted in approximately 35, 107 and 37 years, respectively. We are already beginning to suffer the economic consequences of the world’s declining fossil fuel reserves, with a significant increase in gas prices since the 80’s (Tepperman and Curtis,
It took nearly hundreds of millions of years to create the world oil reserves. In less than a century, before oil became the commodity on which the world is power turned. The article written by Robert Lamb, states that before the gradual downfall begins, we can reach a point known as peak oil. Imagine a carafe filled with coffee. Pour cup after cup without effort until the stream of
To make an honest assessment of the current oil issue in America, one must look at the facts. First, America cannot live without energy or the ability to transport supplies as well as personnel around. Second, America needs oil for manufacturing products, as plastics are one of the most used products in American’s daily lives. Third, there is a dependency issue and the country needs to head away from the fossil fuels as much as possible due to the damage they create to the environment. Plastics fill up landfills, they do not break down easily, and carbon fuel emissions cause damage to the atmosphere evident in things like acid rain and global warming. Fourth, the US is going to need more energy as the current population increases to meet the rising goals of the future. According to American Physical Society Physics, the energy use has decreased 32% from 1973 to current, due to the efficiency of appliances and other uses of energy. Technology does have the potential to assist in making a difference. (APSP, 1996). And fifth, the US economy is tied tightly to fossil fuels, and they do shape and change US policies with foreign nations. It was found that in 1995 the US used around 84% of its primary source for energy from fossil fuels, of that 40% was obtained from oil (APSP, 1996). It may be used cleaner than in the past, but it is still the main resource for power, and has been since the
In this report we have tried to highlight the fluctuations of crude oil during the period of 2001-10. The scope of this report is limited only to this period as we believe that events that took place during this decade had the potential to change the oil game so