When Vladimir Putin took office as the Russian President, he created economic prosperity and consequently restored national pride. Consequently, Putin became a popular lead with an approval rating at 80%. Unfortunately for Russia, as goes the prices of oil so goes its economy. The downward trend of oil prices and Russia’s large dependence on oil exports dealt a severe blow to the Russian economy.
On top of the Russian economic issues, Putin felt Ukraine’s departure from Russian support was a major strike to the Russian national pride. Russia felt a kinship with Ukraine based on the close history these countries share. The relationship between Russia and Ukraine deteriorated because of Ukrainian efforts to embrace Western ideals and
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As a global power, the United States must focus on regional factors that could cause negative ripple effects to the global economy. The third U.S. national interest is the preservation of democracy and an open society. The Russian aggression against Ukraine challenges the ideal of self-rule in the region.
To ensure U.S. national interests are met, threats, opportunities, and assumptions must be addressed. In regard to the threats, Putin could further Russian military aggression, either with direct Russian engagements or escalating support to rebels in Ukraine. Economically, Putin can pre-emptively stop the flow of gas and oil to Europe. In addition, U.S. inaction could be portrayed by Russia as a sign of weakness, lesson our values to external states, or potentially embolden other global actors.
In terms of opportunities, transforming Russia’s aggressive posture would also provide the United States with a partner in combating world issues. Through the eventual lifting of sanctions and engaging on economic reform, the United States can also help develop a more stable economic climate in the region and world. Plus, as the Unite States works with Russia to solve global issues, the United States can develop a world that falls more in line with U.S. ideals.
Finally for this U.S. strategy on Russian, there are four main assumptions. First, based on economic stresses, Putin will constrain rapid military aggression and limit economic
Jessica Taylor of NPR talks about how “Donald Trump's praise towards the Russian President Vladimir Putin” is creating controversy once again after his interview on Thursday to state-funded Russian Television. It is pretty obvious to the everyday American that the U.S. lags behind Russia in the development of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), and that as America's global influence diminishes, a potential nuclear war with Russia could have earth-shattering effects. With these rising tensions and a nuclear war threatening on the horizon, one would imagine a President to work to relieve the possible threat. No President since Ronald Reagan has made efforts to work, or possibly find an ally within Russia. Over the past 8 years, President
For decades, the United States and Russia, formerly The Soviet Union, have held tensions with each other over different political stances and military actions and intelligence. Starting from the late years of World War II - when the Soviet Union had aggressively spread communism throughout Eastern Europe - up to a couple years ago when Russia annexed the Crimean peninsula in Ukraine out of nowhere; their relationship has been a rollercoaster of a ride for these two countries. Even though the United States and Russia are no longer in a Cold War, there has been and continues to be tension between the two countries as exemplified by many events of conflict including the Cuban Missile Crisis and the Russian military’s current presence in Syria.
But first, what is the definition and scope of the economic sanctions that US is threatening to put on Russia? From NewRepublic.com (2014), these sanctions would:
Instead of becoming closer to Russia, the United States should make sure that Russia does not threaten their power, and keep them in constant military check.
Khrushchev handed over Crimea to Ukraine to mark the 300th anniversary of the merging of Ukraine. The United States should not put people at fault when they were not given a choice in which country they wanted to live in. This decision was made arbitrarily and done behind the scenes; at that time since they were still part of the USSR, nobody considered it a big deal. It was a personal gesture towards his favorite republic, the Ukrainian Republic. Khrushchev was the only man in power at the time, nobody dared to question him. Again, this shows that the Crimean people did not have any judgment towards this so it would be wrong of The United States to pull in troops. At that time, nobody had ever thought that the Iron Curtain could actually fall (Putin).Crimean people were assured to always be part of the union which included Russia. The Russian people in Crimea had a sense of security that they would always belong to a super power. Since this was breached with the fall of the Soviet Union, The Crimean people were stuck in another territory. Demonstrating that, Vladmir Putin said “Millions of people went to bed in one country and awoke in different ones, overnight becoming ethnic minorities in former Union republics, while the Russian nation became one of the biggest, if not the biggest ethnic group in the world to be divided by borders.” Crimea was
Russian cyber-interference in the 2016 U.S. elections as well as its aggressive posturing in Eastern Europe have proven to be a significant threat to U.S. security, both at home an abroad. HR 3364 proposes to punish Russia for its ongoing crusade in meddling in democratic processes/elections, while still maintaining support for U.S. allies around the globe. In order to combat Russian hostilities against the U.S. and its allies, U.S. foreign policy should first, place an emphasis on fiscal penalties over militaristic punishment, while still maintaining strong alliances in NATO; second, promote multilateral cooperation on past, present, and future economic sanctions; and third, balance punitive measures with positive incentives to signal to
"America … has an interest in a strong and responsible Russia, not a weak one. We want the Russian people to live in security, prosperity and dignity like everyone else -- proud of their own history. But that does not mean Russia can run roughshod over its neighbors. Just because of Russia’s deep history with the Ukraine, does not mean it should be able to dictate Ukraine’s future.” (state.gov). President Barack Obama, in March 2014, expressed the need for a more accountable and mindful Russia.
The US and Russia will likely never engage in a full scale direct conflict in our lifetimes. Russia, The US and China will remain super powers for a long time yet. We are no more on the brink of Russia than the Cold War has ever ended. Hint: it didn't. Russia and the US, along with their respective allies, have been and continue to wage war against each other in the form of psy-ops, espionage and proxy wars (i.e.: Syria). In the article Laurie Douglas posted, a self-proclaimed anti-Putin, Russian nationalist war veteran said "...the subject of war has been grossly exaggerated... What we have here is psychosis deliberately created by the authorities to mobilize the underclass and make it forget about poverty and violation of human rights,”. This is what's important. The
The roaring anti-Americanism proclaimed by Russian leaders and reflected on government-controlled television has provoked an ugly point with shameless capture of Crimea. Putin has made clear that he doesn’t care about international norms and
Jessica Taylor of NPR talks about how Donald Trump 's praise towards the Russian President Vladimir Putin is creating controversy once again after his interview on Thursday to state-funded Russian Television. It is pretty obvious to the everyday American that the U.S. lags behind Russia in the development of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), and that as America 's global influence diminishes, a potential nuclear war with Russia could have earth-shattering effects. With these rising tensions and a nuclear war threatening on the horizon, one would imagine a President to work to relieve the possible threat. No President since Ronald Reagan has made efforts to work, or possibly find an ally within Russia. Over the past 8 years, President Obama has made no efforts to relieve this fear, and repair the fracture between the United States and Russia that has been intensifying since the beginning of the Cold War.
For many years, the United States and Russia have not been the greatest of friends. There have been short periods of time of understanding and communication between the two countries, however, relations between the two countries today are just as strained as they were during the Cold War. Why do these two great countries both with rich historical and cultural backgrounds have such a deep rooted mistrust in one another? The answer lies in the fundamental misunderstanding of each others’ cultures and the lack of people who understand the similarities and differences of both sides. Russia and the United States have a long mutual history of skepticism towards one another.
President Putin does not put much faith into the long-term cooperation with states either, which is another ideal of realism (Week Two Lessons 2015). In his address to the Federal Assembly concerning the developments in the Ukraine, he speaks about how the agreement signed by Ukraine and the European Union is weak, is not working, and is destroying Ukraine (Putin 2014). He also believes the West is not willing to help Ukraine
These should lead to overall relatively weak Russia’s position in the international community, and our objectives are achievable. Russia as focused on internal issues and disputes, is not able to significantly resist to restoration of the partner countries sovereignty.
Another significant issue plaguing our Baltic NATO allies is the stranglehold Russia has on their oil economies, a nightmare which interferes with democratization efforts and the economic success of these Eastern European nations with Western dreams. The Wall Street Journal reported on February 25, 2016 that Russia uses its oil reserves as a way to exert influence over former satellite states. There have been distinctly dangerous impacts of Russian monopolization of Baltic oil markets as explained by Natalia Slobodian, a National Centre for Strategic Studies energy expert in May of 2016. In cases of dissent against Russian aggression in Baltic nations, the Kremlin has retaliated with “punishment actions” including blocking their gas supply, provoking social unrest and energy crises. In 2017, Eastern Europe should not be left in the dark. In 2017, children shouldn’t freeze in their beds overnight. The United States
The risk level failure and impact to U.S economy is low. High-risk levels consist in countries as Serbs and Republic of Srpska with traditional ties with Russian. There is no guarantee that Russian influence in both states will be degraded. The overall risk level is acceptable politically, economically, and with allies. This strategy option has a low risk for the other countries in region.