GSE803 Science in Environmental Management
Exercise 2 – Ecology
Due date11 May 2015, submission through Turnitin
20 points making 10% of the mark
NAJMUL HASAN
SN- 43622321
1. What is ecology? Give three examples of modern applied ecology (2 point).
2. How do K-selected and r-selected models of life-history strategy differ? Provide an example of each life-history strategy and how the management of such species would differ.(2 point). 3. Ecologists are interested in calculating population density to measure changes in populations over time. Define absolute and relative population densities. Indices of abundance can provide relative measures of animal densities or abundances, and may be used over time to describe population
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(0.5 point)
c) Most natural populations are not closed, how can we simulate a closed population? (0.5 point)
5. Error bars provide a) a measure of what within samples around a mean or medial value, why are they useful? c) What are two factors that can influence variability in the samples? d) Also in the two plots (below) identify where there are likely to be real statistical differences between samples. (4 points)
ANS:
a) Error bars provide a graphical representation of the data variability and precision in a measurement. Within samples around mean or median value, they provide idea about how precise the measurements are and how far from reported value the true error-free value might actually be. They also provide a probable range within which the actual value may differ from the reported value.
Ceteris paribus, error bars can be used to visually compare two quantities to determine the statistical significance of the difference among them. It can also be used to suggest "goodness of fit" of a given function.
c) Variability in the samples can be reduced by increasing precision and accuracy, which in turn can be influenced through following two factors; such as:
1) sample number: Increase in sample number through increasing sample number or repeating same experiment multiple times causes mean of the result (M) to get closer to true mean, thus reducing variability.
2) sample placement with respect to spatial & temporal
Confidence intervals allow us to pinpoint data to a degree of confidence. The intervals are used to estimate the reliability of an estimate. Usually, the confidence levels that are calculated are 90%, 95%, and 99%. The confidence intervals for my particular situation are as follows:
2. The Impression in data: Larger the cell less is the error, smaller the cell more is the error.
5. The green bars are called "error bars." They indicate the range of uncertainty that scientists have about the data on the graph. (Note: Not all error bars are shown.) Why do you think these error bars are smaller near the year 2000 than in the 1890s?
Specific measure instruments are used in quantitative research. Gathered measurements are recorded on a chart, which can reveal how small changes between individual measurements may equal to a more noticeable change over a period of time.
Explain to the students that bar graphs can be used to compare and sort data.
Scientists use significant figures to show exactly how much information an measurement contains. To give fewer digits that one knows would be withholding information about the accuracy of a measurement, and to give too many would be exaggerating the reliability of the measurement. When measuring, it is important to report all digits that one is certain of, along with one more estimated digit. The final digit of any measurement is estimated. The unreliability of a measurement, therefore, is plus or minus one unit of the rightmost number. Accordingly, the most precise measurements have more significant figures, and the least precise measurements have fewer significant figures.
Example: A set of scores could have few errors and would have greater reliability, such as looking at student test scores at the end of a module.
quota. A bell curve is essentially a method of organizing data, usually grades because of the numerical values, the actual “curve” is a visual representation of the data shown on a graph. This curve shows the raised mass in the middle as an average and the lower amount in ends as the extremes.
In chapter 1 of an "Introduction to Statistics" by Dr. Mirabella, he points out that data from a chart or graph is useful if done right (Mirabella, 2011). In taking the MBA GPA's that ranges of 2.50-2.75, 2.75-3.00, 3.00-3.25, 3.25-3.50, 3.50-3.75 and 3.75-4.00 we learn how this information was organized and how it reflects how students are doing in the master's program.
The sample size increases affect the estimate. As the sample size increases, the margin of error decreases.
Overall Accuracy of data should be identified by how close the Actual distances are to the estimated data. In terms of the linear regression graph indicates a Coefficient of determination R2= 0.8788. Which means that 87% percent of the variance in the estimated variables is predicted by the Actual variables. Furthermore, the Correlation Coefficient indicates a strong relationship (r= 0.9374) between the two variables. In other words, the linear regression indicates that there is strong
We have seen that descriptive statistics provide information about our immediate group of data. For example, we could calculate the mean and standard deviation of the exam marks for the 100 students and this could provide valuable information about this group of 100 students. Any group of data like this, which includes all the data you are interested in, is called a population. A population can be small or large, as long as it includes all the data you are interested in. For example, if you were only interested in the exam marks of 100 students, the 100 students would represent your population. Descriptive statistics are applied to populations, and the properties of populations, like the mean or standard deviation, are called parameters as they represent the whole population (i.e., everybody you are interested in).
Deviation Graph: displays a line graph of the actual target values for rows from the input dataset. The H horizontal axis displays the row number of the input dataset and vertical axis displays the range of the output values as shown inshown in fig 5.
Before proceeding to a full evaluation of the implications the data may have, it is important to first establish exactly what the data shows. In Figure A, the use of
there could many different reason to get errors in the readings , the error which we have encountered and the assumptions made for calculations.