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Canadian Tour Industry Case Analysis

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VOYAGES SOLEIL: THE HEDGING DECISION Industry and Situation Analysis According to the case, the Canadian tour operating industry had been flourishing between 1988 and September 11, 2001. The Canadian economy growth rate also was increasingly as this industry that was very positively correlated with the overall economy. On September 11, 2001, there was the terrorist attack the Twin Towers of the World Trade Center in New York City. As a result, both buildings collapsed within two hours, destroying nearby buildings and damaging others, also killing everyone on board and many others working in the buildings. After this event, the economy in the United States and the overall countries slowed down. Specifically, the total number of trips …show more content…

| Present:April 1, 2002(Actual St = USD 0.6252 / CAD) | Payable Due:October 1, 2002(Forward St+1 = USD 0.6271 / CAD) | | USD 60 Million → CAD 95,969,290 | USD 60 Million → CAD 95,678,520 | | Profit/Loss: 95,969,290- 95,678,520Profit: CAD 290,770 | | Rate of Return: 290,77095,969,290 = 0.30% | | | Alternative 3: Arbitrage | Practicing CIA (Covered Interest Arbitrage) by borrowing CAD 96 Million to buy USD on April 1, 2002, and invest the USD for six months. At CAD interest rates of 2.70% for borrowing and 2.55% for depositing, and USD interest rates of 1.85% for borrowing and 1.65% for depositing. | Present:April 1, 2002 (Actual St = USD 0.6252 / CAD) | Payable Due:October 1, 2002(Forward St+1 = USD 0.6271 / CAD) | | Present Transactions | Payable Due Transactions | • Borrow CAD 96 Million @ 2.70% p.a.• Buy USD @ CAD 1.5995 / USD• CAD 96 Million → USD 60,018,756• Deposit USD 60,018,756 @ 1.65% p.a.• Arranging six-month Forward Contracts @ USD 0.6271 / CAD | • Earn interest return from USD deposits: = 60,018,756 × 0.01652 = 495,155• Withdraw all USD deposits with interest: = 60,018,756 + 495,155 = 60,513,911•

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