1. Dr. Mac, a surgeon, must decide what mode of treatment to use on Mr. Samuels. There are three modes of treatment: Mode A, B, and C; and three possible states of nature: 1. Treatment succeeds and patient leads a normal life, 2. Patient survives treatment but is permanently disabled, and 3. Patient fails to survive treatment. Dr. Mac has prepared the decision table below. What mode of treatment maximizes the expected value? MODE C Treatment Outcome Mode Normal Life S1,000,000 | -$2,000,000 -$500,000 .5 $3,000,000 Disability Non-Survival A. P(outcome) .2 3 -$2,500,000 -S500,000 .3 P(outcome) .5 .2 C S10,000,000 -S5,000,000 -S600,000 P(outcome) .2

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Answer is Mode C, just need work shown. :)

1. Dr. Mac, a surgeon, must decide what mode of treatment to use on Mr. Samuels.
There are three modes of treatment: Mode A, B, and C; and three possible states of
nature: 1. Treatment succeeds and patient leads a normal life, 2. Patient survives
treatment but is permanently disabled, and 3. Patient fails to survive treatment. Dr. Mac
has prepared the decision table below. What mode of treatment maximizes the
expected value? MODE C
Treatment
Outcome
Mode
Normal Life
Non-Survival
Disability
-$2,000,000 -S500,000
A
S1,000,000
P(outcome)
-$2,500,000 -S500,000
.2
$10,000,000 -$5,000,000 -S600,000
B
$3,000,000
P(outcome)
.5
.3
P(outcome)
4
.2
Transcribed Image Text:1. Dr. Mac, a surgeon, must decide what mode of treatment to use on Mr. Samuels. There are three modes of treatment: Mode A, B, and C; and three possible states of nature: 1. Treatment succeeds and patient leads a normal life, 2. Patient survives treatment but is permanently disabled, and 3. Patient fails to survive treatment. Dr. Mac has prepared the decision table below. What mode of treatment maximizes the expected value? MODE C Treatment Outcome Mode Normal Life Non-Survival Disability -$2,000,000 -S500,000 A S1,000,000 P(outcome) -$2,500,000 -S500,000 .2 $10,000,000 -$5,000,000 -S600,000 B $3,000,000 P(outcome) .5 .3 P(outcome) 4 .2
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9781305652231
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R. David Gustafson, Jeff Hughes
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