2. Suppose that the general fertility rate, gf re, is following an AR(1) process as shown in (3) below. (3) gfre=yo+Nigfrt-1 + €t. (a) Suppose that ₁ < 1. Obtain an expression for the mean and variance of gf r₂. State any assumptions you have to make and show all the steps you followed. (b) Suppose now that Var(elgfr-) = 0²gfr²_1. Briefly explain why you may not be able to obtain a Best Linear Unbiased Estimator (BLUE) of yo and ₁ by estimating (3) using OLS. Briefly outline how you can transform the model specification in (3) to obtain a BLUE estimator of the parameters in (3)
2. Suppose that the general fertility rate, gf re, is following an AR(1) process as shown in (3) below. (3) gfre=yo+Nigfrt-1 + €t. (a) Suppose that ₁ < 1. Obtain an expression for the mean and variance of gf r₂. State any assumptions you have to make and show all the steps you followed. (b) Suppose now that Var(elgfr-) = 0²gfr²_1. Briefly explain why you may not be able to obtain a Best Linear Unbiased Estimator (BLUE) of yo and ₁ by estimating (3) using OLS. Briefly outline how you can transform the model specification in (3) to obtain a BLUE estimator of the parameters in (3)
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897, 0079039898, 2018
18th Edition
ISBN:9780079039897
Author:Carter
Publisher:Carter
Chapter10: Statistics
Section10.1: Measures Of Center
Problem 9PPS
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Question
Suppose that the general fertility rate, g f rt , is following an AR(1) process shown in the image below
A) if y1<1, what is the expression for the mean and variance of g f t rt showing any assumptions that were made .
b) suppose that Var (€|gfrt-1)= as shown in the image below.
explain why you may not obtain a best linear unbiased estimator of y0 and y1 by estimating (3) using OLS.
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