3) 3) Matrix below indicates PROFIT expected from 4 alternatives under 4 states of nature. Determinewhich alternative is dominant using With and Without Probability (use a = 0.3 and probability of:30%, ; 20%; 40% & 10% for S1, S2, S3, and S4 respectively):S110121513AlternativesA1A2A3A4S220151816S318251930S415202518

According to the question The given matrix here indicates the cost expected from 4 alternatives…

Business

Economics

3)

Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach

5th Edition

ISBN:9781337106665

Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor

Publisher:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor

Chapter20: The Problem Of Adverse Selection Moral Hazard

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 3MC

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The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): state of nature low demand medium demnad high demand Decision alternative s1 s2 s3 manufacture d1 -20 40 100 purchase d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favourable (F) or unfavourable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P(F|S1)=0.10 P (U|S1)=0.90 P(F|S2)=0.40 P (U|S2)=0.60 P(F|S3)=0.60 P (U|S3)=0.40 A.Compute the probabilities by completing the table Sate of…
The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): state of nature low demand medium demnad high demand Decision alternative s1 s2 s3 manufacture d1 -20 40 100 purchase d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favourable (F) or unfavourable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P(F|S1)=0.10 P (U|S1)=0.90 P(F|S2)=0.40 P (U|S2)=0.60 P(F|S3)=0.60 P (U|S3)=0.40 What is the expected value of the market research information?…
The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): state of nature low demand medium demnad high demand Decision alternative s1 s2 s3 manufacture d1 -20 40 100 purchase d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favourable (F) or unfavourable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P(F|S1)=0.10 P (U|S1)=0.90 P(F|S2)=0.40 P (U|S2)=0.60 P(F|S3)=0.60 P (U|S3)=0.40 A.Compute the probabilities by completing the table Sate of…
The owner of a ski resort is considering installing a new ski lift that will cost $900,000. Expenses for operating andmaintaining the lift are estimated to be $1,500 per day when operating. The U.S. Weather Service estimates thatthere is a 60% probability of 80 days of skiing weather per year, a 30% probability of 100 days per year, and a 10% probability of 120 days per year. The operators of the resort estimate that during the first 80 days of adequate snow in a season, an average of 500 people will use the lift each day, at a fee of $10 each. If 20 additional days are available, the lift will be used by only 400 people per day during the extra period; and if 20 more days of skiing are available, only 300 people per day will use the lift during those days. The owners wish to recover any invested capital within five years and want at least a 25% per year rate of return before taxes. Based on a before-tax analysis, should the lift be installed?
We consider the following decision problem, with 4 decisions di,i∈{1,…,4}, and four possible outcomes ωi,i∈{1,…,4}, with the following table of profits: ω1 ω2 ω3 ω4 d1 30 30 0 30 d2 20 20 20 20 d3 0 50 10 40 d4 15 30 10 25 Which decision should be chosen for rewards depending on four different possible outcomes, according to the maximin rule, maximax rule, and optimism-pessimism rule with α<1/3?
I am in possession of two coins. One is fair so that it lands heads (H) and tails (T)with equal probability while the other coin is weighted so that it always lands H. Bothcoins are magical: if either is flipped and lands H then a $1 bill appears in your wallet,but when it lands T nothing happens. You may only flip a coin once per period. Theinterest rate is i per period. You are risk-neutral and thus only concern yourself withexpected values (and not variance). For simplicity, in the questions below assumeyou will live forever.1. How much are you willing to pay for such a coin that you know is fair? 2. How much are you willing to pay for such a coin that you know is weighted? 3. I currently own the coins and know which is fair and which is weighted, but youcannot tell which is which. You may make an offer to purchase a coin of yourchoosing, which I am free to accept or reject. What is the most you are willingto offer? Explain how you arrived at this answer.
Market Data Rate of Return Standard Deviation Treasury Bills 4.25% 0.00% S&P 500 12.00% 21.00% Required: Using the information in the table above and the varying risk aversions below, please calculate allocations to the risky and risk-free assets. (Use cells A5 to C6 from the given information to complete this question.) Risk Aversion Percent Allocated to the Market (S&P 500) Percent Allocated to Treasury Bills 4.00 2.00 1.50
2.4.1 Total Cost in Material SelectionIn many cases, economic selection among materials cannot be based solely on the costs ofmaterials. Frequently, a change in materials will affect the design and processing costs, and shipping costsmay also be altered.Care should be taken in making economic selections between materials to ensure that anydifferences in shipping costs, yields, or resulting scrap are taken into account. Commonly, alternativematerials do not come in the same stock sizes, such as sheet sizes and bar lengths. This may considerablyaffect the yield obtained from a given weight of material. Similarly, the resulting scrap may differ forvarious materials.In addition to deciding what material a product should be made of, there are often alternativemethods or machines that can be used to produce the product, which, in turn, can impact processingcosts. What could be the factors affecting the cost of materials that one should consider?
Which decision rule is most concerned with downside risk? A) Expected monetary value B) Maximax C) Maximin D) None of the above
Suppose that the point spread for a particular sporting event is 10 points and that with this spread you are convinced you would have a 0.60 probability of winning a bet on your team. However, the local bookie will accept only a $1000 bet. Assuming that such bets are legal, would you bet on your team? (Disregard any commission charged by the bookie.) Remember that you must pay losses out of your own pocket. Your payoff table is as follows: STATE OF NATURE DECISION ALTERNATIVES YOU WIN YOU LOSE BET $1000 -$1000 DON’T BET $0 $0 What decision does the expected value approach recommend? What is your indifference probability for the $0 payoff? (Although this choice isn't easy, be as realistic as possible. It is required for an analysis that reflects your attitude toward risk.) What decision would you make based on the expected utility approach? In this case are you a risk taker or a risk avoider? Would other individuals assess the same…
A company produces an electronic timing switch that is used in consumer and commercial products. The fixed cost (CF ) is $73,000 per month, and the variable cost (cv) is $83 per unit. The selling price per unit is p = $180 − 0.02(D). For this situation, (a) determine the optimal volume for this product and confirm that a profit occurs (instead of a loss) at this demand. (b) find the volumes at which breakeven occurs; that is, what is the range of profitable demand? Solve by hand and by spreadsheet.
Assume that you are the team leader of strategic planning and advisory board of M/S XYZ company. The company has decided to enter the market with a new electronic product. Your team conducted a marker research and presented the following two strategies along with the necessary data. Delete Strategy A: Build a large plant with an estimated cost of 20,00,000 Rials. This alternative can face two states of nature on market conditions: High demand with a probability of 0.70, or a low demand with a probability of 0.30. If the demand is high, the company can expect to receive an annual revenue of 5,00,000 Rials for 7 years. If the demand were low the annual revenue would be only 1,00,000 Rials. Strategy B: Build a small plant with an estimated cost of 10,00,000 Rials. This alternative also faces two states of nature: High demand with a probability of 0.70, or a low demand with a probability of 0.30,lf the demand is high the company can expect to receive an annual revenue of 3,00,000 per annum…