4. At the same carnival, another game is played by flipping the same weighted coin in #3 and rolling a fair dice (that is equally likely to land on each of the six sides). The player wins if the coin lands on heads and the dice lands. on an odd number. What is the probability that a player wins this game? Show the modėl and/or calculation(s) that lead to your answer. A. 3/20 B. 1/4 C. 7/20 D. 7/10
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- Suppose that Winnie the Pooh and Eeyore have the same value function: v(x) = x1/2 for gains and v(x) = -2(|x|)1/2 for losses. The two are also facing the same choice, between (S) $1 for sure and (G) a gamble with a 25% chance of winning $4 and a 75% chance of winning nothing. Winnie the Pooh and Eeyore both subjectively weight probabilities correctly. Winnie the Pooh codes all outcomes as gains; that is, he takes as his reference point winning nothing. For Pooh: What is the value of S? What is the value of G? Which would he choose? Eeyore codes all outcomes as losses; that is, he takes as his reference point winning $4. For Eeyore: What is the value of S? What is the value of G? Which would he choose?If a risk‐averse individual owns a home worth $100,000, and that individual iswilling to pay a maximum of $1,000 for an annual fire insurance policy that covers theentire loss in the event of a fire, then we know that:A. There is a one percent chance that the home will be destroyed by fire inthe next yearB. There is a greater than a one percent chance that the home will bedestroyed by fire in the next yearC. There is less than a one percent chance that the home will be destroyedby fire in the next yearD. None of the above is correctEach of the two players independently (and simultaneously with the other) decides whether to go to a play or a concert. Each would rather go with the other to a concert than with them to a play, but prefers this to not being together, in which case they don't care where they go alone. Additionally, each is indifferent between attending the play together and participating in a lottery where both go to the concert with a probability of ¾ and to different events with a probability of ¼. Describe the game in matrix form and find all its equilibria under the assumption that the players have von Neumann-Morgenstern preferences.
- Consider the following Bayesian game. There are two players 1 and 2. Both players choose whether to play A or B. Two states are possible, L and R. In the former, players play a stag-hunt game, and in the latter, players play a matching pennies game. Suppose that Player 2 knows the state, while Player 1 thinks that the state is L with probability q and R with probability 1 ! q. Payo§s in each state respectively satisfy: Player 1 is the row player, and their payo§ is the first to appear in each entry. Player 2 is thecolumn player and their payo§ is the second to appear in each entry. (a) What is the set of possible strategies for the two players in this game? (b) Find all the pure strategy Bayes Nash equilibria for any value of q 2 (0, 1).Consider the following compound lottery, described in words: "The probability that the price of copper increases tomorrow is objectively determined to be 0.5. If it increases, then tomorrow I will flip a coin to determine a monetary payout that you will receive: if the flip is Heads, you win $100, while if it is Tails, you win $50. If it does not increase, then I will roll a 10-sided die (assume each side is equally likely to be rolled). If the die roll is a 4 or lower, you will win $100. If it is a 5, then you will win $200, and if it is a 6 or greater, you will win $50." Fill in the blanks below for the reduced lottery that corresponds to this compound lottery (write in decimals). R= ( , $50; , $100; , $200)Suppose Grace and Lisa are to go to dinner. Lisa is visiting Grace from outof town, and they are to meet at a local restaurant. When Lisa lived in town,they had two favorite restaurants: Bel Loc Diner and the Corner Stable. Ofcourse, Lisa’s information is out of date, but Grace knows which is betterthese days. Assume that the probability that the Bel Loc Diner is better isp > 1/2 and the probability that the Corner Stable is better is 1 - p. Naturedetermines which restaurant Grace thinks is better. Grace then sends amessage to Lisa, either “Let’s go to the Bel Loc Diner,” “Let’s go to theCorner Stable,” or “I don’t know [which is better].” Lisa receives the message, and then Grace and Lisa simultaneously decide which restaurant to go to. Payoffs are such that Grace and Lisa want to go to the same restaurant, but they prefer it to be the one that Grace thinks is better. More specifically, if, in fact, the Bel Loc Diner is better, then the payoffs from theiractions are as shown in the…
- For the following questions consider this setting. The deciding shot in a soccer game comes down to a penalty shot. If the goal-keeper jumps in one corner and the striker shots the ball in the other, then it is a goal. If the goalie jumps left and the striker shoots left, then it is a goal with probability 1/3. If the goalie jumps right and the striker shots right, it is goal with probability 2/3. QUESTION Say the goalie's strategy is to jump left with probability 1 and the striker shoots left with probability 0.5, then the probability of a goal is (round to two digits) QUESTION If the striker shoots in either corner with probability 0.5 and the goalie likewise shoots in either corner with probability 0.5, then the probability of a goal is (round to 2 digits)In the final round of a TV game show, contestantshave a chance to increase their current winnings of$1 million to $2 million. If they are wrong, theirprize is decreased to $500,000. A contestant thinkshis guess will be right 50% of the time. Should heplay? What is the lowest probability of a correctguess that would make playing profitable?For the following questions consider this setting. The deciding shot in a soccer game comes down to a penalty shot. If the goal-keeper jumps in one corner and the striker shots the ball in the other, then it is a goal. If the goalie jumps left and the striker shoots left, then it is a goal with probability 1/3. If the goalie jumps right and the striker shots right, it is goal with probability 2/3. Say the goalie's strategy is to jump left with probability 1 and the striker shoots left with probability 0.5, then the probability of a goal is (round to two digits) If the striker shoots in either corner with probability 0.5 and the goalie likewise shoots in either corner with probability 0.5, then the probability of a goal is (round to 2 digits)
- Consider the following variation to the Rock (R), Paper (P), Scissors (S) game:• Suppose that the Player 1 (row player) has a single type, Normal.• Player 2 (column player) has two types Normal and Simple.• A player of Normal type plays this zero-sum game as we studied in class whereas a player of type Simple always play P.• Player 2 knows whether he is Normal or Simple, but player 1does not.a) Suppose player 2 is of type Normal with probability 1/3 and of type Simple with probability (2/3). Find all pure strategy Bayesian Nash Equilibria.b) Suppose player 2 is of type Normal with probability 2/3 and of type Simple with probability (1/3). Find all pure strategy Bayesian Nash Equilibria.4. In a paper published in 2020, Robson and co-author Saul Schwartz, a professor in the School of Public Policy at Carleton, found that about 11% of Canadians don't file their tax returns.In our ECON224 class of 35 students: (a) What is the probability that at least 6 students won’t file their tax returns this year? (b) What is the probability that more than 30 students will file their tax returns this year? (c) What is the probability that the number of students in our ECON224 class who won’t file a tax return this year will be greater than 2 but less than 7? Note:- Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer. Take care of plagiarism. Answer completely. You will get up vote for sure.You and a coworker are assigned a team project on which your likelihood or a promotion will be decidedon. It is now the night before the project is due and neither has yet to start it. You both want toreceive a promotion next year, but you both also want to go to your company’s holiday party that night.Each of you wants to maximize his or her own happiness (likelihood of a promotion and mingling withyour colleagues “on the company’s dime”). If you both work, you deliver an outstanding presentation.If you both go to the party, your presentation is mediocre. If one parties and the other works, yourpresentation is above average. Partying increases happiness by 25 units. Working on the project addszero units to happiness. Happiness is also affected by your chance of a promotion, which is depends on howgood your project is. An outstanding presentation gives 40 units of happiness to each of you; an aboveaverage presentation gives 30 units of happiness; a mediocre presentation gives 10 units…